Price Action Health CheckThis is a price action indicator that measures market health by comparing EMAs, adapting automatically to different timeframes (Weekly/Daily more reliable) and providing context-aware health status.
Key features:
Automatically adjusts EMA periods based on timeframe
Measures price action health through EMA separation and historical context
Provides visual health status with clear improvement/deterioration signals
Projects a 13-period trend line for directional context
Trading applications:
Identify shifts in market health before major trend changes
Validate trend strength by comparing current readings to historical averages
Time entries/exits based on health status transitions
Filter trades using timeframe-specific health readings
I like to use it to keep SPX in check before deciding the market is going down.
Note: For optimal analysis, use primarily on Weekly and Daily timeframes where price action patterns are more significant.
Cerca negli script per "spx"
S&P 500 Sector StrengthsThe "S&P 500 Sector Strengths" indicator is a sophisticated tool designed to provide traders and investors with a comprehensive view of the relative performance of various sectors within the S&P 500 index. This indicator utilizes the True Strength Index (TSI) to measure and compare the strength of different sectors, offering valuable insights into market trends and sector rotations.
At its core, the indicator calculates the TSI for each sector using price data obtained through the request.security() function. The TSI, a momentum oscillator, is computed using a user-defined smoothing period, allowing for customization based on individual preferences and trading styles. The resulting TSI values for each sector are then plotted on the chart, creating a visual representation of sector strengths.
To use this indicator effectively, traders should focus on comparing the movements of different sector lines. Sectors with lines moving higher are showing increasing strength, while those with descending lines are exhibiting weakness. This comparative analysis can help identify potential investment opportunities and sector rotations. Additionally, when multiple sector lines move in tandem, it may signal a broader market trend.
The indicator includes dashed lines at 0.5 and -0.5, serving as reference points for overbought and oversold conditions. Sectors with TSI values above 0.5 might be considered overbought, suggesting caution, while those below -0.5 could be viewed as oversold, potentially indicating buying opportunities.
One of the key advantages of this indicator is its flexibility. Users can toggle the visibility of individual sectors and customize their colors, allowing for a tailored analysis experience. This feature is particularly useful when focusing on specific sectors or reducing chart clutter for clearer visualization.
The indicator's ability to provide a comprehensive overview of all major S&P 500 sectors in a single chart is a significant benefit. This consolidated view enables quick comparisons and helps in identifying relative strengths and weaknesses across sectors. Such insights can be invaluable for portfolio allocation decisions and in spotting emerging market trends.
Moreover, the dynamic legend feature enhances the indicator's usability. It automatically updates to display only the visible sectors, improving chart readability and interpretation.
By leveraging this indicator, market participants can gain a deeper understanding of sector dynamics within the S&P 500. This enhanced perspective can lead to more informed decision-making in sector allocation strategies and individual stock selection. The indicator's ability to potentially detect early trends by comparing sector strengths adds another layer of value, allowing users to position themselves ahead of broader market movements.
In conclusion, the "S&P 500 Sector Strengths" indicator is a powerful tool that combines technical analysis with sector comparison. Its user-friendly interface, customizable features, and comprehensive sector coverage make it an valuable asset for traders and investors seeking to navigate the complexities of the S&P 500 market with greater confidence and insight.
IV Rank/Percentile with Williams VIX FixDisplay IV Rank / IV Percentile
This indicator is based on William's VixFix, which replicates the VIX—a measure of the implied volatility of the S&P 500 Index (SPX). The key advantage of the VixFix is that it can be applied to any security, not just the SPX.
IV Rank is calculated by identifying the highest and lowest implied volatility (IV) values over a selected number of past periods. It then determines where the current IV lies as a percentage between these two extremes. For example, if over the past five periods the highest IV was 30%, the lowest was 10%, and the current IV is 20%, the IV Rank would be 50%, since 20% is halfway between 10% and 30%.
IV Percentile, on the other hand, considers all past IV values—not just the highest and lowest—and calculates the percentage of these values that are below the current IV. For instance, if the past five IV values were 30%, 10%, 11%, 15%, and 17%, and the current IV is 20%, the IV Rank remains at 50%. However, the IV Percentile is 80% because 4 out of the 5 past values (80%) are below the current IV of 20%.
War IndexIntroduction
Welcome to the War Index! This project aims to provide traders, investors, and analysts with a specialized financial indicator that tracks the performance of key defense and aerospace companies. By aggregating the percentage changes of selected stocks, the War Index offers insights into the defense sector's dynamics and its relationship with the broader market.
What is the War Index?
The War Index is a custom financial indicator designed to approximate the collective performance of major defense and aerospace companies. It aggregates the daily percentage changes of selected stocks within the defense sector to provide a singular metric that reflects the overall health and trends of this industry. Additionally, the index is compared against the S&P 500 (SPX) to contextualize its performance relative to the broader market.
Index Components
The War Index comprises the following 16 stocks, each representing a significant player in the defense and aerospace industries:
Lockheed Martin Corporation ( NYSE:LMT )
Northrop Grumman Corporation ( NYSE:NOC )
Boeing Company ( NYSE:BA )
Raytheon Technologies Corporation ( NYSE:RTX )
General Dynamics Corporation ( NYSE:GD )
BAE Systems plc ( OTC:BAESY )
L3Harris Technologies, Inc. ( NYSE:LHX )
Textron Inc. ( NYSE:TXT )
Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. ( NYSE:HII )
Oshkosh Corporation ( NYSE:OSK )
Leidos Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:LDOS )
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. ( NASDAQ:KTOS )
Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:SPR )
Parsons Corporation ( NYSE:PSN )
CACI International Inc ( NYSE:CACI )
ViaSat, Inc. ( NASDAQ:VSAT )
Purpose of the War Index
The War Index serves several key purposes:
Sector Performance Tracking : By aggregating the performance of major defense and aerospace companies, the index provides a clear picture of the sector's overall health.
Investment Analysis : Investors can use the index to identify trends, evaluate sector strength, and make informed decisions regarding their portfolios.
Comparative Benchmarking : Comparing the War Index with broader market indices like the S&P 500 helps in understanding how the defense sector performs relative to the general market.
Disclaimer: This War Index is an approximated indicator intended for informational purposes only. It should not be construed as investment advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Black RSI (Multi Symbol RSI)📌 GENERAL OVERVIEW
Black RSI (Multi Symbol RSI) is an indicator with multiple-RSI (multi-symbol support), It is a powerful indicator designed for analyzing the relative strength of multiple financial instruments within a single chart. This indicator essentially combines multiple instances of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for different symbols, allowing traders to compare and contrast market conditions for a broader, simultaneous analysis of various assets. By tracking RSI across multiple assets, traders can identify broader market trends, and sector rotations, or pinpoint relative strengths and weaknesses among different instruments. Please check the below sections for details.
Black RSI (Multi Symbol RSI) Indicator Features Summary:
+ Multiple RSI with multi-symbol ◢
This indicator plots Primary+3 multiple RSI for multiple symbols at once. For instance, it could simultaneously show the RSI of indices (e.g., SPX, NASDAQ) or stocks within a sector, providing insights into how these assets are moving relative to one another.
+ Custom Divergence Module ◢
It allows the user to select the divergence source among the multiple RSI (Primary, 1st, 2nd or 3rd RSI) and displays regular/hidden bullish/bearish divergence for selected RSI only.
+ Custom RSI Moving Average/BBs ◢
It allows the user to select the RSI moving average/BBs source among the multiple RSI (Primary, 1st, 2nd or 3rd RSI) and displays moving average/BBs for selected RSI only.
+ Alert Triggers ◢
The indicator can incorporate alert functions that notify the user when an RSI threshold (e.g., overbought or oversold levels) is crossed for any of the selected symbols.
📌HOW TO USE IT
Confirm Trends Across Symbols: Use the indicator to confirm trends across multiple assets. For example, if most symbols within a sector or index are showing RSI levels above 50, it may indicate a bullish trend in that sector. Conversely, if most RSIs are below 50, it may signal bearish sentiment.
Spot Divergences: Look for RSI divergences across symbols, which can hint at potential reversals. For instance, if most symbols show declining RSI levels while a few have increasing RSI, it could indicate relative strength in those few, making them candidates for closer watch.
Identify Overbought/Oversold Conditions: By observing the RSI levels of multiple symbols, you can identify when certain assets are overbought (typically RSI > 70) or oversold (typically RSI < 30). When multiple assets show similar RSI levels, this can indicate broader market sentiment or sector momentum.
Sector Rotation Analysis: In longer-term trading or portfolio rebalancing, a Multi-RSI Multi-Symbol indicator can help detect sector rotation patterns by showing which sectors are gaining strength (higher RSI) and which are weakening, facilitating informed sectoral shifts.
Use in Conjunction with Other Indicators: The Multi-RSI can serve as a supporting indicator alongside trend indicators like Moving Averages or Bollinger Bands, helping to confirm entry and exit points. For example, if a symbol’s RSI shows an overbought condition and it aligns with a resistance level from a Moving Average, this could strengthen a sell signal.
Customization: Customize the settings to match your trading style. For instance, day traders might prefer a shorter RSI period and timeframes, while swing traders may benefit from longer timeframes and smoother RSI.
⚙️Black RSI (Multi Symbol RSI) SETTINGS
Black RSI (Multi) Dashboard ◢
+ 1st RSI: Enable/Disable 1st RSI
+ 2nd RSI: Enable/Disable 2nd RSI
+ 3rd RSI: Enable/Disable 3rd RSI
RSI Primary Tools ◢
+ RSI Moving Average/Bollinger Bands: Enable/Disable RSI Moving Average/Bollinger Bands
+ Smooth RSI: Enable/Disable Smooth RSI (for Primary RSI)
+ RSI Divergence: Enable/Disable Divergence for user-selected RSI
RSI Secondary Tools ◢
+ RSI OB/OS Color Bars: Enable/Disable RSI OB/OS Color Bars for user-selected RSI
+ RSI OB/OS Highlights: Enable/Disable OB/OS Highlights for user-selected RSI
+ Background: Enable/Disable RSI Background
+ Primary RSI Settings ▾
- Override Primary RSI Symbol: Allows the user to select the symbol for Primary RSI
- Primary RSI Length: User input primary RSI length value
- Primary RSI Source: User primary RSI source selection
- RSI Line Thickness: User input line thickness value for primary RSI
- Primary RSI Colors:
- OB/OS Highlights: Enable/Disable OB/OS Primary RSI Highlights
- RSI Overbought Threshold: The user can set the RSI overbought threshold value. This Overbought Threshold value will also be applied to All RSI (Primary, 1st, 2nd, 3rd) and "RSI Divergence overbought condition" and "RSI OB/OS Highlights"
- RSI Oversold Threshold: The user can set the RSI oversold threshold value. The lower band (oversold line) of RSI. This Oversold Threshold value will also be applied to All RSI (Primary, 1st, 2nd, 3rd) and "RSI Divergence oversold condition" and "RSI OB/OS Highlights"
+ 1st RSI Settings ▾
- Override 1st RSI Symbol: Allows the user to select the symbol for 1st RSI
- 1st RSI Length: User input 1st RSI length value
- 1st RSI Source: User 1st RSI source selection
- RSI Line Thickness: User input line thickness value for 1st RSI
- 1st RSI Colors:
- OB/OS Highlights: Enable/Disable OB/OS 1st RSI Highlights
+ 2nd RSI Settings ▾
- Override 2nd RSI Symbol: Allows the user to select the symbol for 2nd RSI
- 2nd RSI Length: User input 2nd RSI length value
- 2nd RSI Source: User 2nd RSI source selection
- RSI Line Thickness: User input line thickness value for 2nd RSI
- 2nd RSI Colors:
- OB/OS Highlights: Enable/Disable OB/OS 2nd RSI Highlights
+ 3rd RSI Settings ▾
- Override 3rd RSI Symbol: Allows the user to select the symbol for 3rd RSI
- 3rd RSI Length: User input 3rd RSI length value
- 3rd RSI Source: User 3rd RSI source selection
- RSI Line Thickness: User input line thickness value for 3rd RSI
- 3rd RSI Colors:
- OB/OS Highlights: Enable/Disable OB/OS 3rd RSI Highlights
+ RSI Bands & Threshold Settings ▾
- RSI Middle Band: Allows the user to plot optional RSI band on the RSI Oscillator
- RSI Bullish Band: Allows the user to plot optional RSI band on the RSI Oscillator
- RSI Bearish Band: Allows the user to plot optional RSI band on the RSI Oscillator
+ Primary RSI Smooth Settings ▾
- Type: The user selected Smooth MA type for Primary RSI. With RSI Smooth enabled, it will also affect Primary RSI Divergences detection (all divergences will be plotted according to the "Smoothed RSI line")
- Length: User input Smooth MA length value for Primary RSI
+ RSI Moving Average Settings ▾
- MA/BB RSI Source: Allows the user to MA/BB source selection
- MA/BB Enable/Disable: Allows the user to select Moving average only, BBs only or Both to display on the RSI Oscillator
- RSI Moving Average Colors: Allows the user to select Bullish/Bearish colours of RSI Moving Average
- RSI Moving Average Type: Allows the user to select RSI MA Type
- RSI Moving Average Length: User input RSI MA length value
- RSI Moving Average Thickness: User input RSI MA thickness
- Bollinger Bands Colors: Allows the user to select BBs colours
- BB StdDev: user input Bollinger Bands standard deviation value
+ RSI Divergence Settings ▾
- Divergence RSI source: User selection of divergence source .
- Divergence source: User selection of divergence source . "oscillator" (divergence detection with high/low or close of RSI), "price" (divergence detection with high/low or close of price)
- Bull price source: User selection of Bull price source. Bull price source: "Low" (low of price divergence detection), "Close" (close of price divergence detection) (linked to "price" in "Divergence source")
- Bear price source: User selection of Bear price source. Bear price source: "High" (high of price divergence detection), "Close" (close of price divergence detection) (linked to "price" in "Divergence source")
- Low/High left bars: How many candles to compare on the left side of a candle when deciding whether it is a pivot. The lower the number is, the earlier pivots (and therefore divergences) will be signalled, but the quality of those detections could be lower.
- Low/High right bars: How many candles to compare on the right side of a candle when deciding whether it is a pivot. The lower the number is, the earlier pivots (and therefore divergences) will be signalled, but the quality of those detections could be lower.
- Maximum lookback bars: The maximum length of a divergence (number of bars). If a detected divergence is longer than this, it will be discarded.
- Price threshold: User selection of Price threshold, higher values more lines
- RSI threshold: User selection of RSI threshold, higher values more lines
- Show Lows: Displays lows of RSI
- Show Highs: Displays highs of RSI
- Show Divergence as:
- Line Style:
- Line thickness: User input divergence line thickness value
- Label Transparency: it could reduce label mess on the oscillator line, input "100" for label text only without label background
- Labels Text Color: User label text colour selection
Auto Text Color > Auto colour change of label text according to Dark/Light chart theme
- Bull Divergences: Enable/Disable of Bull divergences
> Color: User selection of Bull divergence color
> Potential Bull: It will plot potential regular bull divergence with a dotted line.
- Bear Divergences: Enable/Disable of Bear divergences
> Color: User selection of Bear divergence color
> Potential Bear: It will plot potential regular bear divergence with a dotted line.
- Hidden Bull Div: Enable/Disable of Hidden Bull divergences
> Color: User selection of Hidden Bull divergence colour
> Potential H.Bull: It will plot potential hidden bull divergence with a dotted line.
- Hidden Bear Div: Enable/Disable of Hidden Bear divergences
> Color: User selection of Hidden Bear divergence colour
> Hidden Bear divergence: It will plot potential hidden bear divergence with a dotted line.
> Regular Bull oversold only: It will show Regular Bullish RSI divergences in the oversold zone only, RSI oversold threshold can be configured in the "Primary RSI Settings" section.
> Regular Bear overbought only: It will show Regular Bearish RSI divergences in the overbought zone only, RSI overbought threshold can be configured in the "Primary RSI Settings" section.
+ RSI OB/OS Colored Bars Settings▾
- OB/OS Bar RSI Source: User selection of OB/OS Bars RSI source .
- Overbought Bar Color: User RSI OB Bars colour selection
- Oversold Bar Color: User RSI OS Bars colour selection
+ Overbought/Oversold Highlights ▾
- OB/OS Highlights RSI Source: User selection of OB/OS Highlights RSI source .
- Overbought Highlights : Enable/Disable Overbought Highlights
- Oversold Highlights : Enable/Disable Oversold Highlights
- Transparency: Gradient transparency of highlighted area
+ RSI Line & Label Settings ▾
- Show Symbol label: Enable/Disable each RSI symbol label.
- RSI line offset: Shifts the RSI to the left or the right on the given number of bars, Default is 0
+ Background Setting ▾
- Custom Background Color: User selection of Background color
Feedback & Bug Report
If you find any bugs in this indicator or have any suggestions, please let me know. Please give feedback & appreciate it if you like to see more future updates and indicators. Thank you
GEX Profile [Lite] Real Auto-Updated Gamma Exposure LevelsReal GEX Levels with Seamless Auto-updates for 5 U.S. market symbols (AAPL, TSLA, ORCL, DIA, AMZN)
🔃 Dynamic Updates : Receive precise GEX levels with auto-updating metrics up to 5 times a day throughout the trading session—no manual refresh needed!
🍒 Strategically Developed : Built by experienced options traders to meet the needs of serious options market participants.
🕒 0DTE? No Problem! : Designed with 0DTE traders in mind, our indicator keeps you updated with GEX levels and seamless auto-refresh to capture every crucial market shift.
📈 Optimized for Option Traders : See accurate NETGEX profile for multiple expirations to maximize strategic potential.
🔶 Comprehensive GEX Levels
This indicator provides unparalleled insight into market dynamics with levels like Call/Put Support, Resistance, HVL (High Volatility Level), and Call/Put Walls. These levels are auto-updated based on live market movements and reflect gamma shifts and volatility signals essential for options traders.
🔶 Ticker Information:
This 'Lite' indicator is currently only available for 5 liquid U.S. market smbols:
NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN AMEX:DIA and NYSE:ORCL
🔶 Ideal for 0DTE and Multi-Leg Strategies
Track essential GEX levels across expirations with our unique Cumulative (⅀) and Selected Alone (⊙) calculation models. Customize your view to reveal high-impact levels across multiple expirations or focus on a specific expiration for a targeted strategy.
🔶How does the indicator work and why is it unique?
This is not just another GEX indicator. It incorporates 15min delayed option chain data from ORATS as data provider, processes and refines the delayed data package using pineseed, and sends it to TradingView, visualizing the key GEX levels using specific formulas (see detailed below). This method of incorporating options data into a visualization framework is unique and entirely innovative on TradingView.
Unlike other providers that only set GEX levels at market open, this indicator adjusts dynamically throughout the day, providing updated insights across the trading day and capturing gamma shifts as the market moves.
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🌑 𝗗 𝗢 𝗖 𝗨 𝗠 𝗘 𝗡 𝗧 𝗔 𝗧 𝗜 𝗢 𝗡 🌑
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🔶 Understanding GEX (Gamma Exposure) and Gamma Profiling
Gamma Exposure (GEX) is a crucial concept in options trading because it reveals how options market positions can influence the dynamics of asset prices. In essence, GEX measures the collective gamma exposure of options market participants, impacting overall market stability and price movements.
🔹 What is GEX?
At its core, GEX captures the aggregate impact of gamma, a key options Greek, which tells us how an option's delta changes in response to price movements in the underlying asset. Positive or negative GEX levels can reflect the collective bullish or bearish stance of the market:
Positive GEX (far above HVL) : Indicates a net bullish positioning by options holders. When GEX is strongly positive, it suggests that as the asset price increases, market participants might need to buy more of the asset to maintain their hedges. This behavior can fuel further upward momentum.
Negative GEX (far below HVL) : Implies a net bearish positioning. In a strongly negative GEX environment, declines in the asset's price might prompt participants to sell, potentially exacerbating the downward movement.
🔹 The Influence of GEX on Strike Prices and Expiration
A unique feature of GEX is its impact near expiration dates. As options approach expiration, GEX levels can “pin” the price to specific strike levels, where options positions are concentrated. This pinning effect arises as market makers adjust their hedging strategies, often causing the asset price to gravitate towards certain strike prices, where a large volume of options contracts sits.
🟨 Overview of our GEX Calculation Models for Options Traders 🟨
Our GEX indicator models were developed with serious options traders in mind, providing flexibility beyond typical GEX providers. We know that using GEX levels for multi-leg strategies, where the underlying doesn't need a strong trend to be profitable , calls for a nuanced approach that aligns with different trading horizons. Here’s a detailed breakdown of our GEX calculation models and how they support strategic trading across varying timeframes.
Thus, the HVL an orher CALL/PUT WALLS depends on the indicator's selected calculation mode and expiration. The NETGEX profile of the chosen expiration appears on the HVL line , which automatically updates five times during trading hours , except for 0DTE, which reflects the value set at market open.
🔶 Cumulative Expiration (⅀) Calculation Method
This method aggregates GEX data for all expirations up to the selected date , giving you a more comprehensive view of market dynamics. We recommend using this method, as it allows you to see how combined expirations impact GEX levels, which can be critical when setting up trades with a longer time horizon.
🔶 Selected Alone (⊙) Calculation Method
This option displays the GEX profile specific to only the chosen expiration , providing a unique, time-bound view. This approach is ideal for those seeking precise insight into how an individual expiration is performing without the broader context of other expirations.
🔶 Example of using calculation methods:
With options trading, especially for multi-leg strategies, choosing the right expiration and calculation model is crucial. Let’s break down an example:
Suppose you’re considering a Friday (4DTE) front-leg diagonal on the SPX at the start of the week. In this case, the focus isn’t strictly on any single expiration (like 0DTE or 4DTE individually), but rather on what might happen cumulatively by Friday across all expirations . Here, the Cumulative Expiration (⅀) model comes into play, as it shows you an aggregated view of the GEX profile, factoring in all strikes and legs for all expirations leading up to the selected date.
For most use cases, we recommend setting your indicator to the Cumulative (⅀) model , which provides a broad and insightful look at GEX levels across multiple expirations. However, you can always switch to Selected Alone (⊙) for targeted analysis of an individual expiration. Remember, 0DTE defaults to “Selected Alone”, and Every Expiry always shows a cumulative value by default.
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🟦 HVL (High Volatility Level) 🟦
Also known as the Gamma FLIP level or Zero Gamma , it represents the price level at which the gamma environment transitions from positive to negative or vice versa. The High Volatility Level (HVL) is a critical point for understanding gamma shifts and anticipating volatility. This shift influences how market makers hedge their positions, potentially increasing or dampening market volatility.
🔷 Understanding the Gamma Flip and HVL
At its core, the gamma flip represents the point where market makers may transition from a net positive to a net negative gamma position, or the reverse. When prices move above HVL, gamma is positive, often leading to lower volatility due to the stabilizing effects of market makers’ hedging. Conversely, when prices drop below HVL, gamma flips negative, and hedging by market makers can amplify volatility as they trade with the direction of price movements.
The HVL (High Volatility Level) is particularly important as it signals a shift in the impact of price movements on the GEX profile. Using the cumulative calculation mode, GEX values are aggregated across all strikes and expirations up to the selected expiration, helping to pinpoint the point where the GEX curve's slope changes from negative to positive.
🔷 Implications for Traders and Market Makers
For market makers, crossing below HVL into a negative gamma zone means that they hedge in the same direction as price movements, potentially amplifying volatility. For traders, understanding HVL's role is essential to choosing strategies that align with the prevailing volatility regime:
Positive GEX 🟢:
Above HVL, where GEX is positive, market makers hedge by buying stocks as prices fall and selling as prices rise. This has a stabilizing effect, creating a lower-volatility environment.
Negative GEX 🔴:
Below HVL, where GEX is negative, market makers' hedging aligns with price movements, increasing volatility. Here, they buy as prices rise and sell as they fall, reinforcing price direction.
🔷 HVL as a Momentum and Volatility Indicator
The HVL offers traders insight into potential shifts in market momentum. For example, above HVL, if the price increases, Net GEX also rises, which stabilizes prices as market makers hedge in opposition to price direction. Below HVL, however, a price rise decreases Net GEX, creating conditions where market makers’ hedging amplifies price movements, resulting in a more volatile environment.
HVL also acts as a significant support level, often preceding put supports. If the price falls below this level, traders may expect heightened volatility and increased bearish sentiment.
Knowing the location of HVL is vital for positioning yourself on the right side of volatility. By monitoring the HVL, traders can better anticipate shifts in sentiment and align strategies with prevailing market dynamics.
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🟩 Call Resistance and Call Wall Levels 🟩
In options trading, understanding GEX levels like Call Resistance and Call Wall levels is crucial for navigating potential price inflection points. Our indicator provides these levels directly on your chart, allowing you to customize and optimize your trading approach. Here’s a detailed guide to help you understand and use Call Resistance and additional Call Wall levels effectively.
🟢 Call Resistance Level
The Call Resistance Level is a key point where our model indicates heightened Call GEX concentration. This level serves as a potential resistance area where price movement may face a barrier, slowing or even reversing before a breakout. Here’s how the Call Resistance Level can influence market behavior:
Resistance and Price Reversal ⬇️ : Similar to the Put Support level, the Call Resistance acts as a "sticky" price level, where upward movement encounters resistance. When the price approaches this level, it’s common for market makers to begin shorting to maintain delta neutrality. This shorting activity, combined with the potential monetization of calls, introduces a technical bearish force in the short term, often causing the price to bounce downward.
Upside Acceleration Point ⬆️ : If investors reposition calls to higher strikes as the price reaches Call Resistance, this level can roll up, allowing the price to push upward and potentially accelerating the rally. This effect can drive the market to higher levels as market makers adjust their positions accordingly.
🟢 Additional Call Wall Levels
Our model identifies the second and third-highest Call GEX levels, known as additional Call Walls. These levels are often secondary resistance points but hold significance as they add layers of possible resistance or breakout points. They offer similar potential as the primary Call Resistance level, acting as either:
Resistance Zones: Slowing the price momentum as it approaches these levels.
Inflection Points for Upside Momentum: Allowing for a possible continuation of upward movement if prices break through.
🟢 How to Trade the Call Resistance Level
To use the Call Resistance level effectively, look for possible price rejections or consolidations as the price approaches this zone. Here are the main scenarios:
Bounce to Downside: As the price nears the Call Resistance level, market makers’ delta-hedging activity (through shorting) can turn this level into a short-term bearish force, leading to price pullbacks.
Rolling the Position: For bulls, a key objective at the Call Resistance level is to see investors roll their call positions higher, effectively moving the resistance up. This repositioning may lead to incremental price gains as the Call Resistance level rises with each roll.
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🟥 Put Support and Put Wall Levels 🟥
In options trading, understanding GEX levels like Put Support and secondary Put Wall levels is essential for managing potential price support points and gauging downside risk. Our indicator places these levels directly on your chart, allowing for customization to enhance your trading strategy. Here’s a detailed guide to help you leverage the Put Support and additional Put Wall levels effectively.
🔴 Put Support Level
The Put Support Level is a key zone where our model shows the highest concentration of negative GEX, representing an area with substantial put option interest. This level functions as a potential support zone, where price may stabilize or bounce upward, or as an inflection point, signaling increased downside momentum. Here’s how the Put Support Level can affect market behavior:
Support and Price Reversal🔺 : Similar to how Call Resistance operates on the upside, the Put Support Level often acts as a "sticky" level on the downside, where price finds support. As the asset price moves closer to this level, market makers begin adjusting their positions, frequently buying to maintain delta neutrality. This activity can create a temporary short squeeze, pushing prices back up.
Downside Acceleration Point 🔻 : If the asset continues moving lower, triggering more hedging activity, this level can become a tipping point for accelerated downside momentum.
🔴 Additional Put Wall Levels
Our model also identifies the second and third-highest negative GEX levels, known as secondary Put Walls. These levels are often seen as secondary support points and hold significance by adding layers of support or potential downside inflection points. Like the primary Put Support Level, they can act in two ways:
Support Zones: Helping slow price declines as they approach these levels.
Downside Inflection Points: Allowing further price decline if the support fails.
🔴 How Investors Hedge with Put Options
Investors commonly use put options to hedge long positions and protect portfolios, especially during times of market stress when implied volatility rises. This demand for puts increases the Put Skew, as market makers short to remain delta hedged.
As prices approach the Put Support Level, the hedging activity often intensifies because more puts become At the Money (ATM) or In the Money (ITM). To realize the value of their hedges, investors typically monetize these puts at this level, triggering the closing of short positions by market makers and resulting in a price bounce.
🔴 The Role of Implied Volatility
Implied Volatility (IV) is also a critical factor since it directly influences market flows. If IV driving put flows decreases, market makers may buy back shorts, which contributes to the bounce at the Put Support Level. Additionally, another Greek, Vanna—representing changes in delta due to IV shifts—plays a vital role here. As IV changes, Vanna affects delta-hedging adjustments, adding a layer of complexity to understanding market makers' actions around these support levels.
🔴 Possible Price Scenarios at the Put Support Level
When the price reaches the Put Support Level, there are generally two scenarios:
Bounce to Upside🔺 : The Put Support Level is where substantial put hedging activity happens. As prices approach, market makers adjust their delta by buying, which can push prices back up.
Roll Positions🔻 : After monetizing puts, investors have two options: roll hedges to higher strikes if they expect a bullish move, or open new out-of-the-money puts at lower strikes. If new hedges are set at lower levels, the Put Support level may also shift lower, creating a new bearish force as market makers begin hedging these new positions.
🟨 Customizing Put Support/Call Resistance and Put/Call Wall Levels on Your Chart
Our indicator settings provide extensive customization options for displaying Put Support, Call Resistance, and Put/Call Wall levels.
You can:
adjust the depth to highlight the highest positive or negative NETGEX levels
choose to display relative data, show only the colored strike line
adjust the offset for enhanced visibility.
This flexibility helps you focus on the critical details that best align with your trading strategy, ensuring a clearer and more tailored view of the GEX levels on your chart.
Currently, we examine the top three levels with the highest positive and negative NETGEX values, allowing you to view seven key GEX levels on your chart (3 Call + 1 HVL + 3 Put). However, in the near future, we plan to expand this to seven levels per side, resulting in a total of up to 15 significant GEX levels on the chart instead of the current 7. This enhancement will cater to all needs, especially benefiting 0DTE traders.
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🔶 ADDITIONAL IMPORTANT COMMENTS
🔹- Why is there a slight difference between the displayed data and other GEX provider's data like MenthorQ, GammaEdge, SpotGamma, GEXBot, etc?
There are two reasons for this, and one is beyond our control:
🔹 (1) Option-data update frequency:
According to TradingView's regulations and guidelines, we can update external data a maximum of 5 times per day. We strive to use these updates in the most optimal way:
(1st update) 15 minutes after U.S. market open
(2nd, 3rd, 4th updates) 1.5–3 hours during U.S. market open hours
(5th update) 10 minutes before U.S. market close.
You don’t need to refresh your window; our latest refreshed data pack is always automatically applied to your indicator. You can see the time elapsed since the last update by hovering over the HVL.
🔹 (2) GEX Levels with Intraday Updates Based on Price Movements
The TanukiTrade Options GEX Indicator for TradingView provides open interest data with a 15-minute delay after the market opens. Using this data, we calculate and update the relevant levels throughout the trading day, reflecting almost real-time price changes and gamma values. Unlike other GEX providers, who set their GEX levels solely at market open without further updates, we dynamically adjust our levels intraday to capture significant price shifts.
🔹 Automatic & Seamless Intraday Updates and Special Cases
For our indicator, the HVL (High Volatility Level) reflects the selected calculation mode and expiration. We update these NETGEX profiles five times throughout the trading day, with one exception: 0DTE data, which is set at market open and does not update intraday due to the rapid narrowing of gamma levels . Note that similar to other GEX providers, our 0DTE remains fixed at open, while cumulative values update during the day based on almost real-time market movements.
Disclaimer:
Our option indicator uses approximately 15min-3 hour delayed option market snapshot data to calculate the main option metrics. Exact realtime option contract prices are never displayed; only derived GEX metrics are shown to ensure accurate and consistent visualization. Due to the above, this indicator can only be used for decision support; exclusive decisions cannot be made based on this indicator. We reserve the right to make errors.This indicator is designed for options traders who understand what they are doing. It assumes that they are familiar with options and can make well-informed, independent decisions. We work with paid delayed data and we are not a data provider; therefore, we do not bear any financial or other liability.
Options Oscillator [Lite] IVRank, IVx, Call/Put Volatility Skew The first TradingView indicator that provides REAL IVRank, IVx, and CALL/PUT skew data based on REAL option chain for 5 U.S. market symbols.
🔃 Auto-Updating Option Metrics without refresh!
🍒 Developed and maintained by option traders for option traders.
📈 Specifically designed for TradingView users who trade options.
🔶 Ticker Information:
This 'Lite' indicator is currently only available for 5 liquid U.S. market smbols : NASDAQ:TSLA AMEX:DIA NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN and NYSE:ORCL
🔶 How does the indicator work and why is it unique?
This Pine Script indicator is a complex tool designed to provide various option metrics and visualization tools for options market traders. The indicator extracts raw options data from an external data provider (ORATS), processes and refines the delayed data package using pineseed, and sends it to TradingView, visualizing the data using specific formulas (see detailed below) or interpolated values (e.g., delta distances). This method of incorporating options data into a visualization framework is unique and entirely innovative on TradingView.
The indicator aims to offer a comprehensive view of the current state of options for the implemented instruments, including implied volatility (IV), IV rank (IVR), options skew, and expected market movements, which are objectively measured as detailed below.
The options metrics we display may be familiar to options traders from various major brokerage platforms such as TastyTrade, IBKR, TOS, Tradier, TD Ameritrade, Schwab, etc.
🟨 The following data is displayed in the oscillator 🟨
We use Tastytrade formulas, so our numbers mostly align with theirs!
🔶 𝗜𝗩𝗥𝗮𝗻𝗸
The Implied Volatility Rank (IVR) helps options traders assess the current level of implied volatility (IV) in comparison to the past 52 weeks. IVR is a useful metric to determine whether options are relatively cheap or expensive. This can guide traders on whether to buy or sell options.
IV Rank formula = (current IV - 52 week IV low) / (52 week IV high - 52 week IV low)
IVRank is default blue and you can adjust their settings:
🔶 𝗜𝗩𝘅 𝗮𝘃𝗴
The implied volatility (IVx) shown in the option chain is calculated like the VIX. The Cboe uses standard and weekly SPX options to measure expected S&P 500 volatility. A similar method is used for calculating IVx for each expiration cycle.
We aggregate the IVx values for the 35-70 day monthly expiration cycle, and use that value in the oscillator and info panel.
We always display which expiration the IVx values are averaged for when you hover over the IVx cell.
IVx main color is purple, but you can change the settings:
🔹IVx 5 days change %
We are also displaying the five-day change of the IV Index (IVx value). The IV Index 5-Day Change column provides quick insight into recent expansions or decreases in implied volatility over the last five trading days.
Traders who expect the value of options to decrease might view a decrease in IVX as a positive signal. Strategies such as Strangle and Ratio Spread can benefit from this decrease.
On the other hand, traders anticipating further increases in IVX will focus on the rising IVX values. Strategies like Calendar Spread or Diagonal Spread can take advantage of increasing implied volatility.
This indicator helps traders quickly assess changes in implied volatility, enabling them to make informed decisions based on their trading strategies and market expectations.
Important Note:
The IVx value alone does not provide sufficient context. There are stocks that inherently exhibit high IVx values. Therefore, it is crucial to consider IVx in conjunction with the Implied Volatility Rank (IVR), which measures the IVx relative to its own historical values. This combined view helps in accurately assessing the significance of the IVx in relation to the specific stock's typical volatility behavior.
This indicator offers traders a comprehensive view of implied volatility, assisting them in making informed decisions by highlighting both the absolute and relative volatility measures.
🔶 𝗖𝗔𝗟𝗟/𝗣𝗨𝗧 𝗣𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗦𝗸𝗲𝘄 𝗵𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗴𝗿𝗮𝗺
At TanukiTrade, Vertical Pricing Skew refers to the difference in pricing between put and call options with the same expiration date at the same distance (at tastytrade binary expected move). We analyze this skew to understand market sentiment. This is the same formula used by TastyTrade for calculations.
We calculate the interpolated strike price based on the expected move, taking into account the neighboring option prices and their distances. This allows us to accurately determine whether the CALL or PUT options are more expensive.
🔹 What Causes Pricing Skew? The Theory Behind It
The asymmetric pricing of PUT and CALL options is driven by the natural dynamics of the market. The theory is that when CALL options are more expensive than PUT options at the same distance from the current spot price, market participants are buying CALLs and selling PUTs, expecting a faster upward movement compared to a downward one .
In the case of PUT skew, it's the opposite: participants are buying PUTs and selling CALLs , as they expect a potential downward move to happen more quickly than an upward one.
An options trader can take advantage of this phenomenon by leveraging PUT pricing skew. For example, if they have a bullish outlook and both IVR and IVx are high and IV started decreasing, they can capitalize on this PUT skew with strategies like a jade lizard, broken wing butterfly, or short put.
🔴 PUT Skew 🔴
Put options are more expensive than call options, indicating the market expects a faster downward move (▽). This alone doesn't indicate which way the market will move (because nobody knows that), but the options chain pricing suggests that if the market moves downward, it could do so faster in velocity compared to a potential upward movement.
🔹 SPY PUT SKEW example:
If AMEX:SPY PUT option prices are 46% higher than CALLs at the same distance for the optimal next monthly expiry (DTE). This alone doesn't indicate which way the market will move (because nobody knows that), but the options chain pricing suggests that if the market moves downward, it could do so 46% faster in velocity compared to a potential upward movement
🟢 CALL Skew 🟢
Call options are more expensive than put options, indicating the market expects a faster upward move (△). This alone doesn't indicate which way the market will move (because nobody knows that), but the options chain pricing suggests that if the market moves upward, it could do so faster in velocity compared to a potential downward movement.
🔹 INTC CALL SKEW example:
If NASDAQ:INTC CALL option prices are 49% higher than PUTs at the same distance for the optimal next monthly expiry (DTE). This alone doesn't indicate which way the market will move (because nobody knows that), but the options chain pricing suggests that if the market moves upward, it could do so 49% faster in velocity compared to a potential downward movement .
🔶 USAGE example:
The script is compatible with our other options indicators.
For example: Since the main metrics are already available in this Options Oscillator, you can hide the main IVR panel of our Options Overlay indicator, freeing up more space on the chart. The following image shows this:
🔶 ADDITIONAL IMPORTANT COMMENTS
🔹 Historical Data:
Yes, we only using historical internal metrics dating back to 2024-07-01, when the TanukiTrade options brand launched. For now, we're using these, but we may expand the historical data in the future.
🔹 What distance does the indicator use to measure the call/put pricing skew?:
It is important to highlight that this oscillator displays the call/put pricing skew changes for the next optimal monthly expiration on a histogram.
The Binary Expected Move distance is calculated using the TastyTrade method for the next optimal monthly expiration: Formula = (ATM straddle price x 0.6) + (1st OTM strangle price x 0.3) + (2nd OTM strangle price x 0.1)
We interpolate the exact difference based on the neighboring strikes at the binary expected move distance using the TastyTrade method, and compare the interpolated call and put prices at this specific point.
🔹 - Why is there a slight difference between the displayed data and my live brokerage data?
There are two reasons for this, and one is beyond our control.
◎ Option-data update frequency:
According to TradingView's regulations and guidelines, we can update external data a maximum of 5 times per day. We strive to use these updates in the most optimal way:
(1st update) 15 minutes after U.S. market open
(2nd, 3rd, 4th updates) 1.5–3 hours during U.S. market open hours
(5th update) 10 minutes before U.S. market close.
You don’t need to refresh your window, our last refreshed data-pack is always automatically applied to your indicator, and you can see the time elapsed since the last update at the bottom of the corner on daily TF.
◎ Brokerage Calculation Differences:
Every brokerage has slight differences in how they calculate metrics like IV and IVx. If you open three windows for TOS, TastyTrade, and IBKR side by side, you will notice that the values are minimally different. We had to choose a standard, so we use the formulas and mathematical models described by TastyTrade when analyzing the options chain and drawing conclusions.
🔹 - EOD data:
The indicator always displays end-of-day (EOD) data for IVR, IV, and CALL/PUT pricing skew. During trading hours, it shows the current values for the ongoing day with each update, and at market close, these values become final. From that point on, the data is considered EOD, provided the day confirms as a closed daily candle.
🔹 - U.S. market only:
Since we only deal with liquid option chains: this option indicator only works for the USA options market and do not include future contracts; we have implemented each selected symbol individually.
Disclaimer:
Our option indicator uses approximately 15min-3 hour delayed option market snapshot data to calculate the main option metrics. Exact realtime option contract prices are never displayed; only derived metrics and interpolated delta are shown to ensure accurate and consistent visualization. Due to the above, this indicator can only be used for decision support; exclusive decisions cannot be made based on this indicator. We reserve the right to make errors.This indicator is designed for options traders who understand what they are doing. It assumes that they are familiar with options and can make well-informed, independent decisions. We work with public data and are not a data provider; therefore, we do not bear any financial or other liability.
SP500 RatiosThe "SP500 Ratios" indicator is a powerful tool developed for the TradingView platform, allowing users to access a variety of financial ratios and inflation-adjusted data related to the S&P 500 index. This indicator integrates with Nasdaq Data Link (formerly known as Quandl) to retrieve historical data, providing a comprehensive overview of key financial metrics associated with the S&P 500.
Key Features
Price to Sales Ratio: Quarterly ratio of price to sales (revenue) for the S&P 500.
Dividend Yield: Monthly dividend yield based on 12-month dividend per share.
Price Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio): Monthly price-to-earnings ratio based on trailing twelve-month reported earnings.
CAPE Ratio (Shiller PE Ratio): Monthly cyclically adjusted PE ratio, based on average inflation-adjusted earnings over the past ten years.
Earnings Yield: Monthly earnings yield, the inverse of the PE ratio.
Price to Book Ratio: Quarterly ratio of price to book value.
Inflation Adjusted S&P 500: Monthly S&P 500 level adjusted for inflation.
Revenue Per Share: Quarterly trailing twelve-month sales per share, not adjusted for inflation.
Earnings Per Share: Monthly real earnings per share, adjusted for inflation.
User Configuration
The indicator offers flexibility through user-configurable options. You can choose to display or hide each metric according to your analysis needs. Users can also adjust the line width for better visibility on the chart.
Visualization
The selected data is plotted on the chart with distinct colors for each metric, facilitating visual analysis. A dynamic legend table is also generated in the top-right corner of the chart, listing the currently displayed metrics with their associated colors.
This indicator is ideal for traders and analysts seeking detailed insights into the financial performance and valuations of the S&P 500, while benefiting from the customization flexibility offered by TradingView.
AlgoBuilder [Mean-Reversion] | FractalystWhat's the strategy's purpose and functionality?
This strategy is designed for both traders and investors looking to rely and trade based on historical and backtested data using automation.
The main goal is to build profitable mean-reversion strategies that outperform the underlying asset in terms of returns while minimizing drawdown.
For example, as for a benchmark, if the S&P 500 (SPX) has achieved an estimated 10% annual return with a maximum drawdown of -57% over the past 20 years, using this strategy with different entry and exit techniques, users can potentially seek ways to achieve a higher Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) while maintaining a lower maximum drawdown.
Although the strategy can be applied to all markets and timeframes, it is most effective on stocks, indices, future markets, cryptocurrencies, and commodities and JPY currency pairs given their trending behaviors.
In trending market conditions, the strategy employs a combination of moving averages and diverse entry models to identify and capitalize on upward market movements. It integrates market structure-based moving averages and bands mechanisms across different timeframes and provides exit techniques, including percentage-based and risk-reward (RR) based take profit levels.
Additionally, the strategy has also a feature that includes a built-in probability function for traders who want to implement probabilities right into their trading strategies.
Performance summary, weekly, and monthly tables enable quick visualization of performance metrics like net profit, maximum drawdown, profit factor, average trade, average risk-reward ratio (RR), and more.
This aids optimization to meet specific goals and risk tolerance levels effectively.
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How does the strategy perform for both investors and traders?
The strategy has two main modes, tailored for different market participants: Traders and Investors.
Trading:
1. Trading:
- Designed for traders looking to capitalize on bullish trending markets.
- Utilizes a percentage risk per trade to manage risk and optimize returns.
- Suitable for active trading with a focus on mean-reversion and risk per trade approach.
◓: Mode | %: Risk percentage per trade
3. Investing:
- Geared towards investors who aim to capitalize on bullish trending markets without using leverage while mitigating the asset's maximum drawdown.
- Utilizes pre-define percentage of the equity to buy, hold, and manage the asset.
- Focuses on long-term growth and capital appreciation by fully investing in the asset during bullish conditions.
- ◓: Mode | %: Risk not applied (In investing mode, the strategy uses 10% of equity to buy the asset)
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What's is FRMA? How does the triple bands work? What are the underlying calculations?
Middle Band (FRMA):
The middle band is the core of the FRMA system. It represents the Fractalyst Moving Average, calculated by identifying the most recent external swing highs and lows in the market structure.
By determining these external swing pivot points, which act as significant highs and lows within the market range, the FRMA provides a unique moving average that adapts to market structure changes.
Upper Band:
The upper band shows the average price of the most recent external swing highs.
External swing highs are identified as the highest points between pivot points in the market structure.
This band helps traders identify potential overbought conditions when prices approach or exceed this upper band.
Lower Band:
The lower band shows the average price of the most recent external swing lows.
External swing lows are identified as the lowest points between pivot points in the market structure.
The script utilizes this band to identify potential oversold conditions, triggering entry signals as prices approach or drop below the lower band.
Adjustments Based on User Inputs:
Users can adjust how the upper and lower bands are calculated based on their preferences:
Upper/Lower: This method calculates the average bands using the prices of external swing highs and lows identified in the market.
Percentage Deviation from FRMA: Alternatively, users can opt to calculate the bands based on a percentage deviation from the middle FRMA. This approach provides flexibility to adjust the width of the bands relative to market conditions and volatility.
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What's the purpose of using moving averages in this strategy? What are the underlying calculations?
Using moving averages is a widely-used technique to trade with the trend.
The main purpose of using moving averages in this strategy is to filter out bearish price action and to only take trades when the price is trading ABOVE specified moving averages.
The script uses different types of moving averages with user-adjustable timeframes and periods/lengths, allowing traders to try out different variations to maximize strategy performance and minimize drawdowns.
By applying these calculations, the strategy effectively identifies bullish trends and avoids market conditions that are not conducive to profitable trades.
The MA filter allows traders to choose whether they want a specific moving average above or below another one as their entry condition.
This comparison filter can be turned on (>) or off.
For example, you can set the filter so that MA#1 > MA#2, meaning the first moving average must be above the second one before the script looks for entry conditions. This adds an extra layer of trend confirmation, ensuring that trades are only taken in more favorable market conditions.
⍺: MA Period | Σ: MA Timeframe
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What entry modes are used in this strategy? What are the underlying calculations?
The strategy by default uses two different techniques for the entry criteria with user-adjustable left and right bars: Breakout and Fractal.
1. Breakout Entries :
- The strategy looks for pivot high points with a default period of 3.
- It stores the most recent high level in a variable.
- When the price crosses above this most recent level, the strategy checks if all conditions are met and the bar is closed before taking the buy entry.
◧: Pivot high left bars period | ◨: Pivot high right bars period
2. Fractal Entries :
- The strategy looks for pivot low points with a default period of 3.
- When a pivot low is detected, the strategy checks if all conditions are met and the bar is closed before taking the buy entry.
◧: Pivot low left bars period | ◨: Pivot low right bars period
2. Hunt Entries :
- The strategy identifies a candle that wicks through the lower FRMA band.
- It waits for the next candle to close above the low of the wick candle.
- When this condition is met and the bar is closed, the strategy takes the buy entry.
By utilizing these entry modes, the strategy aims to capitalize on bullish price movements while ensuring that the necessary conditions are met to validate the entry points.
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What type of stop-loss identification method are used in this strategy? What are the underlying calculations?
Initial Stop-Loss:
1. ATR Based:
The Average True Range (ATR) is a method used in technical analysis to measure volatility. It is not used to indicate the direction of price but to measure volatility, especially volatility caused by price gaps or limit moves.
Calculation:
- To calculate the ATR, the True Range (TR) first needs to be identified. The TR takes into account the most current period high/low range as well as the previous period close.
The True Range is the largest of the following:
- Current Period High minus Current Period Low
- Absolute Value of Current Period High minus Previous Period Close
- Absolute Value of Current Period Low minus Previous Period Close
- The ATR is then calculated as the moving average of the TR over a specified period. (The default period is 14).
Example - ATR (14) * 2
⍺: ATR period | Σ: ATR Multiplier
2. ADR Based:
The Average Day Range (ADR) is an indicator that measures the volatility of an asset by showing the average movement of the price between the high and the low over the last several days.
Calculation:
- To calculate the ADR for a particular day:
- Calculate the average of the high prices over a specified number of days.
- Calculate the average of the low prices over the same number of days.
- Find the difference between these average values.
- The default period for calculating the ADR is 14 days. A shorter period may introduce more noise, while a longer period may be slower to react to new market movements.
Example - ADR (20) * 2
⍺: ADR period | Σ: ADR Multiplier
3. PL Based:
This method places the stop-loss at the low of the previous candle.
If the current entry is based on the hunt entry strategy, the stop-loss will be placed at the low of the candle that wicks through the lower FRMA band.
Example:
If the previous candle's low is 100, then the stop-loss will be set at 100.
This method ensures the stop-loss is placed just below the most recent significant low, providing a logical and immediate level for risk management.
Application in Strategy (ATR/ADR):
- The strategy calculates the current bar's ADR/ATR with a user-defined period.
- It then multiplies the ADR/ATR by a user-defined multiplier to determine the initial stop-loss level.
By using these methods, the strategy dynamically adjusts the initial stop-loss based on market volatility, helping to protect against adverse price movements while allowing for enough room for trades to develop.
Each market behaves differently across various timeframes, and it is essential to test different parameters and optimizations to find out which trailing stop-loss method gives you the desired results and performance.
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What type of break-even and take profit identification methods are used in this strategy? What are the underlying calculations?
For Break-Even:
Percentage (%) Based:
Moves the initial stop-loss to the entry price when the price reaches a certain percentage above the entry.
Calculation:
Break-even level = Entry Price * (1 + Percentage / 100)
Example:
If the entry price is $100 and the break-even percentage is 5%, the break-even level is $100 * 1.05 = $105.
Risk-to-Reward (RR) Based:
Moves the initial stop-loss to the entry price when the price reaches a certain RR ratio.
Calculation:
Break-even level = Entry Price + (Initial Risk * RR Ratio)
Example:
If the entry price is $100, the initial risk is $10, and the RR ratio is 2, the break-even level is $100 + ($10 * 2) = $120.
FRMA Based:
Moves the stop-loss to break-even when the price hits the FRMA level at which the entry was taken.
Calculation:
Break-even level = FRMA level at the entry
Example:
If the FRMA level at entry is $102, the break-even level is set to $102 when the price reaches $102.
For TP1 (Take Profit 1):
- You can choose to set a take profit level at which your position gets fully closed or 50% if the TP2 boolean is enabled.
- Similar to break-even, you can select either a percentage (%) or risk-to-reward (RR) based take profit level, allowing you to set your TP1 level as a percentage amount above the entry price or based on RR.
For TP2 (Take Profit 2):
- You can choose to set a take profit level at which your position gets fully closed.
- As with break-even and TP1, you can select either a percentage (%) or risk-to-reward (RR) based take profit level, allowing you to set your TP2 level as a percentage amount above the entry price or based on RR.
When Both Percentage (%) Based and RR Based Take Profit Levels Are Off:
The script will adjust the take profit level to the higher FRMA band set within user inputs.
Calculation:
Take profit level = Higher FRMA band length/timeframe specified by the user.
This ensures that when neither percentage-based nor risk-to-reward-based take profit methods are enabled, the strategy defaults to using the higher FRMA band as the take profit level, providing a consistent and structured approach to profit-taking.
For TP1 and TP2, it's specifying the price levels at which the position is partially or fully closed based on the chosen method (percentage or RR) above the entry price.
These calculations are crucial for managing risk and optimizing profitability in the strategy.
⍺: BE/TP type (%/RR) | Σ: how many RR/% above the current price
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What's the ADR filter? What does it do? What are the underlying calculations?
The Average Day Range (ADR) measures the volatility of an asset by showing the average movement of the price between the high and the low over the last several days.
The period of the ADR filter used in this strategy is tied to the same period you've used for your initial stop-loss.
Users can define the minimum ADR they want to be met before the script looks for entry conditions.
ADR Bias Filter:
- Compares the current bar ADR with the ADR (Defined by user):
- If the current ADR is higher, it indicates that volatility has increased compared to ADR (DbU).(⬆)
- If the current ADR is lower, it indicates that volatility has decreased compared to ADR (DbU).(⬇)
Calculations:
1. Calculate ADR:
- Average the high prices over the specified period.
- Average the low prices over the same period.
- Find the difference between these average values in %.
2. Current ADR vs. ADR (DbU):
- Calculate the ADR for the current bar.
- Calculate the ADR (DbU).
- Compare the two values to determine if volatility has increased or decreased.
By using the ADR filter, the strategy ensures that trades are only taken in favorable market conditions where volatility meets the user's defined threshold, thus optimizing entry conditions and potentially improving the overall performance of the strategy.
>: Minimum required ADR for entry | %: Current ADR comparison to ADR of 14 days ago.
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What's the probability filter? What are the underlying calculations?
The probability filter is designed to enhance trade entries by using buyside liquidity and probability analysis to filter out unfavorable conditions.
This filter helps in identifying optimal entry points where the likelihood of a profitable trade is higher.
Calculations:
1. Understanding Swing highs and Swing Lows
Swing High: A Swing High is formed when there is a high with 2 lower highs to the left and right.
Swing Low: A Swing Low is formed when there is a low with 2 higher lows to the left and right.
2. Understanding the purpose and the underlying calculations behind Buyside, Sellside and Equilibrium levels.
3. Understanding probability calculations
1. Upon the formation of a new range, the script waits for the price to reach and tap into equilibrium or the 50% level. Status: "⏸" - Inactive
2. Once equilibrium is tapped into, the equilibrium status becomes activated and it waits for either liquidity side to be hit. Status: "▶" - Active
3. If the buyside liquidity is hit, the script adds to the count of successful buyside liquidity occurrences. Similarly, if the sellside is tapped, it records successful sellside liquidity occurrences.
5. Finally, the number of successful occurrences for each side is divided by the overall count individually to calculate the range probabilities.
Note: The calculations are performed independently for each directional range. A range is considered bearish if the previous breakout was through a sellside liquidity. Conversely, a range is considered bullish if the most recent breakout was through a buyside liquidity.
Example - BSL > 55%
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What's the range length Filter? What are the underlying calculations?
The range length filter identifies the price distance between buyside and sellside liquidity levels in percentage terms. When enabled, the script only looks for entries when the minimum range length is met. This helps ensure that trades are taken in markets with sufficient price movement.
Calculations:
Range Length (%) = ( ( Buyside Level − Sellside Level ) / Current Price ) ×100
Range Bias Identification:
Bullish Bias: The current range price has broken above the previous external swing high.
Bearish Bias: The current range price has broken below the previous external swing low.
Example - Range length filter is enabled | Range must be above 1%
>: Minimum required range length for entry | %: Current range length percentage in a (Bullish/Bearish) range
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What's the day filter Filter, what does it do?
The day filter allows users to customize the session time and choose the specific days they want to include in the strategy session. This helps traders tailor their strategies to particular trading sessions or days of the week when they believe the market conditions are more favorable for their trading style.
Customize Session Time:
Users can define the start and end times for the trading session.
This allows the strategy to only consider trades within the specified time window, focusing on periods of higher market activity or preferred trading hours.
Select Days:
Users can select which days of the week to include in the strategy.
This feature is useful for excluding days with historically lower volatility or unfavorable trading conditions (e.g., Mondays or Fridays).
Benefits:
Focus on Optimal Trading Periods:
By customizing session times and days, traders can focus on periods when the market is more likely to present profitable opportunities.
Avoid Unfavorable Conditions:
Excluding specific days or times can help avoid trading during periods of low liquidity or high unpredictability, such as major news events or holidays.
Increased Flexibility: The filter provides increased flexibility, allowing traders to adapt the strategy to their specific needs and preferences.
Example - Day filter | Session Filter
θ: Session time | Exchange time-zone
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What tables are available in this script?
Table Type:
- Summary: Provides a general overview, displaying key performance parameters such as Net Profit, Profit Factor, Max Drawdown, Average Trade, Closed Trades and more.
Avg Trade: The sum of money gained or lost by the average trade generated by a strategy. Calculated by dividing the Net Profit by the overall number of closed trades. An important value since it must be large enough to cover the commission and slippage costs of trading the strategy and still bring a profit.
MaxDD: Displays the largest drawdown of losses, i.e., the maximum possible loss that the strategy could have incurred among all of the trades it has made. This value is calculated separately for every bar that the strategy spends with an open position.
Profit Factor: The amount of money a trading strategy made for every unit of money it lost (in the selected currency). This value is calculated by dividing gross profits by gross losses.
Avg RR: This is calculated by dividing the average winning trade by the average losing trade. This field is not a very meaningful value by itself because it does not take into account the ratio of the number of winning vs losing trades, and strategies can have different approaches to profitability. A strategy may trade at every possibility in order to capture many small profits, yet have an average losing trade greater than the average winning trade. The higher this value is, the better, but it should be considered together with the percentage of winning trades and the net profit.
Winrate: The percentage of winning trades generated by a strategy. Calculated by dividing the number of winning trades by the total number of closed trades generated by a strategy. Percent profitable is not a very reliable measure by itself. A strategy could have many small winning trades, making the percent profitable high with a small average winning trade, or a few big winning trades accounting for a low percent profitable and a big average winning trade. Most mean-reversion successful strategies have a percent profitability of 40-80% but are profitable due to risk management control.
BE Trades: Number of break-even trades, excluding commission/slippage.
Losing Trades: The total number of losing trades generated by the strategy.
Winning Trades: The total number of winning trades generated by the strategy.
Total Trades: Total number of taken traders visible your charts.
Net Profit: The overall profit or loss (in the selected currency) achieved by the trading strategy in the test period. The value is the sum of all values from the Profit column (on the List of Trades tab), taking into account the sign.
- Monthly: Displays performance data on a month-by-month basis, allowing users to analyze performance trends over each month.
- Weekly: Displays performance data on a week-by-week basis, helping users to understand weekly performance variations.
- OFF: Hides the performance table.
Profit Color:
- Allows users to set the color for representing profit in the performance table, helping to quickly distinguish profitable periods.
Loss Color:
- Allows users to set the color for representing loss in the performance table, helping to quickly identify loss-making periods.
These customizable tables provide traders with flexible and detailed performance analysis, aiding in better strategy evaluation and optimization.
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User-input styles and customizations:
To facilitate studying historical data, all conditions and rules can be applied to your charts. By plotting background colors on your charts, you'll be able to identify what worked and what didn't in certain market conditions.
Please note that all background colors in the style are disabled by default to enhance visualization.
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How to Use This Algobuilder to Create a Profitable Edge and System:
Choose Your Strategy mode:
- Decide whether you are creating an investing strategy or a trading strategy.
Select a Market:
- Choose a one-sided market such as stocks, indices, or cryptocurrencies.
Historical Data:
- Ensure the historical data covers at least 10 years of price action for robust backtesting.
Timeframe Selection:
- Choose the timeframe you are comfortable trading with. It is strongly recommended to use a timeframe above 15 minutes to minimize the impact of commissions/slippage on your profits.
Set Commission and Slippage:
- Properly set the commission and slippage in the strategy properties according to your broker or prop firm specifications.
Parameter Optimization:
- Use trial and error to test different parameters until you find the performance results you are looking for in the summary table or, preferably, through deep backtesting using the strategy tester.
Trade Count:
- Ensure the number of trades is 100 or more; the higher, the better for statistical significance.
Positive Average Trade:
- Make sure the average trade value is above zero.
(An important value since it must be large enough to cover the commission and slippage costs of trading the strategy and still bring a profit.)
Performance Metrics:
- Look for a high profit factor, and net profit with minimum drawdown.
- Ideally, aim for a drawdown under 20-30%, depending on your risk tolerance.
Refinement and Optimization:
- Try out different markets and timeframes.
- Continue working on refining your edge using the available filters and components to further optimize your strategy.
Automation:
- Once you’re confident in your strategy, you can use the automation section to connect the algorithm to your broker or prop firm.
- Trade a fully automated and backtested trading strategy, allowing for hands-free execution and management.
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What makes this strategy original?
1. Incorporating direct integration of probabilities into the strategy.
2. Utilizing built-in market structure-based moving averages across various timeframes.
4. Offering both investing and trading strategies, facilitating optimization from different perspectives.
5. Automation for efficient execution.
6. Providing a summary table for instant access to key parameters of the strategy.
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How to use automation?
For Traders:
1. Ensure the strategy parameters are properly set based on your optimized parameters.
2. Enter your PineConnector License ID in the designated field.
3. Specify the desired risk level.
4. Provide the Metatrader symbol.
5. Check for chart updates to ensure the automation table appears on the top right corner, displaying your License ID, risk, and symbol.
6. Set up an alert with the strategy selected as Condition and the Message as {{strategy.order.alert_message}}.
7. Activate the Webhook URL in the Notifications section, setting it as the official PineConnector webhook address.
8. Double-check all settings on PineConnector to ensure the connection is successful.
9. Create the alert for entry/exit automation.
For Investors:
1. Ensure the strategy parameters are properly set based on your optimized parameters.
2. Choose "Investing" in the user-input settings.
3. Create an alert with a specified name.
4. Customize the notifications tab to receive alerts via email.
5. Buying/selling alerts will be triggered instantly upon entry or exit order execution.
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Terms and Conditions | Disclaimer
Our charting tools are provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, or trading advice. They are not intended to forecast market movements or offer specific recommendations. Users should understand that past performance does not guarantee future results and should not base financial decisions solely on historical data.
Built-in components, features, and functionalities of our charting tools are the intellectual property of @Fractalyst Unauthorized use, reproduction, or distribution of these proprietary elements is prohibited.
By continuing to use our charting tools, the user acknowledges and accepts the Terms and Conditions outlined in this legal disclaimer and agrees to respect our intellectual property rights and comply with all applicable laws and regulations.
Options SCREENER [Lite] - IVRank, IVx, Deltas, Exp.move, Skew
𝗢𝗽𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝘀𝗰𝗿𝗲𝗲𝗻𝗲𝗿 𝗼𝗻 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴𝗩𝗶𝗲𝘄 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗹 𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗮, 𝗼𝗻𝗹𝘆 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝟱 𝗹𝗶𝗾𝘂𝗶𝗱 𝗨𝗦 𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝘀𝘆𝗺𝗯𝗼𝗹𝘀
𝗢𝘂𝗿 𝘀𝗰𝗿𝗲𝗲𝗻𝗲𝗿 𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗶𝗱𝗲𝘀 𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗸𝗲𝘆 𝗺𝗲𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗰𝘀 𝘀𝘂𝗰𝗵 𝗮𝘀:
✅ IVRank
✅ IVx
✅ 5-Day IVx Change
✅ Vertical Pricing Skew
✅ Horizontal IVx Skew
✅ Delta Skew
like TastyTrade, TOS, IBKR etc.
Designed to help you assess option market conditions and make well-informed trading decisions, this tool is an essential addition for every serious options trader!
Ticker Information:
This screener is currently implemented only for 5 liquid US market tickers:
NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN AMEX:DIA NYSE:ORCL and NASDAQ:TSLA
How does the screener work and why is it unique?
This Pine Script screener is an expert tool created to provide various option metrics and visualization tools for options market traders. The screener extracts raw options data from an external data provider (ORATS), processes, and refines the delayed data package using pineseed, and sends it to TradingView. The data is calculated using specific formulas or interpolated values, such as delta distances. This method of integrating options data into a screener framework is unique and innovative on TradingView.
The screener aims to offer a comprehensive view of the current state of options for the implemented instruments, including implied volatility index (IVx), IV rank (IVR), options skew, and expected market movements, which are objectively measured as detailed below.
The options metrics displayed may be familiar to options traders from various major brokerage platforms such as TastyTrade, IBKR, TOS, Tradier, TD Ameritrade, Schwab, etc.
🟨 𝗗𝗘𝗧𝗔𝗜𝗟𝗘𝗗 𝗗𝗢𝗖𝗨𝗠𝗘𝗡𝗧𝗔𝗧𝗜𝗢𝗡 🟨
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🔶 Auto-Updating Option Metrics
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🔹 IVR (IV Rank)
The Implied Volatility Rank (IVR) indicator helps options traders assess the current level of implied volatility (IV) in comparison to the past 52 weeks. IVR is a useful metric to determine whether options are relatively cheap or expensive. This can guide traders on whether to buy or sell options. We calculate IVrank, like TastyTrade does.
IVR Calculation: IV Rank = (current IV - 52 week IV low) / (52 week IV high - 52 week IV low)
IVR Levels and Interpretations:
IVR 0-10 (Green): Very low implied volatility rank. Options might be "cheap," potentially a good time to buy options.
IVR 10-35 (White): Normal implied volatility rank. Options pricing is relatively standard.
IVR 35-50 (Orange): Almost high implied volatility rank.
IVR 50-75 (Red): Definitely high implied volatility rank. Options might be "expensive," potentially a good time to sell options for higher premiums.
IVR above 75 (Highlighted Red): Ultra high implied volatility rank. Indicates very high levels, suggesting a favorable time for selling options.
Extra: If the IVx value is also greater than 30, the background will be dark highlighted, because a high IVR alone doesn’t mean much without high IVx.
🔹IVx (Implied Volatility Index)
The Implied Volatility Index (IVx) displayed in the option chain is calculated similarly to the VIX. The Cboe employs standard and weekly SPX options to measure the expected volatility of the S&P 500. A similar method is utilized to calculate IVx for each option expiration cycle.
For our purposes, we aggregate the IVx values specifically for the 35-70 day monthly expiration cycle . This aggregated value is then presented in the screener and info panel, providing a clear and concise measure of implied volatility over this period.
We will display a warning if the option chain is heavily skewed and valid, symmetric 16 delta options are not found at optimal monthly expirations.
IVx Color coding:
IVx above 30 is displayed in orange.
IVx above 60 is displayed in red
Important Note: The IVx value alone does not provide sufficient context. There are stocks that inherently exhibit high IVx values. Therefore, it is crucial to consider IVx in conjunction with the Implied Volatility Rank (IVR), which measures the IVx relative to its own historical values. This combined view helps in accurately assessing the significance of the IVx in relation to the specific stock's typical volatility behavior.
This indicator offers traders a comprehensive view of implied volatility, assisting them in making informed decisions by highlighting both the absolute and relative volatility measures.
🔹IVx 5 days change %
We are displaying the five-day change of the IV Index (IVx value). The IV Index 5-Day Change column provides quick insight into recent expansions or decreases in implied volatility over the last five trading days.
Traders who expect the value of options to decrease might view a decrease in IVX as a positive signal. Strategies such as Strangle and Ratio Spread can benefit from this decrease.
On the other hand, traders anticipating further increases in IVX will focus on the rising IVX values. Strategies like Calendar Spread or Diagonal Spread can take advantage of increasing implied volatility.
This indicator helps traders quickly assess changes in implied volatility, enabling them to make informed decisions based on their trading strategies and market expectations.
🔹 Vertical Pricing Skew
At TanukiTrade, Vertical Pricing Skew refers to the difference in pricing between put and call options with the same expiration date at the same distance (at expected move). We analyze this skew to understand market sentiment. This is the same formula used by TastyTrade for calculations.
PUT Skew (red): Put options are more expensive than call options, indicating the market expects a downward move (▽). If put options are more expensive by more than 20% at the same expected move distance, we color it lighter red.
CALL Skew (green): Call options are more expensive than put options, indicating the market expects an upward move (△). If call options are priced more than 30% higher at the examined expiration, we color it lighter green.
We focus on options with 35-70 days to expiration (DTE) for optimal analysis. We always evaluate the skew at the expected move using linear interpolation to determine the theoretical pricing of options. If the pricing have more than C50%/P35% we are highlighting the cell.
This approach helps us gauge market expectations accurately, providing insights into potential price movements.
🔹 Horizontal IVx Skew
In options pricing, it is typically expected that the implied volatility (IVx) increases for options with later expiration dates. This means that options further out in time are generally more expensive. At TanukiTrade, we refer to the phenomenon where this expectation is reversed—when the IVx decreases between two consecutive expirations—as Horizontal Skew or IVx Skew.
Horizontal IVx Skew occurs when: Front Month IVx < Back Month IVx
This scenario can create opportunities for traders who prefer diagonal or calendar strategies. Based on our experience, we categorize Horizontal Skew into two types:
Weekly Horizontal Skew: When IVx skew is observed between two consecutive non-monthly expirations , the displayed value is the rounded-up percentage difference. On hover, the approximate location of this skew is also displayed. The precise location can be seen on the Overlay indicator.
Monthly Horizontal Skew: When IVx skew is observed between two consecutive monthly expirations , the displayed value is the rounded-up percentage difference. On hover, the approximate location of this skew is also displayed. The precise location can be seen on the Overlay indicator.
The Monthly Vertical IVx skew is consistently stronger (more liquid) on average symbols than the weekly vertical IVx skew. Weekly Horizontal IVx Skew may not carry relevant information for symbols not included in the 'Weeklies & Volume Masters' preset.
If the options chain follows the normal IVx pattern, no skew value is displayed.
Additionally , if the Implied Volatility Rank (IVR) is low (indicated by green), the Horizontal Skew background turns black, because this environment is good for Calendar+Diagonal.
Additionally , if the % of the skew is greater than 10, the Horizontal Skew font color turns lighter.
🔹 Delta Skew 🌪️ (Twist)
We have a metric that examines which monthly expiration indicates a "Delta Skew Twist" where the 16 delta deviates from the monthly STD. This is important because, under normal circumstances, the 16 delta is positioned between the expected move and the standard deviation (STD1) line. However, if the interpolated 16 delta line exceeds the STD1 line either upwards or downwards, it represents a special case of vertical skew.
Normal case : exp.move < delta16 < std1
Delta Skew Twist: exp.move < std1 < delta16
If the Days to Expiration of the twist is less than 75, we use a lighter color.
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🔶 HOW WE CALCULATE
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🔹 Expected Move
The expected move is the predicted dollar change in the underlying stock's price by a given option's expiration date, with 68% certainty. It is calculated using the expiration's pricing and implied volatility levels.
Expected Move Calculation
Expected Move = (ATM straddle price x 0.6) + (1st OTM strangle price x 0.3) + (2nd OTM strangle price x 0.1)
For example , if stock XYZ is trading at 121 and the ATM straddle is 4.40, the 120/122 strangle is 3.46, and the 119/123 strangle is 2.66, the expected move is calculated as follows: 4.40 x 0.60 = 2.64; 3.46 x 0.30 = 1.04; 2.66 x 0.10 = 0.27; Expected move = 2.64 + 1.04 + 0.27 = ±3.9
🔹 Standard deviation
One standard deviation of a stock encompasses approximately 68.2% of outcomes in a distribution of occurrences based on current implied volatility.
We use the expected move formula to calculate the one standard deviation range of a stock. This calculation is based on the days-to-expiration (DTE) of our option contract, the stock price, and the implied volatility of a stock:
Calculation:
Standard Deviation = Closing Price * Implied Volatility * sqrt(Days to Expiration / 365)
According to options literature, there is a 68% probability that the underlying asset will fall within this one standard deviation range at expiration.
∑ Quant Observation: The values of the expected move and the 1st standard deviation (1STD) will not match because they use different calculation methods, even though both are referred to as representing 68% of the underlying asset's movement in options literature. The expected move is based on direct market pricing of ATM options. The 1STD, on the other hand, uses the averaged implied volatility (IVX) for the given expiration to determine its value. Based on our experience, it is better to consider the area between the expected move and the 1STD as the true representation of the original 68% rule.
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🔶 USAGE
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🔹 Create a new empty layout for the screener!
You can access this from the dropdown menu in the upper right corner. In the popup window, name it as you like, for example, "Option Screener."
🔹 Hide the candlestick chart
Make the chart invisible using the "Hide" option from the three-dot dropdown menu located in the upper left corner.
🔹 Other Unwanted Elements
If other unnecessary elements are distracting you (e.g., economic data, volume, default grid), you can easily remove them from the layout. Right-click on the empty chart area. Here, click on the gear (Settings) icon and remove everything from the "Events" tab, as well as from the "Trading" tab. Under the "Canvas" tab, it is recommended to set the "Grid lines" setting to "None."
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🔶 Screener Settings
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Naturally, the font size and position can be easily adjusted.
Additionally, there are two basic usage modes: manual input or using the preset list.
🔹If you selected “Manual Below” in the preset dropdown, the tickers you chose from the dropdown (up to a maximum of 40) will be displayed. The panel name will be the one you specified.
🔹If you selected a pre-assembled list , the manually entered list will be ignored, and the preset list will be displayed. (In the future, we will expand the preset list based on your feedback!).
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🔶 Best Practices for TanukiTrade Option Screener:
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🔹 Every Preset on a New Layout:
If you following the steps above, you easy can setup this screener in one window with one split layout:
🔹 Split Layout:
- Left Side: The underlying asset with our Options IV Overlay (IVR, Deltas, Expected Move, STD1, Skew visualized) along with the Enhanced Murrey Math Indicator and Option Expiry.
- Right Side: Searching for opportunities using our Options Screener.
Opportunities Search
🔹 Everything in One Layout + One Window:
This is the all-in-one view:
- The underlying asset with our Options IV Overlay (IVR, Deltas, Expected Move, STD1, Skew visualized)
- Enhanced Murrey Math Indicator and Option Expiry
- Options Screener on the left
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🔶 ADDITIONAL IMPORTANT COMMENTS
- U.S. market only:
Since we only deal with liquid option chains: this option indicator only works for the USA options market and do not include future contracts; we have implemented each selected symbol individually.
- Why is there a slight difference between the displayed data and my live brokerage data? There are two reasons for this, and one is beyond our control.
- Brokerage Calculation Differences:
Every brokerage has slight differences in how they calculate metrics like IV and IVx. If you open three windows for TOS, TastyTrade, and IBKR side by side, you will notice that the values are minimally different. We had to choose a standard, so we use the formulas and mathematical models described by TastyTrade when analyzing the options chain and drawing conclusions.
- Option-data update frequency:
According to TradingView's regulations and guidelines, we can update external data a maximum of 5 times per day. We strive to use these updates in the most optimal way:
(1st update) 15 minutes after U.S. market open
(2nd, 3rd, 4th updates) 1.5–3 hours during U.S. market open hours
(5th update) 10 minutes before market close.
You don’t need to refresh your window, our last refreshed data-pack is always automatically applied to your indicator , and you can see the time elapsed since the last update at the bottom of your indicator.
- Weekly illiquid expiries:
The Weekly Horizontal IVx Skew may not carry relevant information for instruments not included in the 'Weeklies & Volume Masters' preset package.
-Timeframe Issues:
Our option indicator visualizes relevant data on a daily resolution. If you see strange or incorrect data (e.g., when the options data was last updated), always switch to a daily (1D) timeframe. If you still see strange data, please contact us.
Disclaimer:
Our option indicator uses approximately 15min-3 hour delayed option market snapshot data to calculate the main option metrics. Exact realtime option contract prices are never displayed; only derived metrics and interpolated delta are shown to ensure accurate and consistent visualization. Due to the above, this indicator can only be used for decision support; exclusive decisions cannot be made based on this indicator . We reserve the right to make errors.This indicator is designed for options traders who understand what they are doing. It assumes that they are familiar with options and can make well-informed, independent decisions. We work with public data and are not a data provider; therefore, we do not bear any financial or other liability.
Options Overlay [Lite] IVR IV Skew Delta Expmv MurreyMath Expiry𝗡𝗼𝗻-𝗼𝗳𝗳𝗶𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗧𝗢𝗦 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗧𝗮𝘀𝘁𝘆𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲 𝗹𝗶𝗸𝗲 𝗜𝗩𝗥 𝗢𝗽𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 𝘃𝗶𝘀𝘂𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘇𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝘁𝗼𝗼𝗹 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝗱𝗲𝗹𝗮𝘆𝗲𝗱 𝗼𝗽𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗶𝗻 𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗮
Are you an options trader who uses TradingView for technical analysis for the US market?
➡️ Do you want to see the IV Rank of an instrument on TradingView?
➡️ Can’t you check the key options metrics while charting?
➡️ Have you never visualized the options chain before?
➡️ Would you like to see how the IVx has changed for a specific ticker?
If you answered "yes" to any of these questions, then we have the solution for you!
🔃 Auto-Updating Option Metrics without refresh!
🍒 Developed and maintained by option traders for option traders.
📈 Specifically designed for TradingView users who trade options.
Our indicator provides essential key metrics such as:
✅ IVRank
✅ IVx
✅ 5-Day IVx Change
✅ Delta curves and interpolated distances
✅ Expected move curve
✅ Standard deviation (STD1) curve
✅ Vertical Pricing Skew
✅ Horizontal IVx Skew
✅ Delta Skew
like TastyTrade, TOS, IBKR etc, but in a much more visually intuitive way. See detailed descriptions below.
If this isn't enough, we also include a unique grid system designed specifically for options traders. This package features our innovative dynamic grid system:
✅ Enhanced Murrey Math levels (horizontal scale)
✅ Options expirations (vertical scale)
Designed to help you assess market conditions and make well-informed trading decisions, this tool is an essential addition for every serious options trader!
Ticker Information:
This indicator is currently implemented for 5 liquid tickers: NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN AMEX:DIA NYSE:ORCL and NASDAQ:TSLA
How does the indicator work and why is it unique?
This Pine Script indicator is a complex tool designed to provide various option metrics and visualization tools for options market traders. The indicator extracts raw options data from an external data provider (ORATS), processes and refines the delayed data package using pineseed, and sends it to TradingView, visualizing the data using specific formulas (see detailed below) or interpolated values (e.g., delta distances). This method of incorporating options data into a visualization framework is unique and entirely innovative on TradingView.
The indicator aims to offer a comprehensive view of the current state of options for the implemented instruments, including implied volatility (IV), IV rank (IVR), options skew, and expected market movements, which are objectively measured as detailed below.
The options metrics we display may be familiar to options traders from various major brokerage platforms such as TastyTrade, IBKR, TOS, Tradier, TD Ameritrade, Schwab, etc.
Key Features:
IV Rank (IVR) : The implied volatility rank compares the current IV to the lowest and highest values over the past 52 weeks. The IVR indicator helps determine whether options are relatively cheap or expensive.
IV Average (IVx) : The implied volatility displayed in the options chain, calculated similarly to the VIX. IVx values are aggregated within the 35-70 day expiration cycle.
IV Change (5 days) : The change in implied volatility over the past five trading days. This indicator provides a quick insight into the recent changes in IV.
Expected Move (Exp. Move) : The expected movement for the options expiration cycle, calculated using the price of the ATM (at-the-money) straddle, the first OTM (out-of-the-money) strangle, and the second OTM strangle.
Options Skew : The price difference between put and call options with the same expiration date. Vertical and horizontal skew indicators help understand market sentiment and potential price movements.
Visualization Tools:
Informational IVR Panel : A tabular display mode that presents the selected indicators on the chart. The panel’s placement, size, and content are customizable, including color and tooltip settings.
1 STD, Delta, and Expected Move : Visualization of fundamental classic options metrics corresponding to expirations with bell curves.
Colored Label Tooltips : Detailed tooltips above the bell curves showing options metrics for each expiration.
Adaptive Murrey Math Lines : A horizontal line system based on the principles of Murrey Math Lines, helping identify important price levels and market structures.
Expiration Lines : Displays both monthly and weekly options expirations. The indicator supports various color and style settings, as well as the regulation of the number of expirations displayed.
🟨 𝗗𝗘𝗧𝗔𝗜𝗟𝗘𝗗 𝗗𝗢𝗖𝗨𝗠𝗘𝗡𝗧𝗔𝗧𝗜𝗢𝗡 🟨
🔶 Auto-Updating Option Metrics and Curved Lines
🔹 Interpolated DELTA Curves (16,20,25,30,40)
In our indicator, the curve layer settings allow you to choose the delta value for displaying the delta curve: 16, 20, 25, 30, or even 40. The color of the curve can be customized, and you can also hide the delta curve by selecting the "-" option.
It's important to mention that we display interpolated deltas from the actual option chain of the underlying asset using the Black-Scholes model. This ensures that the 16 delta truly reflects the theoretical, but accurate, 16 delta distance. (For example, deltas shown by brokerages for individual strikes are rounded; a 0.16 delta might actually be 0.1625.)
🔹 Expected Move Curve (Exp.mv)
The expected move is the predicted dollar change in the underlying stock's price by a given option's expiration date, with 68% certainty. It is calculated using the expiration's pricing and implied volatility levels. We chose the TastyTrade method for calculating expected move, as we found it to be the most expressive.
Expected Move Calculation
Expected Move = (ATM straddle price x 0.6) + (1st OTM strangle price x 0.3) + (2nd OTM strangle price x 0.1)
For example , if stock XYZ is trading at 121 and the ATM straddle is 4.40, the 120/122 strangle is 3.46, and the 119/123 strangle is 2.66, the expected move is calculated as follows: 4.40 x 0.60 = 2.64; 3.46 x 0.30 = 1.04; 2.66 x 0.10 = 0.27; Expected move = 2.64 + 1.04 + 0.27 = ±3.9
In this example below, the TastyTrade platform indicates the expected move on the option chain with a brown color, and the exact value is displayed behind the ± symbol for each expiration. By default, we also use brown for this indication, but this can be changed or the curve display can be turned off.
🔹 Standard Deviation Curve (1 STD)
One standard deviation of a stock encompasses approximately 68.2% of outcomes in a distribution of occurrences based on current implied volatility.
We use the expected move formula to calculate the one standard deviation range of a stock. This calculation is based on the days-to-expiration (DTE) of our option contract, the stock price, and the implied volatility of a stock:
Calculation:
Standard Deviation = Closing Price * Implied Volatility * sqrt(Days to Expiration / 365)
According to options literature, there is a 68% probability that the underlying asset will fall within this one standard deviation range at expiration.
If the 1 STD and Exp.mv displays are both enabled, the indicator fills the area between them with a light gray color. This is because both represent probability distributions that appear as a "bell curve" when graphed, making it visually appealing.
Tip and Note:
The 1 STD line might appear jagged at times , which does not indicate a problem with the indicator. This is normal immediately after market open (e.g., during the first data refresh of the day) or if the expirations are illiquid (e.g., weekly expirations). The 1 STD value is calculated based on the aggregated IVx for the expirations, and the aggregated IVx value for weekly expirations updates less frequently due to lower trading volume. In such cases, we recommend enabling the "Only Monthly Expirations" option to smooth out the bell curve.
∑ Quant Observation:
The values of the expected move and the 1st standard deviation (1STD) will not match because they use different calculation methods, even though both are referred to as representing 68% of the underlying asset's movement in options literature. The expected move is based on direct market pricing of ATM options. The 1STD, on the other hand, uses the averaged implied volatility (IVX) for the given expiration to determine its value. Based on our experience, it is better to consider the area between the expected move and the 1STD as the true representation of the original 68% rule.
🔶 IVR Dashboard Panel Rows
🔹 IVR (IV Rank)
The Implied Volatility Rank (IVR) indicator helps options traders assess the current level of implied volatility (IV) in comparison to the past 52 weeks. IVR is a useful metric to determine whether options are relatively cheap or expensive. This can guide traders on whether to buy or sell options. We calculate IVrank, like TastyTrade does.
IVR Calculation:
IV Rank = (current IV - 52 week IV low) / (52 week IV high - 52 week IV low)
IVR Levels and Interpretations:
IVR 0-10 (Green): Very low implied volatility rank. Options might be "cheap," potentially a good time to buy options.
IVR 10-35 (White): Normal implied volatility rank. Options pricing is relatively standard.
IVR 35-50 (Orange): Almost high implied volatility rank.
IVR 50-75 (Red): Definitely high implied volatility rank. Options might be "expensive," potentially a good time to sell options for higher premiums.
IVR above 75 (Highlighted Red): Ultra high implied volatility rank. Indicates very high levels, suggesting a favorable time for selling options.
The panel refreshes automatically if the symbol is implemented. You can hide the panel or change the position and size.
🔹IVx (Implied Volatility Index)
The Implied Volatility Index (IVx) displayed in the option chain is calculated similarly to the VIX. The Cboe uses standard and weekly SPX options to measure the expected volatility of the S&P 500. A similar method is utilized to calculate IVx for each option expiration cycle.
For our purposes on the IVR Panel, we aggregate the IVx values specifically for the 35-70 day monthly expiration cycle . This aggregated value is then presented in the screener and info panel, providing a clear and concise measure of implied volatility over this period.
IVx Color coding:
IVx above 30 is displayed in orange.
IVx above 60 is displayed in red
IVx on curve:
The IVx values for each expiration can be viewed by hovering the mouse over the colored tooltip labels above the Curve.
IVx avg on IVR panel :
If the option is checked in the IVR panel settings, the IVR panel will display the average IVx values up to the optimal expiration.
Important Note:
The IVx value alone does not provide sufficient context. There are stocks that inherently exhibit high IVx values. Therefore, it is crucial to consider IVx in conjunction with the Implied Volatility Rank (IVR), which measures the IVx relative to its own historical values. This combined view helps in accurately assessing the significance of the IVx in relation to the specific stock's typical volatility behavior.
This indicator offers traders a comprehensive view of implied volatility, assisting them in making informed decisions by highlighting both the absolute and relative volatility measures.
🔹IVx 5 days change %
We are displaying the five-day change of the IV Index (IVx value). The IV Index 5-Day Change column provides quick insight into recent expansions or decreases in implied volatility over the last five trading days.
Traders who expect the value of options to decrease might view a decrease in IVX as a positive signal. Strategies such as Strangle and Ratio Spread can benefit from this decrease.
On the other hand, traders anticipating further increases in IVX will focus on the rising IVX values. Strategies like Calendar Spread or Diagonal Spread can take advantage of increasing implied volatility.
This indicator helps traders quickly assess changes in implied volatility, enabling them to make informed decisions based on their trading strategies and market expectations.
🔹 Vertical Pricing Skew
At TanukiTrade, Vertical Pricing Skew refers to the difference in pricing between put and call options with the same expiration date at the same distance (at expected move). We analyze this skew to understand market sentiment. This is the same formula used by TastyTrade for calculations.
We calculate the interpolated strike price based on the expected move , taking into account the neighboring option prices and their distances. This allows us to accurately determine whether the CALL or PUT options are more expensive.
PUT Skew (red): Put options are more expensive than call options, indicating the market expects a downward move (▽). If put options are more expensive by more than 20% at the same expected move distance, we color it lighter red.
CALL Skew (green): Call options are more expensive than put options, indicating the market expects an upward move (△). If call options are priced more than 30% higher at the examined expiration, we color it lighter green.
Vertical Skew on Curve:
The degree of vertical pricing skew for each expiration can be viewed by hovering over the points above the curve. Hover with mouse for more information.
Vertical Skew on IVR panel:
We focus on options with 35-70 days to expiration (DTE) for optimal analysis in case of vertical skew. Hover with mouse for more information.
This approach helps us gauge market expectations accurately, providing insights into potential price movements. Remember, we always evaluate the skew at the expected move using linear interpolation to determine the theoretical pricing of options.
🔹 Delta Skew 🌪️ (Twist)
We have a new metric that examines which monthly expiration indicates a "Delta Skew Twist" where the 16 delta deviates from the monthly STD. This is important because, under normal circumstances, the 16 delta is positioned between the expected move and the standard deviation (STD1) line (see Exp.mv & 1STD exact definitions above). However, if the interpolated 16 delta line exceeds the STD1 line either upwards or downwards, it represents a special case of vertical skew on the option chain.
Normal case : exp.move < delta16 < std1
Delta Skew Twist: exp.move < std1 < delta16
We indicate this with direction-specific colors (red/green) on the delta line. We also color the section of the delta curve affected by the delta skew in this case, even if you choose to display a lower delta, such as 30, instead of 16.
If "Colored Labels with Tooltips" is enabled, we also display a 🌪️ symbol in the tooltip for the expirations affected by Delta Skew.
If you have enabled the display of 'Vertical Pricing Skew' on the IVR Panel, a 🌪️ symbol will also appear next to the value of the vertical skew, and the tooltip will indicate from which expiration Delta Skew is observed.
🔹 Horizontal IVx Skew
In options pricing, it is typically expected that the implied volatility (IVx) increases for options with later expiration dates. This means that options further out in time are generally more expensive. At TanukiTrade, we refer to the phenomenon where this expectation is reversed—when the IVx decreases between two consecutive expirations—as Horizontal Skew or IVx Skew.
Horizontal IVx Skew occurs when: Front Expiry IVx < Back Expiry IVx
This scenario can create opportunities for traders who prefer diagonal or calendar strategies . Based on our experience, we categorize Horizontal Skew into two types:
Weekly Horizontal Skew:
When IVx skew is observed between two consecutive non-monthly expirations, the displayed value is the rounded-up percentage difference. On hover, the approximate location of this skew is also displayed. The precise location can be seen on this indicator.
Monthly Horizontal Skew:
When IVx skew is observed between two consecutive monthly expirations , the displayed value is the rounded-up percentage difference. On hover, the approximate location of this skew is also displayed. The precise location can be seen on our Overlay indicator.
The Monthly Vertical IVx skew is consistently more liquid than the weekly vertical IVx skew. Weekly Horizontal IVx Skew may not carry relevant information for symbols not included in the 'Weeklies & Volume Masters' preset in our Options Screener indicator.
If the options chain follows the normal IVx pattern, no skew value is displayed.
Color codes or tooltip labels above curve:
Gray - No horizontal skew;
Purple - Weekly horizontal skew;
BigBlue - Monthly horizontal skew
The display of monthly and weekly IVx skew can be toggled on or off on the IVR panel. However, if you want to disable the colored tooltips above the curve, this can only be done using the "Colored labels with tooltips" switch.
We indicate this range with colorful information bubbles above the upper STD line.
🔶 The Option Trader’s GRID System: Adaptive MurreyMath + Expiry Lines
At TanukiTrade, we utilize Enhanced MurreyMath and Expiry lines to create a dynamic grid system, unlike the basic built-in vertical grids in TradingView, which provide no insight into specific price levels or option expirations.
These grids are beneficial because they provide a structured layout, making important price levels visible on the chart. The grid automatically resizes as the underlying asset's volatility changes, helping traders identify expected movements for various option expirations.
The Option Trader’s GRID System part of this indicator can be used without limitations for all instruments . There are no type or other restrictions, and it automatically scales to fit every asset. Even if we haven't implemented the option metrics for a particular underlying asset, the GRID system will still function!
🔹 SETUP OF YOUR OPTIONS GRID SYSTEM
You can setup your new grid system in 3 easy steps!
STEP1: Hide default horizontal grid lines in TradingView
Right-click on an empty area of your chart, then select “Settings.” In the Chart settings -> Canvas -> Grid lines section, disable the display of horizontal lines to avoid distraction.
SETUP STEP2: Scaling fix
Right-click on the price scale on the right side, then select "Scale price chart only" to prevent the chart from scaling to the new horizontal lines!
STEP3: Enable Tanuki Options Grid
As a final step, make sure that both the vertical (MurreyMath) and horizontal (Expiry) lines are enabled in the Grid section of our indicator.
You are done, enjoy the new grid system!
🔹 HORIZONTAL: Enhanced MurreyMath Lines
Murrey Math lines are based on the principles observed by William Gann, renowned for his market symmetry forecasts. Gann's techniques, such as Gann Angles, have been adapted by Murrey to make them more accessible to ordinary investors. According to Murrey, markets often correct at specific price levels, and breakouts or returns to these levels can signal good entry points for trades.
At TanukiTrade, we enhance these price levels based on our experience , ensuring a clear display. We acknowledge that while MurreyMath lines aren't infallible predictions, they are useful for identifying likely price movements over a given period (e.g., one month) if the market trend aligns.
Our opinion: MurreyMath lines are not crystal balls (like no other tool). They should be used to identify that if we are trading in the right direction, the price is likely to reach the next unit step within a unit time (e.g. monthly expiration).
One unit step is the distance between Murrey Math lines, such as between the 0/8 and 1/8 lines. This interval helps identify different quadrants and is crucial for recognizing support and resistance levels.
Some option traders use Murrey Math lines to gauge the movement speed of an instrument over a unit time. A quadrant encompasses 4 unit steps.
Key levels, according to TanukiTrade, include:
Of course, the lines can be toggled on or off, and their default color can also be changed.
🔹 VERTICAL: Expiry Lines
The indicator can display monthly and weekly expirations as dashed lines, with customizable colors. Weekly expirations will always appear in a lighter shade compared to monthly expirations.
Monthly Expiry Lines:
You can turn off the lines indicating monthly expirations, or set the direction (past/future/both) and the number of lines to be drawn.
Weekly Expiry Lines:
You can display weekly expirations pointing to the future. You can also turn them off or specify how many weeks ahead the lines should be drawn.
Of course, the lines can be toggled on or off, and their default color can also be changed.
TIP: Hide default vertical grid lines in TradingView
Right-click on an empty area of your chart, then select “Settings.” In the Chart settings -> Canvas -> Grid lines section, disable the display of vertical lines to avoid distraction. Same, like steps above at MurreyMath lines.
🔶 ADDITIONAL IMPORTANT COMMENTS
- U.S. market only:
Since we only deal with liquid option chains: this option indicator only works for the USA options market and do not include future contracts; we have implemented each selected symbol individually.
- Why is there a slight difference between the displayed data and my live brokerage data? There are two reasons for this, and one is beyond our control.
- Brokerage Calculation Differences:
Every brokerage has slight differences in how they calculate metrics like IV and IVx. If you open three windows for TOS, TastyTrade, and IBKR side by side, you will notice that the values are minimally different. We had to choose a standard, so we use the formulas and mathematical models described by TastyTrade when analyzing the options chain and drawing conclusions.
- Option-data update frequency:
According to TradingView's regulations and guidelines, we can update external data a maximum of 5 times per day. We strive to use these updates in the most optimal way:
(1st update) 15 minutes after U.S. market open
(2nd, 3rd, 4th updates) 1.5–3 hours during U.S. market open hours
(5th update) 10 minutes before market close.
You don’t need to refresh your window, our last refreshed data-pack is always automatically applied to your indicator , and you can see the time elapsed since the last update at the bottom of your indicator.
- Skewed Curves:
The delta, expected move, and standard deviation curves also appear relevantly on a daily or intraday timeframe. Data loss is experienced above a daily timeframe: this is a TradingView limitation.
- Weekly illiquid expiries:
Especially for instruments where weekly options are illiquid: the weekly expiration STD1 data is not relevant. In these cases, we recommend checking in the "Display only Monthly labels" checkbox to avoid displaying not relevant weekly options expirations.
-Timeframe Issues:
Our option indicator visualizes relevant data on a daily resolution. If you see strange or incorrect data (e.g., when the options data was last updated), always switch to a daily (1D) timeframe. If you still see strange data, please contact us.
Disclaimer:
Our option indicator uses approximately 15min-3 hour delayed option market snapshot data to calculate the main option metrics. Exact realtime option contract prices are never displayed; only derived metrics and interpolated delta are shown to ensure accurate and consistent visualization. Due to the above, this indicator can only be used for decision support; exclusive decisions cannot be made based on this indicator . We reserve the right to make errors.This indicator is designed for options traders who understand what they are doing. It assumes that they are familiar with options and can make well-informed, independent decisions. We work with public data and are not a data provider; therefore, we do not bear any financial or other liability.
VIX Percentile Rank HistogramVIX Percentile Rank Histogram
The VIX Percentile Rank Histogram provides a visual representation of the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) percentile rank over a customizable lookback period, helping traders gauge market sentiment and make informed trading decisions.
Overview:
This indicator calculates the percentile rank of the VIX over a specified lookback period and displays it as a histogram. The histogram helps traders understand whether the current VIX level is relatively high or low compared to its recent history. This information is particularly useful for timing entries and exits in the S&P 500 or related ETFs and Mega Caps.
How It Works:
VIX Data Integration: The script fetches daily VIX close prices, regardless of the chart you are viewing, to analyze market volatility.
Percentile Rank Calculation: The indicator calculates the rank percentile of the VIX over the chosen lookback period.
Histogram Visualization: The histogram plots the difference between the flipped VIX percentile rank and 50, showing green bars for ranks below 50 (indicating lower market volatility) and red bars for ranks above 50 (indicating higher market volatility).
Usage:
This indicator is most effective when trading the S&P 500 (SPX, SPY, ES1!) or ETFs and Mega Caps that closely follow the S&P 500. It provides insight into market sentiment, helping traders make more informed decisions.
Timing Entries and Exits: Green histogram readings suggest it's a good time to enter or hold long positions, while red readings suggest considering exits or short positions.
Market Sentiment: A high VIX percentile rank (red bars) indicates market fear and uncertainty, while a low percentile rank (green bars) suggests investor confidence and reduced volatility.
Key Features:
Customizable Lookback Period: The default lookback period is set to 20 days, but can be adjusted based on the trader's average trade duration. For example, if your trades typically last 20 days, a 20-day lookback period helps contextualize the VIX level relative to its recent history.
Histogram Visualization: The histogram provides a clear visual representation of market volatility.
Green Bars: Indicate a lower-than-median VIX percentile rank, suggesting reduced market volatility.
Red Bars: Indicate a higher-than-median VIX percentile rank, suggesting increased market volatility.
Threshold Line: A dashed gray line at the 0 level serves as a visual reference for the median VIX rank.
Important Note:
This indicator always shows readings from the VIX, regardless of the chart you are viewing. For example, if you are looking at Natural Gas futures, this indicator will provide no relevant data. It works best when trading the S&P 500 or related ETFs and Mega Caps.
AlgoBuilder [Trend-Following] | FractalystWhat's the strategy's purpose and functionality?
This strategy is designed for both traders and investors looking to rely on and trade based on historical and backtested data using automation. The main goal is to build profitable trend-following strategies that outperform the underlying asset in terms of returns while minimizing drawdown. For example, as for a benchmark, if the S&P 500 (SPX) has achieved an estimated 10% annual return with a maximum drawdown of -57% over the past 20 years, using this strategy with different entry and exit techniques, users can potentially seek ways to achieve a higher Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) while maintaining a lower maximum drawdown.
Although the strategy can be applied to all markets and timeframes, it is most effective on stocks, indices, future markets, cryptocurrencies, and commodities and JPY currency pairs given their trending behaviors.
In trending market conditions, the strategy employs a combination of moving averages and diverse entry models to identify and capitalize on upward market movements. It integrates market structure-based trailing stop-loss mechanisms across different timeframes and provides exit techniques, including percentage-based and risk-reward (RR) based take profit levels.
Additionally, the strategy has also a feature that includes a built-in probability and sentiment function for traders who want to implement probabilities and market sentiment right into their trading strategies.
Performance summary, weekly, and monthly tables enable quick visualization of performance metrics like net profit, maximum drawdown, compound annual growth rate (CAGR), profit factor, average trade, average risk-reward ratio (RR), and more. This aids optimization to meet specific goals and risk tolerance levels effectively.
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How does the strategy perform for both investors and traders?
The strategy has two main modes, tailored for different market participants: Traders and Investors.
Trading:
1. Trading (1x):
- Designed for traders looking to capitalize on bullish trending markets.
- Utilizes a percentage risk per trade to manage risk and optimize returns.
- Suitable for active trading with a focus on trend-following and risk management.
- (1x) This mode ensures no stacking of positions, allowing for only one running position or trade at a time.
◓: Mode | %: Risk percentage per trade
2. Trading (2x):
Similar to the 1x mode but allows for two pyramiding entries.
This approach enables traders to increase their position size as the trade moves in their favor, potentially enhancing profits during strong bullish trends.
◓: Mode | %: Risk percentage per trade
3. Investing:
- Geared towards investors who aim to capitalize on bullish trending markets without using leverage while mitigating the asset's maximum drawdown.
- Utilizes 100% of the equity to buy, hold, and manage the asset.
- Focuses on long-term growth and capital appreciation by fully investing in the asset during bullish conditions.
- ◓: Mode | %: Risk not applied (In investing mode, the strategy uses 100% of equity to buy the asset)
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What's the purpose of using moving averages in this strategy? What are the underlying calculations?
Using moving averages is a widely-used technique to trade with the trend.
The main purpose of using moving averages in this strategy is to filter out bearish price action and to only take trades when the price is trading ABOVE specified moving averages.
The script uses different types of moving averages with user-adjustable timeframes and periods/lengths, allowing traders to try out different variations to maximize strategy performance and minimize drawdowns.
By applying these calculations, the strategy effectively identifies bullish trends and avoids market conditions that are not conducive to profitable trades.
The MA filter allows traders to choose whether they want a specific moving average above or below another one as their entry condition.
This comparison filter can be turned on (>/<) or off.
For example, you can set the filter so that MA#1 > MA#2, meaning the first moving average must be above the second one before the script looks for entry conditions. This adds an extra layer of trend confirmation, ensuring that trades are only taken in more favorable market conditions.
MA #1: Fast MA | MA #2: Medium MA | MA #3: Slow MA
⍺: MA Period | Σ: MA Timeframe
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What entry modes are used in this strategy? What are the underlying calculations?
The strategy by default uses two different techniques for the entry criteria with user-adjustable left and right bars: Breakout and Fractal.
1. Breakout Entries :
- The strategy looks for pivot high points with a default period of 3.
- It stores the most recent high level in a variable.
- When the price crosses above this most recent level, the strategy checks if all conditions are met and the bar is closed before taking the buy entry.
◧: Pivot high left bars period | ◨: Pivot high right bars period
2. Fractal Entries :
- The strategy looks for pivot low points with a default period of 3.
- When a pivot low is detected, the strategy checks if all conditions are met and the bar is closed before taking the buy entry.
◧: Pivot low left bars period | ◨: Pivot low right bars period
By utilizing these entry modes, the strategy aims to capitalize on bullish price movements while ensuring that the necessary conditions are met to validate the entry points.
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What type of stop-loss identification method are used in this strategy? What are the underlying calculations?
Initial Stop-Loss:
1. ATR Based:
The Average True Range (ATR) is a method used in technical analysis to measure volatility. It is not used to indicate the direction of price but to measure volatility, especially volatility caused by price gaps or limit moves.
Calculation:
- To calculate the ATR, the True Range (TR) first needs to be identified. The TR takes into account the most current period high/low range as well as the previous period close.
The True Range is the largest of the following:
- Current Period High minus Current Period Low
- Absolute Value of Current Period High minus Previous Period Close
- Absolute Value of Current Period Low minus Previous Period Close
- The ATR is then calculated as the moving average of the TR over a specified period. (The default period is 14).
Example - ATR (14) * 1.5
⍺: ATR period | Σ: ATR Multiplier
2. ADR Based:
The Average Day Range (ADR) is an indicator that measures the volatility of an asset by showing the average movement of the price between the high and the low over the last several days.
Calculation:
- To calculate the ADR for a particular day:
- Calculate the average of the high prices over a specified number of days.
- Calculate the average of the low prices over the same number of days.
- Find the difference between these average values.
- The default period for calculating the ADR is 14 days. A shorter period may introduce more noise, while a longer period may be slower to react to new market movements.
Example - ADR (14) * 1.5
⍺: ADR period | Σ: ADR Multiplier
Application in Strategy:
- The strategy calculates the current bar's ADR/ATR with a user-defined period.
- It then multiplies the ADR/ATR by a user-defined multiplier to determine the initial stop-loss level.
By using these methods, the strategy dynamically adjusts the initial stop-loss based on market volatility, helping to protect against adverse price movements while allowing for enough room for trades to develop.
Trailing Stop-Loss:
One of the key elements of this strategy is its ability to detec buyside and sellside liquidity levels across multiple timeframes to trail the stop-loss once the trade is in running profits.
By utilizing this approach, the strategy allows enough room for price to run.
There are two built-in trailing stop-loss (SL) options you can choose from while in a trade:
1. External Trailing Stop-Loss:
- Uses sell-side liquidity to trail your stop-loss, allowing price to consolidate before continuation. This method is less aggressive and provides more room for price fluctuations.
Example - External - Wick below the trailing SL - 12H trailing timeframe
⍺: Exit type | Σ: Trailing stop-loss timeframe
2. Internal Trailing Stop-Loss:
- Uses the most recent swing low with a period of 2 to trail your stop-loss. This method is more aggressive compared to the external trailing stop-loss, as it tightens the stop-loss closer to the current price action.
Example - Internal - Close below the trailing SL - 6H trailing timeframe
⍺: Exit type | Σ: Trailing stop-loss timeframe
Each market behaves differently across various timeframes, and it is essential to test different parameters and optimizations to find out which trailing stop-loss method gives you the desired results and performance.
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What type of break-even and take profit identification methods are used in this strategy? What are the underlying calculations?
For Break-Even:
- You can choose to set a break-even level at which your initial stop-loss moves to the entry price as soon as it hits, and your trailing stop-loss gets activated (if enabled).
- You can select either a percentage (%) or risk-to-reward (RR) based break-even, allowing you to set your break-even level as a percentage amount above the entry price or based on RR.
For TP1 (Take Profit 1):
- You can choose to set a take profit level at which your position gets fully closed or 50% if the TP2 boolean is enabled.
- Similar to break-even, you can select either a percentage (%) or risk-to-reward (RR) based take profit level, allowing you to set your TP1 level as a percentage amount above the entry price or based on RR.
For TP2 (Take Profit 2):
- You can choose to set a take profit level at which your position gets fully closed.
- As with break-even and TP1, you can select either a percentage (%) or risk-to-reward (RR) based take profit level, allowing you to set your TP2 level as a percentage amount above the entry price or based on RR.
The underlying calculations involve determining the price levels at which these actions are triggered. For break-even, it moves the initial stop-loss to the entry price and activate the trailing stop-loss once the break-even level is reached.
For TP1 and TP2, it's specifying the price levels at which the position is partially or fully closed based on the chosen method (percentage or RR) above the entry price.
These calculations are crucial for managing risk and optimizing profitability in the strategy.
⍺: BE/TP type (%/RR) | Σ: how many RR/% above the current price
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What's the ADR filter? What does it do? What are the underlying calculations?
The Average Day Range (ADR) measures the volatility of an asset by showing the average movement of the price between the high and the low over the last several days.
The period of the ADR filter used in this strategy is tied to the same period you've used for your initial stop-loss.
Users can define the minimum ADR they want to be met before the script looks for entry conditions.
ADR Bias Filter:
- Compares the current bar ADR with the ADR (Defined by user):
- If the current ADR is higher, it indicates that volatility has increased compared to ADR (DbU).(⬆)
- If the current ADR is lower, it indicates that volatility has decreased compared to ADR (DbU).(⬇)
Calculations:
1. Calculate ADR:
- Average the high prices over the specified period.
- Average the low prices over the same period.
- Find the difference between these average values in %.
2. Current ADR vs. ADR (DbU):
- Calculate the ADR for the current bar.
- Calculate the ADR (DbU).
- Compare the two values to determine if volatility has increased or decreased.
By using the ADR filter, the strategy ensures that trades are only taken in favorable market conditions where volatility meets the user's defined threshold, thus optimizing entry conditions and potentially improving the overall performance of the strategy.
>: Minimum required ADR for entry | %: Current ADR comparison to ADR of 14 days ago.
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What's the probability filter? What are the underlying calculations?
The probability filter is designed to enhance trade entries by using buyside liquidity and probability analysis to filter out unfavorable conditions.
This filter helps in identifying optimal entry points where the likelihood of a profitable trade is higher.
Calculations:
1. Understanding Swing highs and Swing Lows
Swing High: A Swing High is formed when there is a high with 2 lower highs to the left and right.
Swing Low: A Swing Low is formed when there is a low with 2 higher lows to the left and right.
2. Understanding the purpose and the underlying calculations behind Buyside, Sellside and Equilibrium levels.
3. Understanding probability calculations
1. Upon the formation of a new range, the script waits for the price to reach and tap into equilibrium or the 50% level. Status: "⏸" - Inactive
2. Once equilibrium is tapped into, the equilibrium status becomes activated and it waits for either liquidity side to be hit. Status: "▶" - Active
3. If the buyside liquidity is hit, the script adds to the count of successful buyside liquidity occurrences. Similarly, if the sellside is tapped, it records successful sellside liquidity occurrences.
5. Finally, the number of successful occurrences for each side is divided by the overall count individually to calculate the range probabilities.
Note: The calculations are performed independently for each directional range. A range is considered bearish if the previous breakout was through a sellside liquidity. Conversely, a range is considered bullish if the most recent breakout was through a buyside liquidity.
Example - BSL > 50%
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What's the sentiment Filter? What are the underlying calculations?
Sentiment filter aims to calculate the percentage level of bullish or bearish fluctuations within equally divided price sections, in the latest price range.
Calculations:
This filter calculates the current sentiment by identifying the highest swing high and the lowest swing low, then evenly dividing the distance between them into percentage amounts. If the price is above the 50% mark, it indicates bullishness, whereas if it's below 50%, it suggests bearishness.
Sentiment Bias Identification:
Bullish Bias: The current price is trading above the 50% daily range.
Bearish Bias: The current price is trading below the 50% daily range.
Example - Sentiment Enabled | Bullish degree above 50% | Bullish sentimental bias
>: Minimum required sentiment for entry | %: Current sentimental degree in a (Bullish/Bearish) sentimental bias
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What's the range length Filter? What are the underlying calculations?
The range length filter identifies the price distance between buyside and sellside liquidity levels in percentage terms. When enabled, the script only looks for entries when the minimum range length is met. This helps ensure that trades are taken in markets with sufficient price movement.
Calculations:
Range Length (%) = ( ( Buyside Level − Sellside Level ) / Current Price ) ×100
Range Bias Identification:
Bullish Bias: The current range price has broken above the previous external swing high.
Bearish Bias: The current range price has broken below the previous external swing low.
Example - Range length filter is enabled | Range must be above 5% | Price must be in a bearish range
>: Minimum required range length for entry | %: Current range length percentage in a (Bullish/Bearish) range
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What's the day filter Filter, what does it do?
The day filter allows users to customize the session time and choose the specific days they want to include in the strategy session. This helps traders tailor their strategies to particular trading sessions or days of the week when they believe the market conditions are more favorable for their trading style.
Customize Session Time:
Users can define the start and end times for the trading session.
This allows the strategy to only consider trades within the specified time window, focusing on periods of higher market activity or preferred trading hours.
Select Days:
Users can select which days of the week to include in the strategy.
This feature is useful for excluding days with historically lower volatility or unfavorable trading conditions (e.g., Mondays or Fridays).
Benefits:
Focus on Optimal Trading Periods:
By customizing session times and days, traders can focus on periods when the market is more likely to present profitable opportunities.
Avoid Unfavorable Conditions:
Excluding specific days or times can help avoid trading during periods of low liquidity or high unpredictability, such as major news events or holidays.
Increased Flexibility: The filter provides increased flexibility, allowing traders to adapt the strategy to their specific needs and preferences.
Example - Day filter | Session Filter
θ: Session time | Exchange time-zone
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What tables are available in this script?
Table Type:
- Summary: Provides a general overview, displaying key performance parameters such as Net Profit, Profit Factor, Max Drawdown, Average Trade, Closed Trades, Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR), MAR and more.
CAGR: It calculates the 'Compound Annual Growth Rate' first and last taken trades on your chart. The CAGR is a notional, annualized growth rate that assumes all profits are reinvested. It only takes into account the prices of the two end points — not drawdowns, so it does not calculate risk. It can be used as a yardstick to compare the performance of two strategies. Since it annualizes values, it requires a minimum 4H timeframe to display the CAGR value. annualizing returns over smaller periods of times doesn't produce very meaningful figures.
MAR: Measure of return adjusted for risk: CAGR divided by Max Drawdown. Indicates how comfortable the system might be to trade. Higher than 0.5 is ideal, 1.0 and above is very good, and anything above 3.0 should be considered suspicious and you need to make sure the total number of trades are high enough by running a Deep Backtest in strategy tester. (available for TradingView Premium users.)
Avg Trade: The sum of money gained or lost by the average trade generated by a strategy. Calculated by dividing the Net Profit by the overall number of closed trades. An important value since it must be large enough to cover the commission and slippage costs of trading the strategy and still bring a profit.
MaxDD: Displays the largest drawdown of losses, i.e., the maximum possible loss that the strategy could have incurred among all of the trades it has made. This value is calculated separately for every bar that the strategy spends with an open position.
Profit Factor: The amount of money a trading strategy made for every unit of money it lost (in the selected currency). This value is calculated by dividing gross profits by gross losses.
Avg RR: This is calculated by dividing the average winning trade by the average losing trade. This field is not a very meaningful value by itself because it does not take into account the ratio of the number of winning vs losing trades, and strategies can have different approaches to profitability. A strategy may trade at every possibility in order to capture many small profits, yet have an average losing trade greater than the average winning trade. The higher this value is, the better, but it should be considered together with the percentage of winning trades and the net profit.
Winrate: The percentage of winning trades generated by a strategy. Calculated by dividing the number of winning trades by the total number of closed trades generated by a strategy. Percent profitable is not a very reliable measure by itself. A strategy could have many small winning trades, making the percent profitable high with a small average winning trade, or a few big winning trades accounting for a low percent profitable and a big average winning trade. Most trend-following successful strategies have a percent profitability of 15-40% but are profitable due to risk management control.
BE Trades: Number of break-even trades, excluding commission/slippage.
Losing Trades: The total number of losing trades generated by the strategy.
Winning Trades: The total number of winning trades generated by the strategy.
Total Trades: Total number of taken traders visible your charts.
Net Profit: The overall profit or loss (in the selected currency) achieved by the trading strategy in the test period. The value is the sum of all values from the Profit column (on the List of Trades tab), taking into account the sign.
- Monthly: Displays performance data on a month-by-month basis, allowing users to analyze performance trends over each month.
- Weekly: Displays performance data on a week-by-week basis, helping users to understand weekly performance variations.
- OFF: Hides the performance table.
Labels:
- OFF: Hides labels in the performance table.
- PnL: Shows the profit and loss of each trade individually, providing detailed insights into the performance of each trade.
- Range: Shows the range length and Average Day Range (ADR), offering additional context about market conditions during each trade.
Profit Color:
- Allows users to set the color for representing profit in the performance table, helping to quickly distinguish profitable periods.
Loss Color:
- Allows users to set the color for representing loss in the performance table, helping to quickly identify loss-making periods.
These customizable tables provide traders with flexible and detailed performance analysis, aiding in better strategy evaluation and optimization.
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User-input styles and customizations:
To facilitate studying historical data, all conditions and rules can be applied to your charts. By plotting background colors on your charts, you'll be able to identify what worked and what didn't in certain market conditions.
Please note that all background colors in the style are disabled by default to enhance visualization.
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How to Use This Algobuilder to Create a Profitable Edge and System:
Choose Your Strategy mode:
- Decide whether you are creating an investing strategy or a trading strategy.
Select a Market:
- Choose a one-sided market such as stocks, indices, or cryptocurrencies.
Historical Data:
- Ensure the historical data covers at least 10 years of price action for robust backtesting.
Timeframe Selection:
- Choose the timeframe you are comfortable trading with. It is strongly recommended to use a timeframe above 15 minutes to minimize the impact of commissions on your profits.
Set Commission and Slippage:
- Properly set the commission and slippage in the strategy properties according to your broker or prop firm specifications.
Parameter Optimization:
- Use trial and error to test different parameters until you find the performance results you are looking for in the summary table or, preferably, through deep backtesting using the strategy tester.
Trade Count:
- Ensure the number of trades is 100 or more; the higher, the better for statistical significance.
Positive Average Trade:
- Make sure the average trade value is above zero.
(An important value since it must be large enough to cover the commission and slippage costs of trading the strategy and still bring a profit.)
Performance Metrics:
- Look for a high profit factor, MAR (Mar Ratio), CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate), and net profit with minimum drawdown. Ideally, aim for a drawdown under 20-30%, depending on your risk tolerance.
Refinement and Optimization:
- Try out different markets and timeframes.
- Continue working on refining your edge using the available filters and components to further optimize your strategy.
Automation:
- Once you’re confident in your strategy, you can use the automation section to connect the algorithm to your broker or prop firm.
- Trade a fully automated and backtested trading strategy, allowing for hands-free execution and management.
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What makes this strategy original?
1. Incorporating direct integration of probabilities into the strategy.
2. Leveraging market sentiment to construct a profitable approach.
3. Utilizing built-in market structure-based trailing stop-loss mechanisms across various timeframes.
4. Offering both investing and trading strategies, facilitating optimization from different perspectives.
5. Automation for efficient execution.
6. Providing a summary table for instant access to key parameters of the strategy.
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How to use automation?
For Traders:
1. Ensure the strategy parameters are properly set based on your optimized parameters.
2. Enter your PineConnector License ID in the designated field.
3. Specify the desired risk level.
4. Provide the Metatrader symbol.
5. Check for chart updates to ensure the automation table appears on the top right corner, displaying your License ID, risk, and symbol.
6. Set up an alert with the strategy selected as Condition and the Message as {{strategy.order.alert_message}}.
7. Activate the Webhook URL in the Notifications section, setting it as the official PineConnector webhook address.
8. Double-check all settings on PineConnector to ensure the connection is successful.
9. Create the alert for entry/exit automation.
For Investors:
1. Ensure the strategy parameters are properly set based on your optimized parameters.
2. Choose "Investing" in the user-input settings.
3. Create an alert with a specified name.
4. Customize the notifications tab to receive alerts via email.
5. Buying/selling alerts will be triggered instantly upon entry or exit order execution.
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Strategy Properties
This script backtest is done on 4H COINBASE:BTCUSD , using the following backtesting properties:
Balance: $5000
Order Size: 10% of the equity
Risk % per trade: 1%
Commission: 0.04% (Default commission percentage according to TradingView competitions rules)
Slippage: 75 ticks
Pyramiding: 2
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Terms and Conditions | Disclaimer
Our charting tools are provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, or trading advice. They are not intended to forecast market movements or offer specific recommendations. Users should understand that past performance does not guarantee future results and should not base financial decisions solely on historical data.
Built-in components, features, and functionalities of our charting tools are the intellectual property of @Fractalyst Unauthorized use, reproduction, or distribution of these proprietary elements is prohibited.
By continuing to use our charting tools, the user acknowledges and accepts the Terms and Conditions outlined in this legal disclaimer and agrees to respect our intellectual property rights and comply with all applicable laws and regulations.
Mateo's Time of Day Analysis LEThis strategy takes a trade every day at a specified time and then closes it at a specified time.
The purpose of this strategy is to help determine if there are better times to day to buy or sell.
I was originally inspired to write this when a YouTuber stated that SPX had been up during the last 30 minutes of the day over 80% of the time the past year. No matter who says it, test it, and in my opinion, TradingView is one of the easiest placed to do that! Unfortunately, that particular claim did not turn out to be accurate, but this tool remains for those who want to optimize timing their entries and exits at specific times of day.
Breadth Indicators NYSE Percent Above Moving AverageBreadth Indicators NYSE - transmits the processed data from the Barchart provider
NYSE - Breadth Indicators
S&P 500 - Breadth Indicators
DOW - Breadth Indicators
RUSSEL 1000 - Breadth Indicators
RUSSEL 2000 - Breadth Indicators
RUSSEL 3000 - Breadth Indicators
Moving Average - 5, 20, 50, 100, 150, 200
The "Percentage above 50-day SMA" indicator measures the percentage of stocks in the index trading above their 50-day moving average. It is a useful tool for assessing the general state of the market and identifying overbought and oversold conditions.
One way to use the "Percentage above 50-day SMA" indicator in a trading strategy is to combine it with a long-term moving average to determine whether the trend is bullish or bearish. Another way to use it is to combine it with a short-term moving average to identify pullbacks and rebounds within the overall trend.
The purpose of using the "Percentage above 50-day SMA" indicator is to participate in a larger trend with a better risk-reward ratio. By using this indicator to identify pullbacks and bounces, you can reduce the risk of entering trades at the wrong time.
Bull Signal Recap:
150-day EMA of $SPXA50R crosses above 52.5 and remains above 47.50 to set the bullish tone.
5-day EMA of $SPXA50R moves below 40 to signal a pullback
5-day EMA of $SPXA50R moves above 50 to signal an upturn
Bear Signal Recap:
150-day EMA of $SPXA50R crosses below 47.50 and remains below 52.50 to set the bearish tone.
5-day EMA of $SPXA50R moves above 60 to signal a bounce
5-day EMA of $SPXA50R moves below 50 to signal a downturn
Tweaking
There are numerous ways to tweak a trading system, but chartists should avoid over-optimizing the indicator settings. In other words, don't attempt to find the perfect moving average period or crossover level. Perfection is unattainable when developing a system or trading the markets. It is important to keep the system logical and focus tweaks on other aspects, such as the actual price chart of the underlying security.
What do levels above and below 50% signify in the long-term moving average?
A move above 52.5% is deemed bullish, and below 47.5% is deemed bearish. These levels help to reduce whipsaws by using buffers for bullish and bearish thresholds.
How does the short-term moving average work to identify pullbacks or bounces?
When using a 5-day EMA, a move below 40 signals a pullback, and a move above 60 signals a bounce.
How is the reversal of pullback or bounce identified?
A move back above 50 after a pullback or below 50 after a bounce signals that the respective trend may be resuming.
How can you ensure that the uptrend has resumed?
It’s important to wait for the surge above 50 to ensure the uptrend has resumed, signaling improved breadth.
Can the system be tweaked to optimize indicator settings?
While there are various ways to tweak the system, seeking perfection through over-optimizing settings is advised against. It's crucial to keep the system logical and focus tweaks on the price chart of the underlying security.
RUSSIAN \ Русская версия.
Индикатор "Процент выше 50-дневной скользящей средней" измеряет процент акций, торгующихся в индексе выше их 50-дневной скользящей средней. Это полезный инструмент для оценки общего состояния рынка и выявления условий перекупленности и перепроданности.
Один из способов использования индикатора "Процент выше 50-дневной скользящей средней" в торговой стратегии - это объединить его с долгосрочной скользящей средней, чтобы определить, является ли тренд бычьим или медвежьим. Другой способ использовать его - объединить с краткосрочной скользящей средней, чтобы выявить откаты и отскоки в рамках общего тренда.
Цель использования индикатора "Процент выше 50-дневной скользящей средней" - участвовать в более широком тренде с лучшим соотношением риска и прибыли. Используя этот индикатор для выявления откатов и отскоков, вы можете снизить риск входа в сделки в неподходящее время.
Краткое описание бычьего сигнала:
150-дневная ЕМА на уровне $SPXA50R пересекает отметку 52,5 и остается выше 47,50, что задает бычий настрой.
5-дневная ЕМА на уровне $SPXA50R опускается ниже 40, сигнализируя об откате
5-дневная ЕМА на уровне $SPXA50R поднимается выше 50, сигнализируя о росте
Обзор медвежьих сигналов:
150-дневная ЕМА на уровне $SPXA50R пересекает уровень ниже 47,50 и остается ниже 52,50, что указывает на медвежий настрой.
5-дневная ЕМА на уровне $SPXA50R поднимается выше 60, сигнализируя о отскоке
5-дневная ЕМА на уровне $SPXA50 опускается ниже 50, что сигнализирует о спаде
Корректировка
Существует множество способов настроить торговую систему, но графологам следует избегать чрезмерной оптимизации настроек индикатора. Другими словами, не пытайтесь найти идеальный период скользящей средней или уровень пересечения. Совершенство недостижимо при разработке системы или торговле на рынках. Важно поддерживать логику системы и уделять особое внимание другим аспектам, таким как график фактической цены базовой ценной бумаги.
Что означают уровни выше и ниже 50% в долгосрочной скользящей средней?
Движение выше 52,5% считается бычьим, а ниже 47,5% - медвежьим. Эти уровни помогают снизить риски, используя буферы для бычьих и медвежьих порогов.
Как краткосрочная скользящая средняя помогает идентифицировать откаты или отскоки?
При использовании 5-дневной ЕМА движение ниже 40 указывает на откат, а движение выше 60 указывает на отскок.
Как определяется разворот отката или отскока?
Движение выше 50 после отката или ниже 50 после отскока сигнализирует о возможном возобновлении соответствующего тренда.
Как вы можете гарантировать, что восходящий тренд возобновился?
Важно дождаться скачка выше 50, чтобы убедиться в возобновлении восходящего тренда, сигнализирующего о расширении диапазона.
Можно ли настроить систему для оптимизации настроек индикатора?
Хотя существуют различные способы настройки системы, не рекомендуется стремиться к совершенству с помощью чрезмерной оптимизации настроек. Крайне важно сохранить логичность системы и сфокусировать изменения на ценовом графике базовой ценной бумаги.
[BT] NedDavis Series: CPI Minus 5-Year Moving Average🟧 GENERAL
The script works on the Monthly Timeframe and has 2 main settings (explained in FEATURES ). It uses the US CPI data, reported by the Bureau of Labour Statistics.
🔹Functionality 1: The main idea is to plot the distance between the CPI line and the 5 year moving average of the CPI line. This technique in mathematics is called "deviation from the moving average". This technique is used to analyse how has CPI previously acted and can give clues at what it might do in the future. Economic historians use such analysis, together with specific period analysis to predict potential risks in the future (see an example of such analysis in HOW TO USE section. The mathematical technique is a simple subtraction between 2 points (CPI - 5yr SMA of CPI).
▶︎Interpretation for deviation from a moving average:
Positive Deviation: When the line is above its moving average, it indicates that the current value is higher than the average, suggesting potential strength or bullish sentiment.
Negative Deviation: Conversely, when the line falls below its moving average, it suggests weakness or bearish sentiment as the current value is lower than the average.
▶︎Applications:
Trend Identification: Deviations from moving averages can help identify trends, with sustained deviations indicating strong trends.
Reversal Signals: Significant deviations from moving averages may signal potential trend reversals, especially when combined with other technical indicators.
Volatility Measurement: Monitoring the magnitude of deviations can provide insights into market volatility and price movements.
Remember the indicator is applying this only for the US CPI - not the ticker you apply the indicator on!
🔹Functionality 2: It plots on a new pane below information about the Consumer Price Index. You can also find the information by plotting the ticker symbol USACPIALLMINMEI on TradingView, which is a Monthly economic data by the OECD for the CPI in the US. The only addition you would get from the indicator is the plot of the 5 year Simple Moving Average.
🔹What is the US Consumer Price Index?
Measures the change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers;
Traders care about the CPI because consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate;
It is measured as the average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the previous sampling.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics;
FEATURES OF INDICATOR
1) The US Consumer Price Index Minus the Five Year Moving Average of the same.
As shown on the picture above and explained in previous section. Here a more detailed view.
2) The actual US Consumer Price Index (Annual Rate of change) and the Five year average of the US Consumer Price Index. Explained above and shown below:
To activate 2) go into settings and toggle the check box.
HOW TO USE
It can be used for a fundamental analysis on the relationship between the stock market, the economy and the Feds decisions to hike or cut rates, whose main mandate is to control inflation over time.
I have created this indicator to show my analysis in this idea:
What does a First Fed Rate cut really mean?
CREDITS
I have seen such idea in the past posted by the institutional grade research of NedDavis and have recreated it for the TradingView platform, open-source for the community.
Mag7 IndexThis is an indicator index based on cumulative market value of the Magnificent 7 (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA, META, AMZN, GOOG). Such an indicator for the famous Mag 7, against which your main security can be benchmarked, was missing from the TradingView user library.
The index bar values are calculated by taking the weighted average of the 7 stocks, relative to their market cap. Explicitly, we are multiplying each bar period's total outstanding stock amount by the OHLC of that period for each stock and dividing that value by the combined sum of outstanding stock for the 7 corporations. OHLC is taken for the extended trading session.
The index dynamically adjusts with respect to the chosen main security and the bars/line visible in the chart window; that is, the first close value is normalized to the main security's first close value. It provides recalculation of the performance in that chart window as you scroll (this isn't apparent in the demo chart above this description).
It can be useful for checking market breadth, or benchmarking price performance of the individual stock components that comprise the Magnificent 7. I prefer comparing the indicator to the Nasdaq Composite Index (IXIC) or S&P500 (SPX), but of course you can make comparisons to any security or commodity.
Settings Input Options:
1) Bar vs. Line - view as OHLC colored bars or line chart. Line chart color based on close above or below the previous period close as green or red line respectively.
2) % vs Regular - the final value for the window period as % return for that window or index value
3) Turn on/off - bottom right tile displaying window-period performance
Inspired by the simpler NQ 7 Index script by @RaenonX but with normalization to main security at start of window and additional settings input options.
Please provide feedback for additional features, e.g., if a regular/extended session option is useful.
Danger Signals from The Trading MindwheelThe " Danger Signals " indicator, a collaborative creation from the minds at Amphibian Trading and MARA Wealth, serves as your vigilant lookout in the volatile world of stock trading. Drawing from the wisdom encapsulated in "The Trading Mindwheel" and the successful methodologies of legends like William O'Neil and Mark Minervini, this tool is engineered to safeguard your trading journey.
Core Features:
Real-Time Alerts: Identify critical danger signals as they emerge in the market. Whether it's a single day of heightened risk or a pattern forming, stay informed with specific danger signals and a tally of signals for comprehensive decision-making support. The indicator looks for over 30 different signals ranging from simple closing ranges to more complex signals like blow off action.
Tailored Insights with Portfolio Heat Integration: Pair with the "Portfolio Heat" indicator to customize danger signals based on your current positions, entry points, and stops. This personalized approach ensures that the insights are directly relevant to your trading strategy. Certain signals can have different meanings based on where your trade is at in its lifecycle. Blow off action at the beginning of a trend can be viewed as strength, while after an extended run could signal an opportunity to lock in profits.
Forward-Looking Analysis: Leverage the 'Potential Danger Signals' feature to assess future risks. Enter hypothetical price levels to understand potential market reactions before they unfold, enabling proactive trade management.
The indicator offers two different modes of 'Potential Danger Signals', Worst Case or Immediate. Worst Case allows the user to input any price and see what signals would fire based on price reaching that level, while the Immediate mode looks for potential Danger Signals that could happen on the next bar.
This is achieved by adding and subtracting the average daily range to the current bars close while also forecasting the next values of moving averages, vwaps, risk multiples and the relative strength line to see if a Danger Signal would trigger.
User Customization: Flexibility is at your fingertips with toggle options for each danger signal. Tailor the indicator to match your unique trading style and risk tolerance. No two traders are the same, that is why each signal is able to be turned on or off to match your trading personality.
Versatile Application: Ideal for growth stock traders, momentum swing traders, and adherents of the CANSLIM methodology. Whether you're a novice or a seasoned investor, this tool aligns with strategies influenced by trading giants.
Validation and Utility:
Inspired by the trade management principles of Michael Lamothe, the " Danger Signals " indicator is more than just a tool; it's a reflection of tested strategies that highlight the importance of risk management. Through rigorous validation, including the insights from "The Trading Mindwheel," this indicator helps traders navigate the complexities of the market with an informed, strategic approach.
Whether you're contemplating a new position or evaluating an existing one, the " Danger Signals " indicator is designed to provide the clarity needed to avoid potential pitfalls and capitalize on opportunities with confidence. Embrace a smarter way to trade, where awareness and preparation open the door to success.
Let's dive into each of the components of this indicator.
Volume: Volume refers to the number of shares or contracts traded in a security or an entire market during a given period. It is a measure of the total trading activity and liquidity, indicating the overall interest in a stock or market.
Price Action: the analysis of historical prices to inform trading decisions, without the use of technical indicators. It focuses on the movement of prices to identify patterns, trends, and potential reversal points in the market.
Relative Strength Line: The RS line is a popular tool used to compare the performance of a stock, typically calculated as the ratio of the stock's price to a benchmark index's price. It helps identify outperformers and underperformers relative to the market or a specific sector. The RS value is calculated by dividing the close price of the chosen stock by the close price of the comparative symbol (SPX by default).
Average True Range (ATR): ATR is a market volatility indicator used to show the average range prices swing over a specified period. It is calculated by taking the moving average of the true ranges of a stock for a specific period. The true range for a period is the greatest of the following three values:
The difference between the current high and the current low.
The absolute value of the current high minus the previous close.
The absolute value of the current low minus the previous close.
Average Daily Range (ADR): ADR is a measure used in trading to capture the average range between the high and low prices of an asset over a specified number of past trading days. Unlike the Average True Range (ATR), which accounts for gaps in the price from one day to the next, the Average Daily Range focuses solely on the trading range within each day and averages it out.
Anchored VWAP: AVWAP gives the average price of an asset, weighted by volume, starting from a specific anchor point. This provides traders with a dynamic average price considering both price and volume from a specific start point, offering insights into the market's direction and potential support or resistance levels.
Moving Averages: Moving Averages smooth out price data by creating a constantly updated average price over a specific period of time. It helps traders identify trends by flattening out the fluctuations in price data.
Stochastic: A stochastic oscillator is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis that compares a particular closing price of an asset to a range of its prices over a certain period of time. The theory behind the stochastic oscillator is that in a market trending upwards, prices will tend to close near their high, and in a market trending downwards, prices close near their low.
While each of these components offer unique insights into market behavior, providing sell signals under specific conditions, the power of combining these different signals lies in their ability to confirm each other's signals. This in turn reduces false positives and provides a more reliable basis for trading decisions
These signals can be recognized at any time, however the indicators power is in it's ability to take into account where a trade is in terms of your entry price and stop.
If a trade just started, it hasn’t earned much leeway. Kind of like a new employee that shows up late on the first day of work. It’s less forgivable than say the person who has been there for a while, has done well, is on time, and then one day comes in late.
Contextual Sensitivity:
For instance, a high volume sell-off coupled with a bearish price action pattern significantly strengthens the sell signal. When the price closes below an Anchored VWAP or a critical moving average in this context, it reaffirms the bearish sentiment, suggesting that the momentum is likely to continue downwards.
By considering the relative strength line (RS) alongside volume and price action, the indicator can differentiate between a normal retracement in a strong uptrend and a when a stock starts to become a laggard.
The integration of ATR and ADR provides a dynamic framework that adjusts to the market's volatility. A sudden increase in ATR or a character change detected through comparing short-term and long-term ADR can alert traders to emerging trends or reversals.
The "Danger Signals" indicator exemplifies the power of integrating diverse technical indicators to create a more sophisticated, responsive, and adaptable trading tool. This approach not only amplifies the individual strengths of each indicator but also mitigates their weaknesses.
Portfolio Heat Indicator can be found by clicking on the image below
Danger Signals Included
Price Closes Near Low - Daily Closing Range of 30% or Less
Price Closes Near Weekly Low - Weekly Closing Range of 30% or Less
Price Closes Near Daily Low on Heavy Volume - Daily Closing Range of 30% or Less on Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Days
Price Closes Near Weekly Low on Heavy Volume - Weekly Closing Range of 30% or Less on Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Weeks
Price Closes Below Moving Average - Price Closes Below One of 5 Selected Moving Averages
Price Closes Below Swing Low - Price Closes Below Most Recent Swing Low
Price Closes Below 1.5 ATR - Price Closes Below Trailing ATR Stop Based on Highest High of Last 10 Days
Price Closes Below AVWAP - Price Closes Below Selected Anchored VWAP (Anchors include: High of base, Low of base, Highest volume of base, Custom date)
Price Shows Aggressive Selling - Current Bars High is Greater Than Previous Day's High and Closes Near the Lows on Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Days
Outside Reversal Bar - Price Makes a New High and Closes Near the Lows, Lower Than the Previous Bar's Low
Price Shows Signs of Stalling - Heavy Volume with a Close of Less than 1%
3 Consecutive Days of Lower Lows - 3 Days of Lower Lows
Close Lower than 3 Previous Lows - Close is Less than 3 Previous Lows
Character Change - ADR of Last Shorter Length is Larger than ADR of Longer Length
Fast Stochastic Crosses Below Slow Stochastic - Fast Stochastic Crosses Below Slow Stochastic
Fast & Slow Stochastic Curved Down - Both Stochastic Lines Close Lower than Previous Day for 2 Consecutive Days
Lower Lows & Lower Highs Intraday - Lower High and Lower Low on 30 Minute Timeframe
Moving Average Crossunder - Selected MA Crosses Below Other Selected MA
RS Starts Curving Down - Relative Strength Line Closes Lower than Previous Day for 2 Consecutive Days
RS Turns Negative Short Term - RS Closes Below RS of 7 Days Ago
RS Underperforms Price - Relative Strength Line Not at Highs, While Price Is
Moving Average Begins to Flatten Out - First Day MA Doesn't Close Higher
Price Moves Higher on Lighter Volume - Price Makes a New High on Light Volume and 15 Day Average Volume is Less than 50 Day Average
Price Hits % Target - Price Moves Set % Higher from Entry Price
Price Hits R Multiple - Price hits (Entry - Stop Multiplied by Setting) and Added to Entry
Price Hits Overhead Resistance - Price Crosses a Swing High from a Monthly Timeframe Chart from at Least 1 Year Ago
Price Hits Fib Level - Price Crosses a Fib Extension Drawn From Base High to Low
Price Hits a Psychological Level - Price Crosses a Multiple of 0 or 5
Heavy Volume After Significant Move - Above Average and Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Days 35 Bars or More from Breakout
Moving Averages Begin to Slope Downward - Moving Averages Fall for 2 Consecutive Days
Blow Off Action - Highest Volume, Largest Spread, Multiple Gaps in a Row 35 Bars or More Post Breakout
Late Buying Frenzy - ANTS 35 Bars or More Post Breakout
Exhaustion Gap - Gap Up 5% or Higher with Price 125% or More Above 200sma
[strategy][1H] SPY slow stochastics
SPY slow stochastics
Overview
The "SPY Auto RSI Stochastics" strategy is designed to leverage a combination of Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic indicators to identify potential entry and exit points in trading the SPY $SP:SPX.
The technicals:
A simple yet effective strategy for identifying (reversal) trends on SPY (or any asset).
The logic is as follows:
1. Slow stochastics are effective at predicting momentum. They can also be used to effectively identify reversals.
2. A combination of slow and fast RSI (along with an SMA for the fast RSI) can be used to see potential changes in the directional trend of the underlying asset.
3. In order to reduce noise, a band in the middle of RSI values is ignored; think of this as the price converging and potential explosions (sometimes fake) on either side.
4. Outside this noise band, a crossover of fast RSI on slow RSI indicates an upward trend incoming.
5. A crossunder of fast RSI on slow RSI indicates a downward trend incoming.
Strategy Specific Notes -
1. Load this strategy on SPREADEX:SPX on an hourly chart for the best results.
2. This is a generic strategy, use it on anything - index, stocks, etc. You will need to adjust the parameters for the best results.
3. The RSI Upper defines the cutoff for two things -- threshold for entering a long AND exit signal for short. Likewise for RSI Lower.
4. To have alerts on the strategy, add this to your chart, be content with the backtesting results, select "strategy tester", the alert icon, replace the message body with "{{strategy.order.alert_message}}" without the ".
5. In my experience, the strategy won't be immediately profitable upon a signal but it does get there in the backtested results. Intuitively, this makes sense. Reversals take some time to kick in completely.
Inputs
- **slowRSILength**: Length parameter for the slow RSI calculation.
- **fastRSILength**: Length parameter for the fast RSI calculation.
- **smaRSILength**: Length parameter for the Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the fast RSI.
- **RSIUpperThreshold**: Upper threshold for the RSI, used in exit conditions.
- **RSILowerThreshold**: Lower threshold for the RSI, used in exit conditions.
- **RSIUpperDeadzone**: Upper deadzone threshold for the RSI.
- **RSILowerDeadzone**: Lower deadzone threshold for the RSI.
Strategy Logic
- **RSI Calculation**: The script calculates both slow and fast RSI values based on the provided lengths.
- **Entry Condition**: Entry conditions for long and short positions are based on the crossing of fast RSI over slow RSI and SMA RSI, respectively, along with avoidance of RSI deadzones and validation of trade time.
- **Exit Condition**: Exit conditions for both long and short positions are based on crossing RSI thresholds or opposite entry conditions.
Trade Management
- **Position Entry**: Long and short positions are entered based on predefined entry conditions.
- **Position Exit**: Positions are exited based on predefined exit conditions.
- **Alerts**: The script provides alert messages for entry and exit points.
Plotting
- **Slow RSI**: Plots the slow RSI on the chart.
- **SMA RSI**: Plots the Simple Moving Average of fast RSI on the chart.
Example Usage
The defaults work well for SPY on a 1H timeframe.
If you apply this to anything else DAX, EUSTX50, FTSE, CAC (these are what i have); tweak the input parameters.
Plotting
plot(slowRSI, "Slow RSI", color=color.green) //or fastRSI
plot(smaRSI, "SMA RSI", color=color.white)
Conclusion
The "SPY Auto RSI Stochastics" strategy combines RSI and Stochastic indicators to provide potential trade signals for the SPY ETF. Traders can use this strategy with proper risk management and analysis to enhance their trading decisions.
Gamma ExposureOverview :
Gamma is part of the second order of greeks which measure the sensitivity of first order greeks (Delta) to changes in factors of the underlying. Using Gamma, traders can see the potential delta hedging activity by market makers. If market makers are long gamma, they will be buying as price decreases and selling as price increases, which acts as a stabilizing factor on the market. If they are short gamma, they are buying as price increases and selling as price decreases, which can further intensify volatility.
How it works/Calculations :
This indicator will bring the data from an outside source and will calculate Gamma from the Black-Scholes equation. Will take all the open contracts for the underlying and calculate Gamma exposure. A few assumptions will be made that may or may not be true, like making the assumptions that all open contracts were sold by the market maker. Although not perfect, will give an idea of where the market maker will be since the majority will be done by them.
The impact that Gamma has is dependent on different factors, such as open interest, time expiry, and volatility. The more open interest is at a strike that has near- term expiration date, the more likely is that the Gamma exposure will have an impact on the market. Gamma will work as a magnet and pins depending on strong levels.
In the settings, you can choose to see both calls and put Gamma levels or just see the delta, meaning the difference between the calls and the puts. Since this is based on open Interest of the options contracts and those update once a day, this indicator will update once a day as well to give the most current values.
Current equities available for the data :
1. Spx 2. Spy 3. QQQ 4. IWM, 5. AAPL 6. MSFT 7. NVDA 8. AMD 9. V 10. Crm 11. Meta 12. Goog 13. NFLX 14. Amzn 15. Tsla 16. HD 17. Low 18. TGT 19. Wmt 20. XOM 21. Cvx 22. JPM 23. AXP 24. GS 25. ABBV 26. Cat 27. DE 28. BA 29. Fdx 30. UPS 31. Shop 32. SQ 33. Abnb 34. Snow 35. Coin 36. Crwd 37. Uber 38. SBUX 39. ENPH
How to use :
You should not be using this indicator for entries or stop. This indicator will help you see where there are possible levels that will serve as magnets or rejections or where price can be pinned.
Pitfalls :
Gamma is one of the second order greeks, there are other greeks that can also affect movement by the market makers. Time to expiry, volatility and open interest impact gamma. We are calculating all open interest as the market maker being the originator of it. Large and elevated exposure in groups of strikes is more likely to be significant than individual smaller strikes.
Disclaimer:
This is still an indicator that in no way should be used alone.
The information contained in this script does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts are only for educational purposes!
Buy and hold visualiserThis indicator shows the historical performance of a buy and hold portfolio. The purpose of the indicator is to show
1. the effect of the hold time (time between buying and selling a number of instruments) and
2. the effect of investing all capital at once (lump sum) versus dividing the investment over a number of months or years (cost averaging).
The indicator shows four lines:
- a dotted line at 0 (dollar or any other currency),
- a dotted line at the level of initial investment,
- a blue line that shows the amount of capital after selling at the end of the investment period after a lump sum investment,
- a green line that shows the amount of capital after selling at the end of the investment period after an investment that was done in chunks (cost averaging)
When 'chunks' is set to 1, the green line will match the blue line.
When 'investment' is set to 1, the blue and green lines will show the factor by which the initial investment was multiplied at the end of the investment period.
The effect of the hold time can be easily seen in the following example: Choose SPX (CBOE) as the active instrument, set 'chunks' to 1 and 'months' to 12. Depending on when you bought your portfolio, selling it a year later is like tossing a coin. Set 'months' to 360 and it becomes clear that it doesn't matter when you buy, the value of your portfolio will likely multiply considerably in 30 years, even if you bought everything all at once just before a bear market. It shows that with a long time horizon, you don't have to worry about timing the market.
Continue the example above and set 'chunks' to 12, thus spreading the initial investment over 12 months. The green line shows the cost averaging performance. The blue lump sum line is above the green line most of the time. Increase the chunks to 60 and the difference increases.
ARIMA Moving Average and Forecaster [SS]Finally releasing this. This took months, over 3 months to be precise, to figure out, code and troubleshoot! I honestly was going to give up on this project, but I finally got it to actually work fairly reliably. So hopefully you like it!
This is a very basic ARIMA modeler. It can do the following:
1. Provide you with an ARIMA based Moving Average;
2. Provide you with a standard error band;
3. Auto-select a lag length for assessment based on stationarity;
3. Provide you with the option of extending the error range by a user selected amount of standard deviations; and
4. Forecasting and plotting the forecast on the chart.
I will go over each function individually, but before I do, I think its important to talk a bit about what an ARIMA Model is and does:
ARIMA stands for AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average and is an approach to modeling and time series forecasting. In simple terms, it combines autoregressive (AR) and moving average (MA) components to capture the underlying patterns in a time series data. The "AutoRegressive" part accounts for the relationship between an observation and its previous values, while the "Moving Average" part considers the relationship between an observation and a residual error from past observations. The "Integrated" component involves differencing the time series to make it stationary, which aids in stabilizing the model. ARIMA models help predict future values based on patterns observed in historical data, making them useful for forecasting in various fields such as economics, finance, and weather prediction.
The benefits to ARIMA is it will forecast based on the current trend, but it also provides for both the up and down scenario of the trend (i.e., if we are in a downtrend, what it would look like and what values we could expect if the trend reverses and vice versa). All of this is within the scope of this indicator, believe it or not!
If you would like more information on ARIMA, you can check out my educational post about it here:
Alrighty, now for the indicator functions.
ARIMA Moving Average and Standard Error Band
The ARIMA moving average is very simple, it takes the SMA of the current trend, lags it and plots out the lagged SMA. You can toggle the auto-select lag on, or you can pick your own lag manually. The above image is an auto-selected lag, but if we manually lag it by 5, this is what it looks like:
Its simply a lagged average of the 5 SMA (that is essentially how ARIMA works, by creating a moving average and lagging the moving average).
There are some implications to selecting a lag factor when it comes to forecasting, but I will cover this in the forecasting section. But I do want to make mention, you can use the ARIMA moving average in lieu of other moving averages. The advantage to doing this is it will be able to plot out the error bands. For example, if we wanted to get an ARIMA MA of the 200 SMA, we can toggle on the error bands and this is what we get:
Or the 50 MA:
NOTE: You ABSOLUTELY SHOULD NEVER use more than a lag of 4 or 5 for Forecasting (will be discussed later).
Auto-Select Lag
The indicator pulls the ARIMA modeler framework from my Forecasting library and pulls the stationarity assessment from my SPTS library. When you are doing an ARIMA model for forecasting, we need to ensure the data is stationary. Thus, if you want to forecast out the current trend, its highly recommended you select the "Auto Determine Lag Length" to find the most appropriate lag and forecast accordingly.
You can, however, chose your own lag order (model order), but this should never be above 4 or 5.
You should never select a lag of more than 5 because you are introducing too much "trendiness" into the equation, and you will get astronomical readings. ARIMA models never generally exceed a lag of 3 or 4 at most, as they are supposed be stationary and de-trended.
Extending by Standard Deviation
There is an option to select a standard deviation extension band. This is helpful for active day trading. Here is NIO extended by 2 standard deviations:
General suggestion is to only extend by 2 standard deviations and this is sufficient for most stocks.
Forecasting
The hallmark of an ARIMA model is the ability to use it for forecasting. Thus, the forecasting feature is a large portion of this indicator. You can see it displayed in the main chart above, but let's show some other examples:
NIO on the 1 hour:
TSLA on the 4 hour:
You can also display a forecasting table:
The result row shows the most likely, conservative, price at each time increment.
The Upper Confidence and Lower Confidence show what the trend would look like if it continued up or down at the current rate and the 95% confidence intervals show the values that the true source is likely to fall between at various increments in time with a 95% confidence (i.e. 95% probability that it should fall between these levels at period xyz assuming normal distribution).
The important levels, in my opinion, are the upper and lower confidence levels. These show you the current rate of decline or increase that the stock is expecting and what the trend would look like with a continuation or a reversal. This is ARIMA's biggest strength, as it has the ability to plot both outcomes assuming the current trend rate and time remains constant.
And that is the indicator! ARIMA is a bit of a complex process, but its a very powerful tool when used properly!
Troubleshooting:
One thing of note. Sometimes when autoselecting a length for forecasting, if there has been a heavy trend in one direction, you will not get the upper or lower confidence levels because of the lack of any up or down movement. In this case, manually select a lag of 3 to 5 to correct for this.
Let me know if you have any questions below and safe trades everyone!
Market Average TrendThis indicator aims to be complimentary to SPDR Tracker , but I've adjusted the name as I've been able to utilize the "INDEX" data provider to support essentially every US market.
This is a breadth market internal indicator that allows quick review of strength given the 5, 20, 50, 100, 150 and 200 simple moving averages. Each can be toggled to build whatever combinations are desired, I recommend reviewing classic combinations such as 5 & 20 as well as 50 & 200.
It's entirely possible that I've missed some markets that "INDEX" provides data for, if you find any feel free to drop a comment and I'll add support for them in an update.
Markets currently supported:
S&P 100
S&P 500
S&P ENERGIES
S&P INFO TECH
S&P MATERIALS
S&P UTILITIES
S&P FINANCIALS
S&P REAL ESTATE
S&P CON STAPLES
S&P HEALTH CARE
S&P INDUSTRIALS
S&P TELECOM SRVS
S&P CONSUMER DISC
S&P GROWTH
NAS 100
NAS COMP
DOW INDUSTRIAL
DOW COMP
DOW UTILITIES
DOW TRANSPORTATION
RUSSELL 1000
RUSSELL 2000
RUSSELL 3000
You can utilize this to watch stocks for dip buys or potential trend continuation entries, short entries, swing exits or numerous other portfolio management strategies.
If using it with stocks, it's advisable to ensure the stock often follows the index, otherwise obviously it's great to use with major indexes and determine holdings sentiment.
Important!
The "INDEX" data provider only supplies updates to all of the various data feeds at the end of day, I've noticed quite some delays even after market close and not taken time to review their actual update schedule (if even published). Therefore, it's strongly recommended to mostly ignore the last value in the series until it's the day after.
Only works on daily timeframes and above, please don't comment that it's not working if on other timeframes lower than daily :)
Feedback and suggestions are always welcome, enjoy!
