EURUSD 11 Feb 2025 W7 - Intraday Analysis - Powell & Tariffs!

This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 11 Feb 2025 W7 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:

1. Market Sentiment
   
2. 4H Chart Analysis
   
3. 15m Chart Analysis
   

Market Sentiment

My Weekly Analysis HERE still the same as Tariffs is the main theme but market reaction is the key.

Is the market got used to the Tariffs news so reactions will be soft and fade or we are going to see more fear in the market with Tariff War narrative?

Today Powell will be the market mover as investors are waiting for a clue for direction.

4H Chart Analysis


1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Reached Swing Extreme Demand
🔹Swing Continuation

2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.

🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios:

Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)

Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)

3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to Bearish to target the Weak INT Low as long LTFs are staying Bearish.

15m Chart Analysis


1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Continuation

2️⃣
🔹Price reached the Strong Swing High (4H CHoCH) sweeping the liquidity and turning INT structure to bearish with iBOS.

🔹INT Structure continuing Bearish following the 4H Bearish INT structure Continuation.

🔹Since yesterday market open, price is ranging within the Bearish INT structure.

🔹Current INT High is the 4H CHoCH which could be taken out as liquidity for continuation down.

🔹After reaching the Bearish INT structure extreme price is moving down in a corrective PA and currently in the extreme discount of the INT Structure.

🔹For me, I’d prefer to short from the 4H Supply after sweeping the 15m INT High (4H CHoCH). No Long setups/confirmations are clear for me.

3️⃣
🔹Expectation is for price to continue Bearish targeting the 15m Weak Swing Low.