Blockchain Fundamentals: Liquidity & BTC YoYLiquidity & BTC YoY Indicator
Overview:
This indicator calculates the Year-over-Year (YoY) percentage change for two critical metrics: a custom Liquidity Index and Bitcoin's price. The Liquidity Index is derived from a blend of economic and forex data representing the M2 money supply, while the BTC price is obtained from a reliable market source. A dedicated limit(length) function is implemented to handle limited historical data, ensuring that the YoY calculations are available immediately—even when the chart's history is short.
Features Breakdown:
1. Limited Historical Data Workaround
- Functionality: limit(length) The function dynamically adjusts the lookback period when there isn’t enough historical data. This prevents delays in displaying YoY metrics at the beginning of the chart.
2. Liquidity Calculation
- Data Sources: Combines multiple data streams:
USM2, ECONOMICS:CNM2, USDCNY, ECONOMICS:JPM2, USDJPY, ECONOMICS:EUM2, USDEUR
- Formula:
Liquidity Index = USM2 + (CNM2 / USDCNY) + (JPM2 / USDJPY) + (EUM2 / USDEUR)
[b3. Bitcoin Price Calculation
- Data Source: Retrieves Bitcoin's price from BITSTAMP:BTCUSD on the user-selected timeframe for its historical length.
4. Year-over-Year (YoY) Percent Change Calculation
- Methodology:
- The indicator uses a custom function, to autodetect the proper number of bars, based on the selected timeframe.
- It then compares the current value to that from one year ago for both the Liquidity Index and BTC price, calculating the YoY percentage change.
5. Visual Presentation
- Plotting:
- The YoY percentage changes for Liquidity (plotted in blue) and BTC price (plotted in orange) are clearly displayed.
- A horizontal zero line is added for visual alignment, making it easier to compare the two copies of the metric. You add one copy and only display the BTC YoY. Then you add another copy and only display the M2 YoY.
-The zero lines are then used to align the scripts to each other by interposing them. You scale each chart the way you like, then move each copy individually to align both zero lines on top of each other.
This indicator is ideal for analysts and investors looking to monitor macroeconomic liquidity trends alongside Bitcoin's performance, providing immediate insights.
Bitcoin (Criptovaluta)
Ultimate Volatility Scanner by NHBprod - Requested by Client!Hey Everyone!
I created another script to add to my growing library of strategies and indicators that I use for automated crypto and stock trading! This strategy is for BITCOIN but can be used on any stock or crypto. This was requested by a client so I thought I should create it and hopefully build off of it and build variants!
This script gets and compares the 14-day volatility using the ATR percentage for a list of cryptocurrencies and stocks. Cryptocurrencies are preloaded into the script, and the script will show you the TOP 5 coins in terms of volatility, and then compares it to the Bitcoin volatility as a reference. It updates these values once per day using daily timeframe data from TradingView. The coins are then sorted in descending order by their volatility.
If you don't want to use the preloaded set of coins, you have the option of inputting your own coins AND/OR stocks!
Let me know your thoughts.
Ultimate T3 Fibonacci for BTC Scalping. Look at backtest report!Hey Everyone!
I created another script to add to my growing library of strategies and indicators that I use for automated crypto trading! This strategy is for BITCOIN on the 30 minute chart since I designed it to be a scalping strategy. I calculated for trading fees, and use a small amount of capital in the backtest report. But feel free to modify the capital and how much per order to see how it changes the results:)
It is called the "Ultimate T3 Fibonacci Indicator by NHBprod" that computes and displays two T3-based moving averages derived from price data. The t3_function calculates the Tilson T3 indicator by applying a series of exponential moving averages to a combined price metric and then blending these results with specific coefficients derived from an input factor.
The script accepts several user inputs that toggle the use of the T3 filter, select the buy signal method, and set parameters like lengths and volume factors for two variations of the T3 calculation. Two T3 lines, T3 and T32, are computed with different parameters, and their colors change dynamically (green/red for T3 and blue/purple for T32) based on whether the lines are trending upward or downward. Depending on the selected signal method, the script generates buy signals either when T32 crosses over T3 or when the closing price is above T3, and similarly, sell signals are generated on the respective conditions for crossing under or closing below. Finally, the indicator plots the T3 lines on the chart, adds visual buy/sell markers, and sets alert conditions to notify users when the respective trading signals occur.
The user has the ability to tune the parameters using TP/SL, date timerames for analyses, and the actual parameters of the T3 function including the buy/sell signal! Lastly, the user has the option of trading this long, short, or both!
Let me know your thoughts and check out the backtest report!
WAGMI LAB Trend Reversal Indicator HMA-Kahlman (m15)WAGMI HMA-Kahlman Trend Reversal Indicator
This indicator combines the Hull Moving Average (HMA) with the Kahlman filter to provide a dynamic trend reversal signal, perfect for volatile assets like Bitcoin. The strategy works particularly well on lower timeframes, making it ideal for intraday trading and fast-moving markets.
Key Features:
Trend Detection: It uses a blend of HMA and Kahlman filters to detect trend reversals, providing more accurate and timely signals.
Volatility Adaptability: Designed with volatile assets like Bitcoin in mind, this indicator adapts to rapid price movements, offering smoother trend detection during high volatility.
Easy Visualization: Buy (B) and Sell (S) signals are clearly marked with labels, helping traders spot trend shifts quickly and accurately.
Trendlines Module: The indicator plots trendlines based on pivot points, highlighting important support and resistance levels. This helps traders understand the market structure and identify potential breakout or breakdown zones.
Customizable: Adjust the HMA and Kahlman parameters to fit different assets or trading styles, making it flexible for various market conditions.
Usage Tips:
Best Timeframes: The indicator performs exceptionally well on lower timeframes (such as 15-minute to 1-hour charts), making it ideal for scalping and short-term trading strategies.
Ideal for Volatile Assets: This strategy is perfect for highly volatile assets like Bitcoin, but can also be applied to other cryptocurrencies and traditional markets with high price fluctuations.
Signal Confirmation: Use the trend signals (green for uptrend, red for downtrend) along with the buy/sell labels to help you confirm potential entries and exits. It's also recommended to combine the signals with other technical tools like volume analysis or RSI for enhanced confirmation.
Trendline Analysis: The plotted trendlines provide additional visual context to identify key market zones, supporting your trading decisions with a clear view of ongoing trends and possible reversal areas.
Risk Management: As with any strategy, always consider proper risk management techniques, such as stop-loss and take-profit levels, to protect against unforeseen market moves.
Wagmi Lab- Bitcoin H4 Buy Sell Signals This indicator, designed primarily for Bitcoin on the H4 timeframe, is a versatile tool that can also be applied to other assets and timeframes by adjusting its parameters. It combines Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and a crossover filtering mechanism to generate reliable buy and sell signals. The indicator is ideal for traders looking to identify trend direction and potential entry/exit points with added precision.
Key Features:
Customizable EMAs and MACD:
Fast EMA (default: 12): Tracks short-term price momentum.
Slow EMA (default: 26): Tracks long-term price momentum.
Signal SMA (default: 9): Smooths the MACD line to generate the signal line.
MACD Crossover Signals:
The indicator calculates the MACD line and signal line to identify potential buy and sell opportunities.
Buy signals are generated when the MACD line crosses above the signal line, indicating bullish momentum.
Sell signals are generated when the MACD line crosses below the signal line, indicating bearish momentum.
Crossover Strength Filter:
A minimum crossover distance percentage (default: 0.1%) ensures that only significant crossovers are considered, reducing false signals.
This filter helps traders avoid weak or insignificant crossovers that may not lead to strong price movements.
Trend Visualization:
The indicator highlights the trend direction by filling the area between the fast and slow EMAs with colors:
Green: Uptrend (MACD > Signal Line).
Red: Downtrend (MACD < Signal Line).
Buy/Sell Signal Markers:
Buy signals are marked with green circles below the price bars.
Sell signals are marked with red circles above the price bars.
These markers provide clear visual cues for potential entry and exit points.
Adaptable to Other Timeframes and Assets:
While optimized for the H4 timeframe, the indicator can be adjusted for other timeframes (e.g., M15, H1, D1) by modifying the EMA and SMA settings.
It can also be applied to other assets, such as stocks, forex, or commodities, by tweaking the parameters to suit the asset's volatility and characteristics.
How to Use:
Identify Trends:
Use the colored areas (green for uptrend, red for downtrend) to determine the overall market direction.
Wait for Confirmation:
Look for buy or sell signals (green or red circles) that align with the trend direction.
Ensure the crossover meets the minimum distance requirement to filter out weak signals.
Enter and Exit Trades:
Enter a long position when a buy signal appears during an uptrend.
Enter a short position or exit a long position when a sell signal appears during a downtrend.
Adjust Settings for Other Timeframes/Assets:
Experiment with the EMA and SMA periods to optimize the indicator for different timeframes or assets.
Why Use This Indicator?
Precision: The crossover strength filter reduces noise and false signals.
Versatility: Works across multiple timeframes and assets with customizable settings.
Visual Clarity: Clear trend visualization and signal markers make it easy to interpret.
This indicator is a powerful tool for traders seeking to capitalize on Bitcoin's volatility or other assets' price movements, providing a structured approach to identifying trends and potential trading opportunities.
Ultimate Stochastics Strategy by NHBprod Use to Day Trade BTCHey All!
Here's a new script I worked on that's super simple but at the same time useful. Check out the backtest results. The backtest results include slippage and fees/commission, and is still quite profitable. Obviously the profitability magnitude depends on how much capital you begin with, and how much the user utilizes per order, but in any event it seems to be profitable according to backtests.
This is different because it allows you full functionality over the stochastics calculations which is designed for random datasets. This script allows you to:
Designate ANY period of time to analyze and study
Choose between Long trading, short trading, and Long & Short trading
It allows you to enter trades based on the stochastics calculations
It allows you to EXIT trades using the stochastics calculations or take profit, or stop loss, Or any combination of those, which is nice because then the user can see how one variable effects the overall performance.
As for the actual stochastics formula, you get control, and get to SEE the plot lines for slow K, slow D, and fast K, which is usually not considered.
You also get the chance to modify the smoothing method, which has not been done with regular stochastics indicators. You get to choose the standard simple moving average (SMA) method, but I also allow you to choose other MA's such as the HMA and WMA.
Lastly, the user gets the option of using a custom trade extender, which essentially allows a buy or sell signal to exist for X amount of candles after the initial signal. For example, you can use "max bars since signal" to 1, and this will allow the indicator to produce an extra sequential buy signal when a buy signal is generated. This can be useful because it is possible that you use a small take profit (TP) and quickly exit a profitable trade. With the max bars since signal variable, you're able to reenter on the next candle and allow for another opportunity.
Let me know if you have any questions! Please take a look at the performance report and let me know your thoughts! :)
Crypto Neo - Blockchain Momentum (BTC Settings)The Crypto Neo - Blockchain Momentum indicator analyzes Bitcoin’s on-chain activity to gauge bullish or bearish trends. It combines multiple on-chain metrics and applies different moving average strategies to assess Bitcoin’s momentum.
This indicator is designed to track key blockchain data sources, such as:
Hash Rate
Active Addresses
Transactions per Second
New Addresses
Trader Behavior
Long-Term Holders (Cruisers)
Money Flow In/Out
Large Transactions Count
It processes these inputs using various Moving Average (MA) types, including SMA, EMA, DMA, to generate a Bullish Momentum Score, which is visually displayed on the chart.
How to Use:
Select MA Type – Choose between SMA, EMA, MIXMA, or DMA to determine how moving averages are applied.
Set MA Lengths – Adjust MA1 Length and MA2 Length to define short-term vs. long-term trend comparison.
Customize Data Sources – Select different on-chain metrics for the indicator to analyze.
Interpret the Bullish Momentum Score:
🟢 Green (Strong Bullish Momentum) – Bullish on-chain signals dominate.
🟡 Yellow (Moderate Bullish Momentum) – Weak bullish trend forming.
⚪ White (Neutral) – No clear trend.
🟠 Orange (Moderate Bearish Momentum) – Weak bearish signals emerging.
🔴 Red (Strong Bearish Momentum) – Bearish on-chain signals dominate.
Important Notes
This indicator does not generate trading signals but helps interpret blockchain trends for informed decision-making.
Since it relies on daily on-chain data, it is best used on the 1D timeframe for accurate readings.
Real-time calculations may vary slightly due to different bar update behaviors.
This indicator is very useful to confirm market turns early. Here are a few an example setups:
1. Back in 2019 on chain metrics started trending up after the market had dumped signaling a very good opportunity to buy.
2. During the 2021 bull market. When the market was forming a top, the on chain metrics started trending down indicating a risk to the downside.
Mxwll Hedge Suite [Mxwll]Hello Traders!
The Mxwll Hedge Suite determines the best asset to hedge against the asset on your chart!
By determining correlation between the asset on your chart and a group of internally listed assets, the Mxwll Hedge Suite determines which asset from the list exhibits the highest negative correlation, and then determines exactly how many coins/shares/contracts of the asset must be bought to achieve a perfect 1:1 hedge!
The image above exemplifies the process!
The purple box on the chart shows the eligible price action used to determine correlation between the asset on my chart (BTCUSDT.P) and the list of cryptocurrencies that can be used as a hedge!
From this price action, the coin determined to have to greatest negative correlation to BTCUSDT.P is FTMUSD.
The image above further outlines the hedge table located in the bottom-right corner of your chart!
The hedge table shows exactly how many coins you’d need to purchase for the hedge asset at various leverages to achieve a perfect 1:1 hedge!
Hedge Suite works on any asset on any timeframe!
And that’s all! A short and sweet script that is hopefully helpful to traders looking to hedge their positions with a negatively correlated asset!
Thank you, Traders!
[ADDYad] Google Search Trends - Bitcoin (2012 Jan - 2025 Jan)This Pine Script shows the Google Search Trends as an indicator for Bitcoin from January 2012 to January 2025, based on monthly data retrieved from Google Trends. It calculates and displays the relative search interest for Bitcoin over time, offering a historical perspective on its popularity mainly built for BITSTAMP:BTCUSD .
Important note: This is not a live indicator. It visualizes historical search trends based on Google Trends data.
Key Features:
Data Source : Google Trends (Last retrieved in January 10 2025).
Timeframe : The script is designed to be used on a monthly chart, with the data reflecting monthly search trends from January 2012 to January 2025. For other timeframes, the data is linearly interpolated to estimate the trends at finer resolutions.
Purpose : This indicator helps visualize Bitcoin's search interest over the years, offering insights into public interest and sentiment during specific periods (e.g., major price movements or news events).
Data Handling : The data is interpolated for use on non-monthly timeframes, allowing you to view search trends on any chart timeframe. This makes it versatile for use in longer-term analysis or shorter timeframes, despite the raw data being available only on a monthly basis. However, it is most relevant for Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes.
How It Works:
The script calculates the number of months elapsed since January 1, 2012, and uses this to interpolate Google Trends data values for any given point in time on the chart.
The linear interpolation function adjusts the monthly data to provide an approximate trend for intermediate months.
Why It's Useful:
Track Bitcoin's historic search trends to understand how interest in Bitcoin evolved over time, potentially correlating with price movements.
Correlate search trends with price action and other market indicators to analyze the effects of public sentiment and sentiment-driven market momentum.
Final Notes:
This script is unique because it shows real-world, non-financial dataset (Google Trends) to understand price action of Bitcoin correlating with public interest. Hopefully is a valuable addition to the TradingView community.
ADDYad
4-Year Cycles [jpkxyz]Overview of the Script
I wanted to write a script that encompasses the wide-spread macro fund manager investment thesis: "Crypto is simply and expression of macro." A thesis pioneered by the likes of Raoul Pal (EXPAAM) , Andreesen Horowitz (A16Z) , Joe McCann (ASYMETRIC) , Bob Loukas and many more.
Cycle Theory Background:
The 2007-2008 financial crisis transformed central bank monetary policy by introducing:
- Quantitative Easing (QE): Creating money to buy assets and inject liquidity
- Coordinated global monetary interventions
Proactive 4-year economic cycles characterised by:
- Expansionary periods (low rates, money creation)
- Followed by contraction/normalisation
Central banks now deliberately manipulate liquidity, interest rates, and asset prices to control economic cycles, using monetary policy as a precision tool rather than a blunt instrument.
Cycle Characteristics (based on historical cycles):
- A cycle has 4 seasons (Spring, Summer, Fall, Winter)
- Each season with a cycle lasts 365 days
- The Cycle Low happens towards the beginning of the Spring Season of each new cycle
- This is followed by a run up throughout the Spring and Summer Season
- The Cycle High happens towards the end of the Fall Season
- The Winter season is characterised by price corrections until establishing a new floor in the Spring of the next cycle
Key Functionalities
1. Cycle Tracking
- Divides market history into 4-year cycles (Spring, Summer, Fall, Winter)
- Starts tracking cycles from 2011 (first cycle after the 2007 crisis cycle)
- Identifies and marks cycle boundaries
2. Visualization
- Colors background based on current cycle season
- Draws lines connecting:
- Cycle highs and lows
- Inter-cycle price movements
- Adds labels showing:
- Percentage gains/losses between cycles
- Number of days between significant points
3. Customization Options
- Allows users to customize:
- Colors for each season
- Line and label colors
- Label size
- Background opacity
Detailed Mechanism
Cycle Identification
- Uses a modulo calculation to determine the current season in the 4-year cycle
- Preset boundary years include 2015, 2019, 2023, 2027
- Automatically tracks and marks cycle transitions
Price Analysis
- Tracks highest and lowest prices within each cycle
- Calculates percentage changes:
- Intra-cycle (low to high)
- Inter-cycle (previous high to current high/low)
Visualization Techniques
- Background color changes based on current cycle season
- Dashed and solid lines connect significant price points
- Labels provide quantitative insights about price movements
Unique Aspects
1. Predictive Cycle Framework: Provides a structured way to view market movements beyond traditional technical analysis
2. Seasonal Color Coding: Intuitive visual representation of market cycle stages
3. Comprehensive Price Tracking: Captures both intra-cycle and inter-cycle price dynamics
4. Highly Customizable: Users can adjust visual parameters to suit their preferences
Potential Use Cases
- Technical analysis for long-term investors
- Identifying market cycle patterns
- Understanding historical price movement rhythms
- Educational tool for market cycle theory
Limitations/Considerations
- Based on a predefined 4-year cycle model (Liquidity Cycles)
- Historic Cycle Structures are not an indication for future performance
- May not perfectly represent all market behavior
- Requires visual interpretation
This script is particularly interesting for investors who believe in cyclical market theories and want a visual, data-driven representation of market stages.
Log Regression OscillatorThe Log Regression Oscillator transforms the logarithmic regression curves into an easy-to-interpret oscillator that displays potential cycle tops/bottoms.
🔶 USAGE
Calculating the logarithmic regression of long-term swings can help show future tops/bottoms. The relationship between previous swing points is calculated and projected further. The calculated levels are directly associated with swing points, which means every swing point will change the calculation. Importantly, all levels will be updated through all bars when a new swing is detected.
The "Log Regression Oscillator" transforms the calculated levels, where the top level is regarded as 100 and the bottom level as 0. The price values are displayed in between and calculated as a ratio between the top and bottom, resulting in a clear view of where the price is situated.
The main picture contains the Logarithmic Regression Alternative on the chart to compare with this published script.
Included are the levels 30 and 70. In the example of Bitcoin, previous cycles showed a similar pattern: the bullish parabolic was halfway when the oscillator passed the 30-level, and the top was very near when passing the 70-level.
🔹 Proactive
A "Proactive" option is included, which ensures immediate calculations of tentative unconfirmed swings.
Instead of waiting 300 bars for confirmation, the "Proactive" mode will display a gray-white dot (not confirmed swing) and add the unconfirmed Swing value to the calculation.
The above example shows that the "Calculated Values" of the potential future top and bottom are adjusted, including the provisional swing.
When the swing is confirmed, the calculations are again adjusted, showing a red dot (confirmed top swing) or a green dot (confirmed bottom swing).
🔹 Dashboard
When less than two swings are available (top/bottom), this will be shown in the dashboard.
The user can lower the "Threshold" value or switch to a lower timeframe.
🔹 Notes
Logarithmic regression is typically used to model situations where growth or decay accelerates rapidly at first and then slows over time, meaning some symbols/tickers will fit better than others.
Since the logarithmic regression depends on swing values, each new value will change the calculation. A well-fitted model could not fit anymore in the future.
Users have to check the validity of swings; for example, if the direction of swings is downwards, then the dataset is not fitted for logarithmic regression.
In the example above, the "Threshold" is lowered. However, the calculated levels are unreliable due to the swings, which do not fit the model well.
Here, the combination of downward bottom swings and price accelerates slower at first and faster recently, resulting in a non-fit for the logarithmic regression model.
Note the price value (white line) is bound to a limit of 150 (upwards) and -150 (down)
In short, logarithmic regression is best used when there are enough tops/bottoms, and all tops are around 100, and all bottoms around 0.
Also, note that this indicator has been developed for a daily (or higher) timeframe chart.
🔶 DETAILS
In mathematics, the dot product or scalar product is an algebraic operation that takes two equal-length sequences of numbers (arrays) and returns a single number, the sum of the products of the corresponding entries of the two sequences of numbers.
The usual way is to loop through both arrays and sum the products.
In this case, the two arrays are transformed into a matrix, wherein in one matrix, a single column is filled with the first array values, and in the second matrix, a single row is filled with the second array values.
After this, the function matrix.mult() returns a new matrix resulting from the product between the matrices m1 and m2.
Then, the matrix.eigenvalues() function transforms this matrix into an array, where the array.sum() function finally returns the sum of the array's elements, which is the dot product.
dot(x, y)=>
if x.size() > 1 and y.size() > 1
m1 = matrix.new()
m2 = matrix.new()
m1.add_col(m1.columns(), y)
m2.add_row(m2.rows (), x)
m1.mult (m2)
.eigenvalues()
.sum()
🔶 SETTINGS
Threshold: Period used for the swing detection, with higher values returning longer-term Swing Levels.
Proactive: Tentative Swings are included with this setting enabled.
Style: Color Settings
Dashboard: Toggle, "Location" and "Text Size"
Market Anomaly Detector (MAD)Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) Indicator - Detailed Description:
The Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) Indicator is a unique tool designed to identify potential market anomalies by combining several price action-based and momentum indicators. This indicator is especially useful for traders who seek to identify significant market shifts and anomalies before they become visible in conventional technical indicators.
Key Features of the MAD Indicator:
1. Z-Score Threshold for Anomaly Detection:
• The Z-Score measures how far a current price is from its average over a defined period, normalized by standard deviation. This allows the MAD indicator to detect outliers or anomalies in price movements.
• By adjusting the Z-Score Threshold, traders can tune the sensitivity of the indicator to capture only the most significant price deviations, filtering out noise and reducing false signals.
2. Volume and Liquidity Filter:
• Volume is a key indicator of market participation and sentiment. The MAD Indicator uses a volume multiplier to assess when price movements are supported by sufficient trading volume.
• A volume spike is identified when the current volume exceeds the average volume by a certain multiplier. This ensures that only high-confidence signals are generated, particularly useful for spotting trend reversals and breakout opportunities.
3. Signal Cooldown Period:
• To prevent overfitting and reduce false signals, a signal cooldown period is implemented. Once a buy or sell signal is triggered, the indicator waits for a specified number of bars (e.g., 5) before triggering another signal, even if the price action meets the criteria for a new signal. This helps maintain a cleaner trading environment and avoids confusion when the market is volatile.
4. Upper and Lower Bands for Trend Confirmation:
• The MAD Indicator uses bands based on the mean price and standard deviation, similar to Bollinger Bands. These upper and lower bands help to define the expected price range for a given period, indicating overbought or oversold conditions.
• The combination of Z-Score, volume, and band analysis helps pinpoint when the price breaks out of expected ranges, providing early warning signs for potential market shifts.
5. Trend Confirmation from Higher Timeframes:
• The MAD Indicator includes a multi-timeframe approach to trend confirmation, using the 50-period EMA on a higher timeframe (e.g., 1-hour chart). This ensures that signals are aligned with the overall market trend, enhancing the reliability of buy and sell signals.
How It Works:
• The MAD Indicator continuously monitors price action, volume, and statistical anomalies, using the Z-Score to determine when the price is significantly deviating from its historical average.
• When the price breaks above the upper band and a bullish anomaly is detected, a buy signal is generated. (Green Background)
• Similarly, when the price breaks below the lower band and a bearish anomaly is detected, a sell signal is triggered. (Red Background
• By filtering signals based on volume and using the cooldown period, the MAD Indicator ensures that only high-quality trades are signaled.
How to Use the MAD Indicator:
• Buy Signal: Occurs when the price breaks above the upper band and there is a significant deviation from the mean (bullish anomaly).
• Sell Signal: Occurs when the price breaks below the lower band and there is a significant deviation from the mean (bearish anomaly).
• Volume Confirmation: Ensure that the buy/sell signals are supported by a volume spike, indicating strong market participation.
• Signal Cooldown Period: After a signal is triggered, the indicator waits for the cooldown period to avoid triggering multiple signals in quick succession.
Why It’s Worth Paying For:
The MAD Indicator combines advanced statistical analysis (Z-Score), price action, and volume analysis to identify market anomalies and breakouts before they are visible on standard indicators. By leveraging the power of mean reversion and statistical anomalies, this tool provides traders with high-confidence signals that can lead to profitable trades, especially in volatile markets. The integration of a multi-timeframe trend filter ensures that signals are aligned with the overall market trend, reducing the likelihood of false breakouts.
This indicator is ideal for trend-following traders looking for high-probability entries and mean-reversion traders aiming to capture price deviations. The signal cooldown period and volume filter provide an additional layer of precision, ensuring that you only act on the strongest market signals.
Bitcoin SMA channels - quorraThis indicator is specifically designed to identify potential Bitcoin bottom zones based on historical data and market trends. By analyzing price cycles and key support levels, it helps traders and investors make informed decisions. This tool is tailored for optimal use on higher timeframes like the daily chart. (Don't forget to ensure your chart is set to logarithmic)
1. Simple Moving Average (SMA) Calculation and Gradient Coloring
The script begins by calculating the 350-period SMA (sma350), which serves as the foundation for identifying the market's overall trend. To make the SMA visually intuitive, a gradient color function is implemented. This function changes the SMA's color based on whether the current price (close) is above or below the SMA.
If the price is above the SMA, the line appears in gray.
If the price is below the SMA, the line takes on a darker red shade.
This gradient coloring helps traders quickly gauge market sentiment and momentum, as the SMA effectively acts as a dynamic trend line.
2. Fibonacci-Based Multipliers for SMA Levels
The indicator computes several levels based on Fibonacci multipliers of the 350-period SMA. These levels provide additional layers of insight into potential support and resistance zones. The multipliers range from small values like 0.144 (indicating closer proximity to the SMA) to larger values like 9 (representing distant extensions).
These Fibonacci levels are plotted using hidden lines, ensuring that the chart remains uncluttered while still allowing for strategic visualization through filled zones. For instance:
Levels like SMA x 0.144 to SMA x 0.355 are closer to the SMA and are categorized as potential buy zones.
Levels like SMA x 2 to SMA x 9 extend further and are considered sell zones.
3. Filling Areas to Visualize Zones
To enhance the visual representation, the script uses fill() functions to color the regions between specific Fibonacci levels:
Buy Zones: These areas are filled with a semi-transparent gray color (#5a5a5a) to indicate levels where prices are likely to bounce upward.
Sell Zones: Conversely, these areas are filled with a semi-transparent red color (#5f0000), signaling regions where prices may encounter resistance and reverse downward.
This layered approach helps traders identify actionable price ranges without overwhelming them with excessive visual elements.
4. Pivot Points and Their Visualization
The script includes a pivot point system for identifying local highs and lows. Depending on the selected source (High/Low or Close/Open), it calculates pivot highs and lows over a specified period (prd).
Pivot highs (ph) are marked above bars using downward-facing labels.
Pivot lows (pl) are marked below bars using upward-facing labels.
The pivot points are adjustable via user inputs, allowing traders to fine-tune the detection of significant price swings.
5. Support and Resistance Channel Analysis
A key feature of this indicator is its ability to identify and display support and resistance (S/R) levels. The script calculates the maximum allowable width of an S/R channel as a percentage of the price range over a 300-bar window. It then groups pivot points within these channels to derive high and low boundaries.
Resistance Levels: Represented by the upper bounds of channels and highlighted with a red color.
Support Levels: Represented by the lower bounds of channels and highlighted with a gray color.
These levels are dynamically adjusted based on user-defined parameters such as channel width, maximum S/R levels, and strength.
6. Advanced Input Customization
The indicator provides several user-configurable inputs to adapt it to different trading strategies:
Pivot Period (prd): Determines the sensitivity of pivot point calculations.
Channel Width: Controls the percentage width of S/R zones.
Maximum S/R Levels: Sets the maximum number of S/R zones displayed.
Line Style and Color Settings: Allows customization of the visual appearance of lines and labels.
7. Strength Filtering for S/R Levels
To ensure the reliability of identified S/R levels, the script incorporates a filtering mechanism based on strength. Strength is determined by the number of pivot points that fall within a channel. Levels with insufficient strength are excluded, ensuring that only significant S/R zones are displayed.
8. Practical Applications
This indicator can be applied in various trading strategies:
Trend Identification: The SMA and its gradient coloring provide a clear indication of the market's prevailing trend.
Support/Resistance Trading: The Fibonacci levels and S/R zones help traders identify potential entry and exit points.
Risk Management: By visualizing key levels, the indicator assists traders in setting stop-loss and take-profit levels effectively.
This script combines multiple technical analysis techniques into a single, visually intuitive tool. It is particularly useful for Bitcoin traders seeking to enhance their decision-making process by leveraging both trend and level-based analysis.
Although this indicator is specifically designed for Bitcoin, it can also be applied to stocks or altcoins. It works best on longer timeframes, such as the daily chart. When the price reaches specific support levels, it may be wise to activate a DCA bot or confirm the bottom using other indicators. This approach helps enhance decision-making and ensures a more strategic entry or exit from positions.
Murad Picks Target MCThe Murad Picks Target Market Cap Indicator is a custom TradingView tool designed for crypto traders and enthusiasts tracking tokens in the Murad Picks list. This indicator dynamically calculates and visualizes the price targets based on Murad Mahmudov's projected market capitalizations, allowing you to gauge each token's growth potential directly on your charts.
Indicator support tokens:
- SPX6900
- GIGA
- MOG
- POPCAT
- APU
- BITCOIN
- RETARDIO
- LOCKIN
Key Features :
Dynamic Target Price Lines:
- Displays horizontal lines representing the price when the token reaches its projected market cap.
- Automatically adjusts for the active chart symbol (e.g., SPX, MOG, APU, etc.).
X Multiplier Calculation:
- Shows how many times the current price must multiply to achieve the target price.
- Perfect for understanding relative growth potential.
Customizable Inputs:
- Easily update target market caps and circulating supply for each token.
- Adjust visuals such as line colors and styles.
Seamless Integration:
- Automatically adapts to the token you’re viewing (e.g., SPX, MOG, APU).
- Clean and visually intuitive, with labels marking targets.
Logarithmic Regression AlternativeLogarithmic regression is typically used to model situations where growth or decay accelerates rapidly at first and then slows over time. Bitcoin is a good example.
𝑦 = 𝑎 + 𝑏 * ln(𝑥)
With this logarithmic regression (log reg) formula 𝑦 (price) is calculated with constants 𝑎 and 𝑏, where 𝑥 is the bar_index .
Instead of using the sum of log x/y values, together with the dot product of log x/y and the sum of the square of log x-values, to calculate a and b, I wanted to see if it was possible to calculate a and b differently.
In this script, the log reg is calculated with several different assumed a & b values, after which the log reg level is compared to each Swing. The log reg, where all swings on average are closest to the level, produces the final 𝑎 & 𝑏 values used to display the levels.
🔶 USAGE
The script shows the calculated logarithmic regression value from historical swings, provided there are enough swings, the price pattern fits the log reg model, and previous swings are close to the calculated Top/Bottom levels.
When the price approaches one of the calculated Top or Bottom levels, these levels could act as potential cycle Top or Bottom.
Since the logarithmic regression depends on swing values, each new value will change the calculation. A well-fitted model could not fit anymore in the future.
Swings are based on Weekly bars. A Top Swing, for example, with Swing setting 30, is the highest value in 60 weeks. Thirty bars at the left and right of the Swing will be lower than the Top Swing. This means that a confirmation is triggered 30 weeks after the Swing. The period will be automatically multiplied by 7 on the daily chart, where 30 becomes 210 bars.
Please note that the goal of this script is not to show swings rapidly; it is meant to show the potential next cycle's Top/Bottom levels.
🔹 Multiple Levels
The script includes the option to display 3 Top/Bottom levels, which uses different values for the swing calculations.
Top: 'high', 'maximum open/close' or 'close'
Bottom: 'low', 'minimum open/close' or 'close'
These levels can be adjusted up/down with a percentage.
Lastly, an "Average" is included for each set, which will only be visible when "AVG" is enabled, together with both Top and Bottom levels.
🔹 Notes
Users have to check the validity of swings; the above example only uses 1 Top Swing for its calculations, making the Top level unreliable.
Here, 1 of the Bottom Swings is pretty far from the bottom level, changing the swing settings can give a more reliable bottom level where all swings are close to that level.
Note the display was set at "Logarithmic", it can just as well be shown as "Regular"
In the example below, the price evolution does not fit the logarithmic regression model, where growth should accelerate rapidly at first and then slows over time.
Please note that this script can only be used on a daily timeframe or higher; using it at a lower timeframe will show a warning. Also, it doesn't work with bar-replay.
🔶 DETAILS
The code gathers data from historical swings. At the last bar, all swings are calculated with different a and b values. The a and b values which results in the smallest difference between all swings and Top/Bottom levels become the final a and b values.
The ranges of a and b are between -20.000 to +20.000, which means a and b will have the values -20.000, -19.999, -19.998, -19.997, -19.996, ... -> +20.000.
As you can imagine, the number of calculations is enormous. Therefore, the calculation is split into parts, first very roughly and then very fine.
The first calculations are done between -20 and +20 (-20, -19, -18, ...), resulting in, for example, 4.
The next set of calculations is performed only around the previous result, in this case between 3 (4-1) and 5 (4+1), resulting in, for example, 3.9. The next set goes even more in detail, for example, between 3.8 (3.9-0.1) and 4.0 (3.9 + 0.1), and so on.
1) -20 -> +20 , then loop with step 1 (result (example): 4 )
2) 4 - 1 -> 4 +1 , then loop with step 0.1 (result (example): 3.9 )
3) 3.9 - 0.1 -> 3.9 +0.1 , then loop with step 0.01 (result (example): 3.93 )
4) 3.93 - 0.01 -> 3.93 +0.01, then loop with step 0.001 (result (example): 3.928)
This ensures complicated calculations with less effort.
These calculations are done at the last bar, where the levels are displayed, which means you can see different results when a new swing is found.
Also, note that this indicator has been developed for a daily (or higher) timeframe chart.
🔶 SETTINGS
Three sets
High/Low
• color setting
• Swing Length settings for 'High' & 'Low'
• % adjustment for 'High' & 'Low'
• AVG: shows average (when both 'High' and 'Low' are enabled)
Max/Min (maximum open/close, minimum open/close)
• color setting
• Swing Length settings for 'Max' & 'Min'
• % adjustment for 'Max' & 'Min'
• AVG: shows average (when both 'Max' and 'Min' are enabled)
Close H/Close L (close Top/Bottom level)
• color setting
• Swing Length settings for 'Close H' & 'Close L'
• % adjustment for 'Close H' & 'Close L'
• AVG: shows average (when both 'Close H' and 'Close L' are enabled)
Show Dashboard, including Top/Bottom levels of the desired source and calculated a and b values.
Show Swings + Dot size
Bitcoin Events HistoryWith this tool, you can travel back to Bitcoin’s very first price quote and retrace its entire history directly on your chart. Major events are plotted as labels or markers, providing context for how significant moments shaped Bitcoin’s journey.
Key Features
Comprehensive Event Coverage: From Bitcoin’s inception to the most recent updates.
Custom View: Change label colors, styles, sizes, and fonts using the script’s settings.
Regular Updates: New events are added regularly to keep the history current.
Replay History
Use Bar Replay Mode to step through Bitcoin’s price history and see events unfold in sequence.
Follow the on-screen instructions for a more immersive experience.
Community Contributions
If you notice a significant event missing or misplaced on a particular date, feel free to leave a comment! Your suggestions will be considered for the next update.
To all Bitcoin enthusiasts, traders, and anyone eager to explore the history of cryptocurrency from its inception, I hope you enjoy this indicator :)
MicroStrategy Bitcoin Premium v2 [Kendrick_Chan]In 2020, MicroStrategy, under the leadership of CEO Michael Saylor, began purchasing large amounts of Bitcoin to hedge against inflation and diversify its corporate treasury. This move transformed MicroStrategy into one of the largest corporate holders of Bitcoin, with the company continually increasing its holdings through additional purchases funded by issuing new shares and convertible bonds.
The MicroStrategy Bitcoin Premium indicator is a dynamic tool that underscores the enthusiasm of equity market investors to gain Bitcoin exposure through MicroStrategy's (MSTR) stock. This indicator measures the premium investors are willing to pay for MSTR shares relative to the company's Bitcoin and cash holdings, reflecting the traditional market's eagerness to hold Bitcoin indirectly.
How Does It Work:
When MicroStrategy issues convertible bonds, cash level increases and all CB are assumed to convert to stocks diluting the shares.
In case of sales of MSTR new shares, cash level increases and diluted shares are adjusted tentatively before the quarterly financial reports.
In the event of Bitcoin purchases, the Bitcoins holding increases while cash level decreases.
Premium = Assumed Diluted Market Cap / ( Bitcoins Value + Cash and Cash Equivalents ) - 100%
How To Use:
By understanding and utilizing the MicroStrategy Bitcoin Premium indicator, traders and investors can make more informed decisions, whether they are swing trading MSTR, gauging Bitcoin demand, or seeking arbitrage opportunities.
1. MSTR Swing Traders
Swing traders can leverage the indicator to identify potential MSTR entry and exit points based on the overbought or oversold conditions of the stock.
2. Bitcoin Investors and Traders
The premium indicator can serve Bitcoin investors as a proxy for gauging overall market demand. A high premium indicates strong demand for Bitcoin exposure through MSTR, reflecting broader market enthusiasm for Bitcoin. A low premium suggests reduced demand.
Bitcoin traders may also anticipate the Bitcoin demand driven by MicroStrategy:
a) Shen the premium is high, MicroStrategy could issue new shares or convertible bonds to raise funds and buy more Bitcoins.
b) Arbitrageurs might also short sell MSTR and buy the equivalent Bitcoins.
3. MSTR-Bitcoin Arbitrageurs
Arbitrage traders can use the premium indicator to exploit price discrepancies between MSTR stock and Bitcoin. This strategy profits from any convergence between the stock price and the value of the underlying Bitcoin holdings.
The indicator helps identify optimal times to enter and exit arbitrage positions, minimizing risk and maximizing potential returns by capitalizing on market inefficiencies.
Simple Moving Average with Regime Detection by iGrey.TradingThis indicator helps traders identify market regimes using the powerful combination of 50 and 200 SMAs. It provides clear visual signals and detailed metrics for trend-following strategies.
Key Features:
- Dual SMA System (50/200) for regime identification
- Colour-coded candles for easy trend visualisation
- Metrics dashboard
Core Signals:
- Bullish Regime: Price < 200 SMA
- Bearish Regime: Price > 200 SMA
- Additional confirmation: 50 SMA Cross-over or Cross-under (golden cross or death cross)
Metrics Dashboard:
- Current Regime Status (Bull/Bear)
- SMA Distance (% from price to 50 SMA)
- Regime Distance (% from price to 200 SMA)
- Regime Duration (bars in current regime)
Usage Instructions:
1. Apply the indicator to your chart
2. Configure the SMA lengths if desired (default: 50/200)
3. Monitor the color-coded candles:
- Green: Bullish regime
- Red: Bearish regime
4. Use the metrics dashboard for detailed analysis
Settings Guide:
- Length: Short-term SMA period (default: 50)
- Source: Price calculation source (default: close)
- Regime Filter Length: Long-term SMA period (default: 200)
- Regime Filter Source: Price source for regime calculation (default: close)
Trading Tips:
- Use bullish regimes for long positions
- Use bearish regimes for capital preservation or short positions
- Consider regime duration for trend strength
- Monitor distance metrics for potential reversals
- Combine with other systems for confluence
#trend-following #moving average #regime #sma #momentum
Risk Management:
- Not a standalone trading system
- Should be used with proper position sizing
- Consider market conditions and volatility
- Always use stop losses
Best Practices:
- Monitor multiple timeframes
- Use with other confirmation tools
- Consider fundamental factors
Version: 1.0
Created by: iGREY.Trading
Release Notes
// v1.1 Allows table overlay customisation
// v1.2 Update to v6 pinescript
MultiSector Performance Tracker [LuxAlgo]The MultiSector Performance Tracker tool shows the overall performance of different crypto market sectors within a selected time frame, overlaid on a single chart for easy comparison.
Users can customize the time frame to suit their specific needs, whether daily, weekly, monthly, or yearly.
🔶 USAGE
The tool displays the performance of up to 6 crypto sectors within a selected time period, such as each day, week, month or year, or from the beginning of the year for any of the last 4 years.
The sectors and tickers within each sector are as follows:
Layer 1: CRYPTOCAP:ETH CRYPTOCAP:SOL CRYPTOCAP:TON
Layer 2: SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:MATIC TSX:MNT AMEX:ARB
CEX: CRYPTOCAP:BNB CRYPTOCAP:OKB NYSE:BGB
DEX: CRYPTOCAP:UNI LSE:JUP CRYPTOCAP:RUNE
AI: CRYPTOCAP:NEAR GETTEX:TAO CRYPTOCAP:ICP
Ethereum Memes: CRYPTOCAP:PEPE CRYPTOCAP:SHIB CRYPTOCAP:FLOKI
Traders can compare the relative performance of a custom ticker against the sector of their choice and view the average of all sectors.
The tool is fully customizable, allowing traders to enable or disable any of the features or sectors.
🔹 Dashboard
The tool also displays the data in an ascending or descending sector performance dashboard, allowing traders to see at a glance which sectors are overperforming or underperforming.
Other dashboard features include custom ticker vs. sector comparison and sectors average, and traders can choose the location and size of the dashboard.
🔶 SETTINGS
Period: View all data by time period, daily, weekly, etc. Or view data from last year, last 2 years, etc.
Relative Performance Against: Enable/Disable relative performance comparison against a sector.
Use chart ticker: Enable the use of the chart ticker or a custom ticker for relative performance comparison.
🔹 Dashboard
Show Dashboard: Enable / disable Dashboard display.
Order: Choose between ascending and descending order.
Position: Selection of dashboard location.
Size: Selection of dashboard size.
🔹 Style
Show Sectors Labels: Enable / disable sector labels
Layer 1: Enable / disable Layer 1 sector
Layer 2: Enable / disable Layer 2 sector
CEX: Enable / disable CEX sector
DEX: Enable / disable DEX sector
AI: Enable / disable AI sector
Ethereum Memes: Enable / disable Ethereum Memes sector
Average: Enable / disable sectors average display
Custom Ticker: Enable / disable custom ticker display
Crypto Wallets Profitability & Performance [LuxAlgo]The Crypto Wallets Profitability & Performance indicator provides a comprehensive view of the financial status of cryptocurrency wallets by leveraging on-chain data from IntoTheBlock. It measures the percentage of wallets profiting, losing, or breaking even based on current market prices.
Additionally, it offers performance metrics across different timeframes, enabling traders to better assess market conditions.
This information can be crucial for understanding market sentiment and making informed trading decisions.
🔶 USAGE
🔹 Wallets Profitability
This indicator is designed to help traders and analysts evaluate the profitability of cryptocurrency wallets in real-time. It aggregates data gathered from the blockchain on the number of wallets that are in profit, loss, or breaking even and presents it visually on the chart.
Breaking even line demonstrates how realized gains and losses have changed, while the profit and the loss monitor unrealized gains and losses.
The signal line helps traders by providing a smoothed average and highlighting areas relative to profiting and losing levels. This makes it easier to identify and confirm trading momentum, assess strength, and filter out market noise.
🔹 Profitability Meter
The Profitability Meter is an alternative display that visually represents the percentage of wallets that are profiting, losing, or breaking even.
🔹 Performance
The script provides a view of the financial health of cryptocurrency wallets, showing the percentage of wallets in profit, loss, or breaking even. By combining these metrics with performance data across various timeframes, traders can gain valuable insights into overall wallet performance, assess trend strength, and identify potential market reversals.
🔹 Dashboard
The dashboard presents a consolidated view of key statistics. It allows traders to quickly assess the overall financial health of wallets, monitor trend strength, and gauge market conditions.
🔶 DETAILS
🔹 The Chart Occupation Option
The chart occupation option adjusts the occupation percentage of the chart to balance the visibility of the indicator.
🔹 The Height in Performance Options
Crypto markets often experience significant volatility, leading to rapid and substantial gains or losses. Hence, plotting performance graphs on top of the chart alongside other indicators can result in a cluttered display. The height option allows you to adjust the plotting for balanced visibility, ensuring a clearer and more organized chart.
🔶 SETTINGS
The script offers a range of customizable settings to tailor the analysis to your trading needs.
Chart Occupation %: Adjust the occupation percentage of the chart to balance the visibility of the indicator.
🔹 Profiting Wallets
Profiting Percentage: Toggle to display the percentage of wallets in profit.
Smoothing: Adjust the smoothing period for the profiting percentage line.
Signal Line: Choose a signal line type (SMA, EMA, RMA, or None) to overlay on the profiting percentage.
🔹 Losing Wallets
Losing Percentage: Toggle to display the percentage of wallets in loss.
Smoothing: Adjust the smoothing period for the losing percentage line.
Signal Line: Choose a signal line type (SMA, EMA, RMA, or None) to overlay on the losing percentage.
🔹 Breaking Even Wallets
Breaking-Even Percentage: Toggle to display the percentage of wallets breaking even.
Smoothing: Adjust the smoothing period for the breaking-even percentage line.
🔹 Profitability Meter
Profitability Meter: Enable or disable the meter display, set its width, and adjust the offset.
🔹 Performance
Performance Metrics: Choose the timeframe for performance metrics (Day to Date, Week to Date, etc.).
Height: Adjust the height of the chart visuals to balance the visibility of the indicator.
🔹 Dashboard
Block Profitability Stats: Toggle the display of profitability stats.
Performance Stats: Toggle the display of performance stats.
Dashboard Size and Position: Customize the size and position of the performance dashboard on the chart.
🔶 RELATED SCRIPTS
Market-Sentiment-Technicals
Multi-Chart-Widget
Pulse DPO: Major Cycle Tops and Bottoms█ OVERVIEW
Pulse DPO is an oscillator designed to highlight Major Cycle Tops and Bottoms .
It works on any market driven by cycles. It operates by removing the short-term noise from the price action and focuses on the market's cyclical nature.
This indicator uses a Normalized version of the Detrended Price Oscillator (DPO) on a 0-100 scale, making it easier to identify major tops and bottoms.
Credit: The DPO was first developed by William Blau in 1991.
█ HOW TO READ IT
Pulse DPO oscillates in the range between 0 and 100. A value in the upper section signals an OverBought (OB) condition, while a value in the lower section signals an OverSold (OS) condition.
Generally, the triggering of OB and OS conditions don't necessarily translate into swing tops and bottoms, but rather suggest caution on approaching a market that might be overextended.
Nevertheless, this indicator has been customized to trigger the signal only during remarkable top and bottom events.
I suggest using it on the Daily Time Frame , but you're free to experiment with this indicator on other time frames.
The indicator has Built-in Alerts to signal the crossing of the Thresholds. Please don't act on an isolated signal, but rather integrate it to work in conjunction with the indicators present in your Trading Plan.
█ OB SIGNAL ON: ENTERING OVERBOUGHT CONDITION
When Pulse DPO crosses Above the Top Threshold it Triggers ON the OB signal. At this point the oscillator line shifts to OB color.
When Pulse DPO enters the OB Zone, please beware! In this Area the Major Players usually become Active Sellers to the Public. While the OB signal is On, it might be wise to Consider Selling a portion or the whole Long Position.
Please note that even though this indicator aims to focus on major tops and bottoms, a strong trending market might trigger the OB signal and stay with it for a long time. That's especially true on young markets and on bubble-mode markets.
█ OB SIGNAL OFF: EXITING OVERBOUGHT CONDITION
When Pulse DPO crosses Below the Top Threshold it Triggers OFF the OB signal. At this point the oscillator line shifts to its normal color.
When Pulse DPO exits the OB Zone, please beware because a Major Top might just have occurred. In this Area the Major Players usually become Aggressive Sellers. They might wind up any remaining Long Positions and Open new Short Positions.
This might be a good area to Open Shorts or to Close/Reverse any remaining Long Position. Whatever you choose to do, it's usually best to act quickly because the market is prone to enter into panic mode.
█ OS SIGNAL ON: ENTERING OVERSOLD CONDITION
When Pulse DPO crosses Below the Bottom Threshold it Triggers ON the OS signal. At this point the oscillator line shifts to OS color.
When Pulse DPO enters the OS Zone, please beware because in this Area the Major Players usually become Active Buyers accumulating Long Positions from the desperate Public.
While the OS signal is On, it might be wise to Consider becoming a Buyer or to implement a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) Strategy to build a Long Position towards the next Cycle. In contrast to the tops, the OS state usually takes longer to resolve a major bottom.
█ OS SIGNAL OFF: EXITING OVERSOLD CONDITION
When Pulse DPO crosses Above the Bottom Threshold it Triggers OFF the OS signal. At this point the oscillator line shifts to its normal color.
When Pulse DPO exits the OS Zone, please beware because a Major Bottom might already be in place. In this Area the Major Players become Aggresive Buyers. They might wind up any remaining Short Positions and Open new Long Positions.
This might be a good area to Open Longs or to Close/Reverse any remaining Short Positions.
█ WHY WOULD YOU BE INTERESTED IN THIS INDICATOR?
This indicator is built over a solid foundation capable of signaling Major Cycle Tops and Bottoms across many markets. Let's see some examples:
Early Bitcoin Years: From 0 to 1242
This chart is in logarithmic mode in order to properly display various exponential cycles. Pulse DPO is properly signaling the major early highs from 9-Jun-2011 at 31.50, to the next one on 9-Apr-2013 at 240 and the epic top from 29-Nov-2013 at 1242.
Due to the massive price movements, the OB condition stays pinned during most of the exponential price action. But as you can see, the OB condition quickly vanishes once the Cycle Top has been reached. As the market matures, the OB condition becomes more exceptional and triggers much closer from the Cycle Top.
With regards to Cycle Bottoms, the early bottom of 2 after having peaked at 31.50 doesn’t get captured by the indicator. That is the only cycle bottom that escapes the Pulse DPO when the bottom threshold is set at a value of 5. In that event, the oscillator low reached 6.95.
Bitcoin Adoption Spreading: From 257 to 73k
This chart is in logarithmic mode in order to properly display various exponential cycles. Pulse DPO is properly signaling all the major highs from 17-Dec-2017 at 19k, to the next one on 14-Apr-2021 at 64k and the most recent top from 9-Nov-2021 at 68k.
During the massive run of 2017, the OB condition still stayed triggered for a few weeks on each swing top. But on the next cycles it started to signal only for a few days before each swing top actually happened. The OB condition during the last cycle top triggered only for 3 days. Therefore the signal grows in focus as the market matures.
At the time of publishing this indicator, Bitcoin printed a new All Time High (ATH) on 13-Mar-2024 at 73k. That run didn’t trigger the OB condition. Therefore, if the indicator is correct the Bitcoin market still has some way to grow during the next months.
With regards to Cycle Bottoms, the bottom of 3k after having peaked at19k got captured within the wide OS zone. The bottom of 15k after having peaked at 68k got captured too within the OS accumulation area.
Gold
Pulse DPO behaves surprisingly well on a long standing market such as Gold. Moving back to the 197x years it’s been signaling most Cycle Tops and Bottoms with precision. During the last cycle, it shows topping at 2k and bottoming at 1.6k.
The current price action is signaling OB condition in the range of 2.5k to 2.7k. Looking at past cycles, it tends to trigger on and off at multiple swing tops until reaching the final cycle top. Therefore this might indicate the first wave within a potential gold run.
Oil
On the Oil market, we can see that most of the cycle tops and bottoms since the 80s got signaled. The only exception being the low from 2020 which didn’t trigger.
EURUSD
On Forex markets the Pulse DPO also behaves as expected. Looking back at EURUSD we can see the marketing triggering OB and OS conditions during major cycle tops and bottoms from recent times until the 80s.
S&P 500
On the S&P 500 the Pulse DPO catched the lows from 2016 and 2020. Looking at present price action, the recent ATH didn’t trigger the OB condition. Therefore, the indicator is allowing room for another leg up during the next months.
Amazon
On the Amazon chart the Pulse DPO is mirroring pretty accurately the major swings. Scrolling back to the early 2000s, this chart resembles early exponential swings in the crypto space.
Tesla
Moving onto a younger tech stock, Pulse DPO captures pretty accurately the major tops and bottoms. The chart is shown in logarithmic scale to better display the magnitude of the moves.
█ SETTINGS
This indicator is ideal for identifying major market turning points while filtering out short-term noise. You are free to adjust the parameters to align with your preferred trading style.
Parameters : This section allows you to customize any of the Parameters that shape the Oscillator.
Oscillator Length: Defines the period for calculating the Oscillator.
Offset: Shifts the oscillator calculation by a certain number of periods, which is typically half the Oscillator Length.
Lookback Period: Specifies how many bars to look back to find tops and bottoms for normalization.
Smoothing Length: Determines the length of the moving average used to smooth the oscillator.
Thresholds : This section allows you to customize the Thresholds that trigger the OB and OS conditions.
Top: Defines the value of the Top Threshold.
Bottom: Defines the value of the Bottom Threshold.
Ping Pong Bot StrategyOverview:
The Ping Pong Bot Strategy is designed for traders who focus on scalping and short-term opportunities using support and resistance levels. This strategy identifies potential buy entries when the price reaches a key support area and shows bullish momentum (a green bar). It aims to capitalize on small price movements with predefined risk management and take profit levels, making it suitable for active traders looking to maximize quick trades in trending or ranging markets.
How It Works:
Support & Resistance Calculation:
The strategy dynamically identifies support and resistance levels using the lowest and highest price points over a user-defined period. These levels help pinpoint potential price reversal areas, guiding traders on where to enter or exit trades.
Buy Entry Criteria:
A buy signal is triggered when the closing price is at or below the support level, and the bar is green (i.e., the closing price is higher than the opening price). This ensures that entries are made when prices show signs of upward momentum after hitting support.
Risk Management:
For each trade, a stop loss is calculated based on a user-defined risk percentage, helping to protect against significant drawdowns. Additionally, a take profit level is set at a ratio relative to the risk, ensuring a disciplined approach to exit points.
0.5% Take Profit Target:
The strategy also includes a 0.5% quick take profit target, indicated by an orange arrow when reached. This feature helps traders lock in small gains rapidly, making it ideal for volatile market conditions.
Customizable Inputs:
Length: Adjusts the period for calculating support and resistance levels.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Allows traders to set the desired risk-to-reward ratio for each trade.
Risk Percentage: Defines the risk tolerance for stop loss calculations.
Take Profit Target: Enables the customization of the quick take profit target.
Ideal For:
Traders who prefer an active trading style and want to leverage support and resistance levels for precise entries and exits. This strategy is particularly useful in markets that experience frequent price bounces between support and resistance, allowing traders to "ping pong" between these levels for profitable trades.
Note:
This strategy is developed mainly for the 5-minute chart and has not been tested on longer time frames. Users should perform their own testing and adjustments if using it on different time frames.
Crypto Volatility Bitcoin Correlation Strategy Description:
The Crypto Volatility Bitcoin Correlation Strategy is designed to leverage market volatility specifically in Bitcoin (BTC) using a combination of volatility indicators and trend-following techniques. This strategy utilizes the VIXFix (a volatility indicator adapted for crypto markets) and the BVOL7D (Bitcoin 7-Day Volatility Index from BitMEX) to identify periods of high volatility, while confirming trends with the Exponential Moving Average (EMA). These components work together to offer a comprehensive system that traders can use to enter positions when volatility and trends are aligned in their favor.
Key Features:
VIXFix (Volatility Index for Crypto Markets): This indicator measures the highest price of Bitcoin over a set period and compares it with the current low price to gauge market volatility. A rise in VIXFix indicates increasing market volatility, signaling that large price movements could occur.
BVOL7D (Bitcoin 7-Day Volatility Index): This volatility index, provided by BitMEX, measures the volatility of Bitcoin over the past 7 days. It helps traders monitor the recent volatility trend in the market, particularly useful when making short-term trading decisions.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The 50-period EMA acts as a trend indicator. When the price is above the EMA, it suggests the market is in an uptrend, and when the price is below the EMA, it suggests a downtrend.
How It Works:
Long Entry: A long position is triggered when both the VIXFix and BVOL7D indicators are rising, signaling increased volatility, and the price is above the 50-period EMA, confirming that the market is trending upward.
Exit: The strategy exits the position when the price crosses below the 50-period EMA, which signals a potential weakening of the uptrend and a decrease in volatility.
This strategy ensures that traders only enter positions when the volatility aligns with a clear trend, minimizing the risk of entering trades during periods of market uncertainty.
Testing and Timeframe:
This strategy has been tested on Bitcoin using the daily timeframe, which provides a longer-term perspective on market trends and volatility. However, users can adjust the timeframe according to their trading preferences. It is crucial to note that this strategy does not include comprehensive risk management, aside from the exit condition when the price crosses below the EMA. Users are strongly advised to implement their own risk management techniques, such as setting appropriate stop-loss levels, to safeguard their positions during high volatility periods.
Utility:
The Crypto Volatility Bitcoin Correlation Strategy is particularly well-suited for traders who aim to capitalize on the high volatility often seen in the Bitcoin market. By combining volatility measurements (VIXFix and BVOL7D) with a trend-following mechanism (EMA), this strategy helps identify optimal moments for entering and exiting trades. This approach ensures that traders participate in potentially profitable market moves while minimizing exposure during times of uncertainty.
Use Cases:
Volatility-Based Entries: Traders looking to take advantage of market volatility spikes will find this strategy useful for timing entry points during market swings.
Trend Confirmation: By using the EMA as a confirmation tool, traders can avoid entering trades that go against the trend, which can result in significant losses during volatile market conditions.
Risk Management: While the strategy exits when price falls below the EMA, it is important to recognize that this is not a full risk management system. Traders should use caution and integrate additional risk measures, such as stop-losses and position sizing, to better manage potential losses.
How to Use:
Step 1: Monitor the VIXFix and BVOL7D indicators. When both are rising and the Bitcoin price is above the EMA, the strategy will trigger a long entry, indicating that the market is experiencing increased volatility with a confirmed uptrend.
Step 2: Exit the position when the price drops below the 50-period EMA, signaling that the trend may be reversing or weakening, reducing the likelihood of continued upward price movement.
This strategy is open-source and is intended to help traders navigate volatile market conditions, particularly in Bitcoin, using proven indicators for volatility and trend confirmation.
Risk Disclaimer:
This strategy has been tested on the daily timeframe of Bitcoin, but users should be aware that it does not include built-in risk management except for the below-EMA exit condition. Users should be extremely cautious when using this strategy and are encouraged to implement their own risk management, such as using stop-losses, position sizing, and setting appropriate limits. Trading involves significant risk, and this strategy does not guarantee profits or prevent losses. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always test any strategy in a demo environment before applying it to live markets.
